Long Trade on STX

Previous Trade Next Trade

01 Oct 2026 at 14:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on STX (momentum_rotation_score)

With 229.25 STX at 0.384$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.349 (9.09 %)

STX LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 14:15 → 17:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.3839$

Qty 229.2545 STX

Size 88.0177$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 88.01$

SL 0.349 (-9.09%)

SL $ 8$

Status loss PnL -1.51% / -1.33$ MAE -2.87% MFE +1.22% 0.1R expires 01 Oct 17:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170220)

#6 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9590

Quality Score

0.689

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#6 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

9.09 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#6 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

9.09 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	2.47×ATR
4h	clear	0.73×ATR
1d	near	-0.26×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↓ down	late	OK
1d	↑ up	late	BLOCKED

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

+2 OK

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc NO

attendu : alts_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : expanding / recovering

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

6.9M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 14:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 01/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/10 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/10 13:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4577

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion +2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) +2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 45.6%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	15.8%
1h	96.5%
4h	61.4%
24h	40.4%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	33.3%	-0.14%
4h	26.3%	+0.33%
24h	26.3%	-0.58%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.151

Universe : 57 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 14:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.8612

Score SMA

0.6657

Rank

#1 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

1.0000

Rank Norm SMA

0.6746

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.9717	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 17.10% · r3d: 9.40% · ema21_slope: 1.5913% · dist_ema21: 21.227%
Force Relative	25%	0.9615	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 17.12% · rs_3d: 10.38% · beta_24h: 1.565
Volume	20%	1.0000	rvol_20: 4.29× · zscore_50: 3.569 · trend: 109.40%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8622	ADX: 43.5 (trend) · Chop: 32.1 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 7.860% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 14:00

Score brut

0.6890

Score SMA

0.5854

Rank

#6 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9590

Rank Norm SMA

0.5630

Calculé le

01/10/2026 14:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.8518	r1h: 0.115% · r4h: 2.443% · r1d: 6.30% · r3d: 20.60% · ema21_slope: 0.3442% · dist_ema21: 1.548%
Force Relative	25%	0.6885	rs_1h: -0.718% · rs_4h: 1.322% · rs_1d: 5.27% · rs_3d: 19.40% · beta_24h: 0.881
Volume	20%	0.1846	rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.484 · trend: -37.35%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8744	ADX: 53.7 (trend) · Chop: 47.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.931% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.8153

Score SMA

0.6330

Rank

#2 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9737

Rank Norm SMA

0.5848

Calculé le

01/10/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.8673	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.573% · r1d: 12.94% · r3d: 22.54% · ema21_slope: 0.6534% · dist_ema21: 11.187%
Force Relative	25%	0.9224	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.276% · rs_1d: 12.93% · rs_3d: 21.63% · beta_24h: 1.515
Volume	20%	0.7562	rvol_20: 2.07× · zscore_50: 1.563 · trend: 170.33%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7681	ADX: 32.2 (trend) · Chop: 18.8 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.5806	ATR%: 4.258% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.091% (0.0349)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.217%	0.1R	-1.842%	0.2R	0.7×	12
2h	+1.217%	0.1R	-2.873%	0.3R	0.4×	24
3h ★	+1.217%	0.1R	-2.873%	0.3R	0.4×	36
4h	+1.217%	0.1R	-2.873%	0.3R	0.4×	48
8h	+1.217%	0.1R	-3.881%	0.4R	0.3×	96
12h	+1.217%	0.1R	-3.881%	0.4R	0.3×	144
24h	+1.217%	0.1R	-6.807%	0.8R	0.2×	288
48h	+2.944%	0.3R	-8.570%	0.9R	0.3×	576
72h	+7.658%	0.8R	-8.570%	0.9R	0.9×	864

⏱ MFE in 29 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60

ML Pullback Score: 0.51

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	66%	noisy_chop 49%	late	—	near -0.3ATR	0.63	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.99	29/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	63%	noisy_chop 46%	late	—	—	0.37	bull_high	+2.03%	+0.95	01/10 08:00
1h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 40%	early	—	—	0.33	bull_medium_confirmed	+1.25%	+0.40	01/10 13:00
15m	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 41%	early	—	—	0.28	bull_low_confirmed	+1.16%	+0.08	01/10 13:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187556	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.554	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	66%	noisy_chop 49%	late 14b 2.0ATR	—	near -0.3ATR	4.29	100%	↑ +0.62	above_value	+5.97	—	#101571	0.63	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.99	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:19
4h #194147	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.691	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	63%	noisy_chop 46%	late 2b 2.3ATR	—	—	2.07	99%	↑ +0.91	above_value	+5.96	—	#104381	0.37	bull_high	+2.03%	+0.95	01/10 08:00 upd 01/10 12:13
1h anchor #194985	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.693	expansion	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 40%	early 3b 0.5ATR	—	—	0.21	73%	↓ -0.48	above_value	+5.86	—	#104767	0.33	bull_medium_confirmed	+1.25%	+0.40	01/10 13:00 upd 01/10 14:10
15m #194910	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.681	compression	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 41%	early 7b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.51	59%	↓ -0.76	above_value	+5.65	—	#104612	0.28	bull_low_confirmed	+1.16%	+0.08	01/10 13:45 upd 01/10 14:01
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	14b	—	4.895×ATR	p62	+1.959×ATR	p82
4h	↓ down	late	2b	—	1.887×ATR	p0	+2.305×ATR	p84
1h	↑ up	early	3b	—	1.18×ATR	p2	+0.471×ATR	p22
15m	↓ down	early	7b	—	1.4×ATR	p0	+0.306×ATR	p9

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.34903428
atr: 0.01163191
expires_at: 2026-10-01T21:15:07+00:00

Details

rank: 3
total: 77
score: 0.8424
confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.3839	0.349			0.3216

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.3839
Stop Loss: 0.349
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.349 - 0.3839 = -0.0349
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.3839 - = 0.3839
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3839 / -0.0349 = -11

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
88.0177	88.0177	229.2545	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.0349

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0349 = -229.23

Taille de position USD = -229.23 x 0.3839 = -88

Donc, tu peux acheter -229.23 avec un stoploss a 0.349

Avec un position size USD de -88$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -229.23 x -0.0349 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -229.23 x 0.3839 = -88

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -88$

Résumé

Taille de position -229.23
Taille de position USD -88
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel -88
Risk-Reward Ratio -11

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	88.01 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
9.09 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.33 $	-1.51

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.8731 %	31.6 %	1

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.3839	0.349			0.3216

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.3839
Stop Loss: 0.349
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.349 - 0.3839 = -0.0349
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.3839 - = 0.3839
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3839 / -0.0349 = -11

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.3839
            [stop_loss] => 0.34551
            [rr_ratio] => 10
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 18:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.3839
            [stop_loss] => 0.34202
            [rr_ratio] => 9.17
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 18:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.3839
            [stop_loss] => 0.33853
            [rr_ratio] => 8.46
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 18:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.3839
            [stop_loss] => 0.33155
            [rr_ratio] => 7.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 18:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.091% (0.0349)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.217%	0.1R	-1.842%	0.2R	0.7×	12
2h	+1.217%	0.1R	-2.873%	0.3R	0.4×	24
3h ★	+1.217%	0.1R	-2.873%	0.3R	0.4×	36
4h	+1.217%	0.1R	-2.873%	0.3R	0.4×	48
8h	+1.217%	0.1R	-3.881%	0.4R	0.3×	96
12h	+1.217%	0.1R	-3.881%	0.4R	0.3×	144
24h	+1.217%	0.1R	-6.807%	0.8R	0.2×	288
48h	+2.944%	0.3R	-8.570%	0.9R	0.3×	576
72h	+7.658%	0.8R	-8.570%	0.9R	0.9×	864

⏱ MFE in 29 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.