01 Oct 2026 at 14:15:12 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 65.54 ZRO at 1.807$ per unit. Take profit: 1.8519 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6846 (6.76 %)

ZRO LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 14:15 → 15:45 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 1.8067$

Qty 65.5373 ZRO

Size 118.4063$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 1.8519 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.96$

SL 1.6846 (-6.76%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.37

Status win PnL +2.50% / +2.96$ MAE -3.07% MFE +4.33% 0.6R expires 01 Oct 20:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170230)
#11 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5545

Quality Score
0.618
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#11 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.76 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#11 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.76 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.92×ATR
4h clear 0.91×ATR
1d clear 2.34×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2 OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
15.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 14:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 13:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4577
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 45.6%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 15.8%
1h 96.5%
4h 61.4%
24h 40.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 33.3% -0.14%
4h 26.3% +0.33%
24h 26.3% -0.58%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.151
Universe : 57 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 14:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8234
Score SMA
0.7606
Rank
#3 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9733
Rank Norm SMA
0.8188
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9335 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.56% · r3d: 6.08% · ema21_slope: 2.9982% · dist_ema21: 27.110%
Force Relative 25% 0.8483 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 4.57% · rs_3d: 7.06% · beta_24h: 0.094
Volume 20% 0.9798 rvol_20: 2.99× · zscore_50: 2.725 · trend: 143.74%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9022 ADX: 48.3 (trend) · Chop: 23.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.059% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.6178
Score SMA
0.5821
Rank
#11 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5545
Rank Norm SMA
0.5994
Calculé le
01/10/2026 14:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7505 r1h: 3.677% · r4h: 6.455% · r1d: 5.79% · r3d: 14.77% · ema21_slope: -0.0855% · dist_ema21: 5.077%
Force Relative 25% 0.9022 rs_1h: 2.844% · rs_4h: 5.334% · rs_1d: 4.76% · rs_3d: 13.56% · beta_24h: 2.434
Volume 20% 0.6299 rvol_20: 2.31× · zscore_50: 0.647 · trend: 22.71%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5149 ADX: 13.4 (weak) · Chop: 50.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.790% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.5383
Score SMA
0.6070
Rank
#15 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5329
Rank Norm SMA
0.6407
Calculé le
01/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7880 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.823% · r1d: -1.13% · r3d: 7.29% · ema21_slope: 0.4665% · dist_ema21: 2.409%
Force Relative 25% 0.6998 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.526% · rs_1d: -1.14% · rs_3d: 6.38% · beta_24h: 0.657
Volume 20% 0.1922 rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -0.708 · trend: -20.46%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5753 ADX: 21.6 (weak) · Chop: 51.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0226 ATR%: 5.932% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.758% (0.1221)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.921% 0.3R -0.924% 0.1R 2.1× 12
2h +4.328% 0.6R -0.924% 0.1R 4.7× 24
4h +4.328% 0.6R -3.072% 0.5R 1.4× 48
6h ★ +4.328% 0.6R -3.072% 0.5R 1.4× 72
8h +4.328% 0.6R -3.072% 0.5R 1.4× 96
12h +6.830% 1.0R -3.072% 0.5R 2.2× 144
24h +11.109% 1.6R -3.072% 0.5R 3.6× 288
48h +17.751% 2.6R -4.378% 0.7R 4.1× 576
72h +18.963% 2.8R -4.378% 0.7R 4.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 1204 min MAE in 229 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.56
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 39% late — — 0.43 bull_high +12.59% +1.00 29/09 20:00
4h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate explosive expansion bull_high
69%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.29 bull_high +2.03% +0.89 01/10 08:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 41% late — near -0.9ATR 0.28 bull_medium_confirmed +1.25% +0.18 01/10 13:00
15m ↑ up range range strong fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
52%
noisy_chop 44% late — near -0.2ATR 0.41 bull_low_confirmed +1.16% +0.46 01/10 13:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187601
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.681 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 39% late 15b 2.0ATR — — 2.99 99% ↑ +0.94 above_value +3.30 — #101581 0.43 bull_high +12.59% +1.00
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:21
4h
#194167
↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate explosive 0.805 expansion bull_high
69%
noisy_chop 38% early 8b 0.4ATR — — 0.37 69% ↔ +0.05 value +2.89 — #104391 0.29 bull_high +2.03% +0.89
01/10 08:00
upd 01/10 12:14
1h anchor
#194995
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.558 expansion bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 41% late 7b 1.8ATR — near -0.9ATR 2.31 90% ↓ -0.16 above_value +4.26 — #104777 0.28 bull_medium_confirmed +1.25% +0.18
01/10 13:00
upd 01/10 14:11
15m
#194920
↑ up range range strong fading 0.496 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
52%
noisy_chop 44% late 2b 2.0ATR — near -0.2ATR 4.36 98% ↑ +0.71 value +3.11 — #104622 0.41 bull_low_confirmed +1.16% +0.46
01/10 13:45
upd 01/10 14:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 15b — 5.232×ATR p67 +2.022×ATR p91
4h ↓ down early 8b — 1.795×ATR p0 +0.367×ATR p18
1h ↑ up late 7b — 3.338×ATR p69 +1.773×ATR p86
15m ↓ down late 2b — 0×ATR p0 +1.986×ATR p82

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1.6846322
  2. tp_price: 1.8518675
  3. atr: 0.04882712
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T00:15:12+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 6
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.7051
  4. delta_2h: 0.0509
  5. extension_atr: 1.96
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.543
  9. confidence: 0.984

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 14:15 1.80670000 0%
2 15:15 1.79290000 -0.764%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.8067 1.6846 1.8519 0.37 1.8027
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.8067
  • Stop Loss: 1.6846
  • Take Profit: 1.8519

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.6846 - 1.8067 = -0.1221

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.8067 - 1.8519 = -0.0452

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0452 / -0.1221 = 0.3702

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
118.4063 100 65.5373 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.1221

Taille de position = 8 / -0.1221 = -65.52

Taille de position USD = -65.52 x 1.8067 = -118.37

Donc, tu peux acheter -65.52 avec un stoploss a 1.6846

Avec un position size USD de -118.37$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -65.52 x -0.1221 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -65.52 x -0.0452 = 2.96

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.96$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -65.52
  • Taille de position USD -118.37
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.96
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3702

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 2.96 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.76 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
2.96 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9243 % 13.68 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.8067 1.6846 1.8519 0.37 1.8027
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.8067
  • Stop Loss: 1.6846
  • Take Profit: 1.8519

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.6846 - 1.8067 = -0.1221

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.8067 - 1.8519 = -0.0452

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0452 / -0.1221 = 0.3702

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.758% (0.1221)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.921% 0.3R -0.924% 0.1R 2.1× 12
2h +4.328% 0.6R -0.924% 0.1R 4.7× 24
4h +4.328% 0.6R -3.072% 0.5R 1.4× 48
6h ★ +4.328% 0.6R -3.072% 0.5R 1.4× 72
8h +4.328% 0.6R -3.072% 0.5R 1.4× 96
12h +6.830% 1.0R -3.072% 0.5R 2.2× 144
24h +11.109% 1.6R -3.072% 0.5R 3.6× 288
48h +17.751% 2.6R -4.378% 0.7R 4.1× 576
72h +18.963% 2.8R -4.378% 0.7R 4.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 1204 min MAE in 229 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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