Short Trade on 2Z

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01 Oct 2026 at 17:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_score)

With 2212.55 2Z at 0.0559$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.05954 (6.47 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 17:15 → 20:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.05592$

Qty 2212.5485 2Z

Size 123.7301$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 123.73$

SL 0.05954 (-6.47%)

SL $ 8.01$

Status loss PnL -1.58% / -1.96$ MAE -1.58% MFE +2.39% 0.4R expires 01 Oct 20:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170580)

#68 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1283

Quality Score

0.452

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#68 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.47 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#68 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.47 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	2.43×ATR
4h	near	-0.57×ATR
1d	clear	1.88×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-2 OK

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

alts NO

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

4.8M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 17:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 01/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 01/10 16:00 Score : +3 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 16:00

Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4589

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 74.6%

Macro broad_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	57.6%
1h	57.6%
4h	88.1%
24h	62.7%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	57.6%	+0.02%
4h	79.7%	+1.85%
24h	35.6%	+0.56%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.162

Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 17:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5520

Score SMA

0.6841

Rank

#46 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4000

Rank Norm SMA

0.6512

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6375	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.10% · r3d: -12.18% · ema21_slope: 1.4819% · dist_ema21: 4.847%
Force Relative	25%	0.4319	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.08% · rs_3d: -11.20% · beta_24h: 1.111
Volume	20%	0.6983	rvol_20: 1.84× · zscore_50: 1.253 · trend: 170.36%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7538	ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 19.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.403% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 17:00

Score brut

0.4517

Score SMA

0.5599

Rank

#68 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1283

Rank Norm SMA

0.5357

Calculé le

01/10/2026 17:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2546	r1h: -0.454% · r4h: 1.186% · r1d: -5.39% · r3d: -16.93% · ema21_slope: -0.3093% · dist_ema21: -3.566%
Force Relative	25%	0.2910	rs_1h: -0.412% · rs_4h: 0.691% · rs_1d: -6.50% · rs_3d: -18.23% · beta_24h: 0.840
Volume	20%	0.2722	rvol_20: 0.10× · zscore_50: -0.647 · trend: 36.55%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8323	ADX: 40.6 (trend) · Chop: 39.0 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.271% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.4794

Score SMA

0.6204

Rank

#49 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2105

Rank Norm SMA

0.6645

Calculé le

01/10/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2716	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.921% · r1d: -6.93% · r3d: -15.65% · ema21_slope: -0.5085% · dist_ema21: -9.146%
Force Relative	25%	0.2245	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.513% · rs_1d: -8.17% · rs_3d: -17.17% · beta_24h: 2.106
Volume	20%	1.0000	rvol_20: 4.17× · zscore_50: 3.564 · trend: 115.10%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7238	ADX: 26.9 (trend) · Chop: 36.8 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.3318	ATR%: 5.005% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.474% (0.0036)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.387%	0.4R	-0.810%	0.1R	3.0×	12
2h	+2.387%	0.4R	-0.810%	0.1R	3.0×	24
3h ★	+2.387%	0.4R	-1.583%	0.2R	1.5×	36
4h	+2.387%	0.4R	-1.583%	0.2R	1.5×	48
8h	+2.387%	0.4R	-4.784%	0.7R	0.5×	96
12h	+2.387%	0.4R	-7.296%	1.1R	0.3×	144
24h	+20.245%	3.1R	-7.296%	1.1R	2.8×	288
48h	+20.692%	3.2R	-7.296%	1.1R	2.8×	576
72h	+20.692%	3.2R	-7.296%	1.1R	2.8×	864

⏱ MFE in 1164 min MAE in 599 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 2.71

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	range_high	43%	noisy_chop 43%	early	—	—	0.55	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.94	29/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high_confirmed	49%	noisy_chop 45%	late	near -0.6ATR	—	0.35	bull_high	+2.58%	-0.91	01/10 12:00
1h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	grind	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 39%	mid	—	—	0.32	bull_medium	+0.85%	-0.64	01/10 16:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	normal	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 42%	early	near 0.5ATR	near 0.2ATR	0.40	range_low	+0.61%	-0.19	01/10 16:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187747	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	0.802	volatile_reversal	range_high	43%	noisy_chop 43%	early 4b 0.4ATR	—	—	1.84	98%	↑ +0.95	below_value	-6.90	—	#101622	0.55	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.94	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:26
4h #195918	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.427	compression	bear_high_confirmed	49%	noisy_chop 45%	late 15b -2.3ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	4.17	100%	↑ +0.54	below_value	-9.57	—	#105132	0.35	bull_high	+2.58%	-0.91	01/10 12:00 upd 01/10 16:19
1h anchor #196289	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.465	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 3b -1.7ATR	—	—	0.10	20%	↔ -0.09	below_value	-9.76	—	#105366	0.32	bull_medium	+0.85%	-0.64	01/10 16:00 upd 01/10 17:11
15m #196211	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.595	normal	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 42%	early 7b -0.9ATR	near 0.5ATR	near 0.2ATR	0.17	56%	↓ -0.97	below_value	-9.57	—	#105132	0.40	range_low	+0.61%	-0.19	01/10 16:45 upd 01/10 17:03
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	4b	—	3.454×ATR	p35	+0.443×ATR	p30
4h	↓ down	late	15b	—	4.913×ATR	p69	-2.272×ATR	p91
1h	↓ down	mid	3b	—	1.105×ATR	p2	-1.657×ATR	p75
15m	↑ up	early	7b	—	1.711×ATR	p3	-0.937×ATR	p52

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.05953774
atr: 0.00120525
expires_at: 2026-10-02T00:15:05+00:00

Details

rank: 76
total: 77
score: 0.2949
confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.05592	0.05954			0.02511

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.05592
Stop Loss: 0.05954
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.05954 - 0.05592 = 0.00362
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.05592 - = 0.05592
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05592 / 0.00362 = 15.4475

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
123.7301	100	2212.5485	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00362

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00362 = 2209.94

Taille de position USD = 2209.94 x 0.05592 = 123.58

Donc, tu peux acheter 2209.94 avec un stoploss a 0.05954

Avec un position size USD de 123.58$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2209.94 x 0.00362 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2209.94 x 0.05592 = 123.58

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 123.58$

Résumé

Taille de position 2209.94
Taille de position USD 123.58
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 123.58
Risk-Reward Ratio 15.4475

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	123.73 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
6.47 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.96 $	-1.58

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.5826 %	24.45 %	3

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.05592	0.05954			0.02511

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.05592
Stop Loss: 0.05954
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.05954 - 0.05592 = 0.00362
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.05592 - = 0.05592
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05592 / 0.00362 = 15.4475

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.474% (0.0036)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.387%	0.4R	-0.810%	0.1R	3.0×	12
2h	+2.387%	0.4R	-0.810%	0.1R	3.0×	24
3h ★	+2.387%	0.4R	-1.583%	0.2R	1.5×	36
4h	+2.387%	0.4R	-1.583%	0.2R	1.5×	48
8h	+2.387%	0.4R	-4.784%	0.7R	0.5×	96
12h	+2.387%	0.4R	-7.296%	1.1R	0.3×	144
24h	+20.245%	3.1R	-7.296%	1.1R	2.8×	288
48h	+20.692%	3.2R	-7.296%	1.1R	2.8×	576
72h	+20.692%	3.2R	-7.296%	1.1R	2.8×	864

⏱ MFE in 1164 min MAE in 599 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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