01 Oct 2026 at 17:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_score)

With 0.1 ZEC at 1336.7$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 1413.2422 (5.73 %)

ZEC SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 17:15 → 20:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 1336.7$

Qty 0.1045 ZEC

Size 139.7085$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 139.71$

SL 1413.2422 (-5.73%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -0.15% / -0.21$ MAE -0.62% MFE +1.68% 0.3R expires 01 Oct 20:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170581)
#71 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2747

Quality Score
0.437
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#71 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.73 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#71 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.73 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 2.81×ATR
1d clear 7.03×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2 OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
454.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 17:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 16:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4589
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 74.6%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 57.6%
1h 57.6%
4h 88.1%
24h 62.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 57.6% +0.02%
4h 79.7% +1.85%
24h 35.6% +0.56%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.162
Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 17:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5215
Score SMA
0.6038
Rank
#54 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2933
Rank Norm SMA
0.4279
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6620 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.55% · r3d: -9.44% · ema21_slope: 1.7273% · dist_ema21: 3.443%
Force Relative 25% 0.5548 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.56% · rs_3d: -8.45% · beta_24h: 1.271
Volume 20% 0.3384 rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: 0.033 · trend: 22.59%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7770 ADX: 54.6 (trend) · Chop: 60.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.176% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.4372
Score SMA
0.5077
Rank
#71 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2747
Rank Norm SMA
0.3812
Calculé le
01/10/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2887 r1h: 0.709% · r4h: -0.551% · r1d: -6.19% · r3d: -8.38% · ema21_slope: -0.2515% · dist_ema21: -3.426%
Force Relative 25% 0.3377 rs_1h: 0.751% · rs_4h: -1.046% · rs_1d: -7.29% · rs_3d: -9.68% · beta_24h: 1.705
Volume 20% 0.3002 rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.482 · trend: 48.26%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7467 ADX: 29.6 (trend) · Chop: 36.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.049% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3410
Score SMA
0.4971
Rank
#75 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0658
Rank Norm SMA
0.3161
Calculé le
01/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1777 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.794% · r1d: -6.53% · r3d: -8.63% · ema21_slope: -0.3672% · dist_ema21: -7.417%
Force Relative 25% 0.1326 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -4.386% · rs_1d: -7.77% · rs_3d: -10.15% · beta_24h: 1.999
Volume 20% 0.5930 rvol_20: 1.81× · zscore_50: 1.342 · trend: 20.94%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5126 ADX: 17.1 (weak) · Chop: 54.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.5908 ATR%: 4.228% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.726% (76.5422)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.676% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.676% 0.3R -0.621% 0.1R 2.7× 24
3h ★ +1.676% 0.3R -0.621% 0.1R 2.7× 36
4h +1.676% 0.3R -0.643% 0.1R 2.6× 48
8h +1.676% 0.3R -4.736% 0.8R 0.4× 96
12h +1.676% 0.3R -4.736% 0.8R 0.4× 144
24h +4.878% 0.9R -5.716% 1.0R 0.9× 288
48h +4.878% 0.9R -5.716% 1.0R 0.9× 576
72h +4.878% 0.9R -5.716% 1.0R 0.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 1289 min MAE in 979 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.42
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
72%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.56 bull_high +12.59% +0.96 29/09 20:00
4h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 41% mid — — 0.53 bull_high +2.58% -0.95 01/10 12:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 36% mid — — 0.45 bull_medium +0.85% -0.64 01/10 16:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 44% early — — 0.66 range_low +0.61% -0.35 01/10 16:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187750
↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.705 expansion bull_high
72%
noisy_chop 38% early 4b 0.3ATR — — 0.75 86% ↔ +0.12 value -4.03 — #101623 0.56 bull_high +12.59% +0.96
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:26
4h
#195921
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.505 expansion bear_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 41% mid 7b -1.9ATR — — 1.81 92% ↓ -0.36 below_value -8.29 — #105133 0.53 bull_high +2.58% -0.95
01/10 12:00
upd 01/10 16:19
1h anchor
#196290
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.503 expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 36% mid 8b -1.6ATR — — 0.51 39% ↑ +0.79 below_value -7.73 inside #105367 0.45 bull_medium +0.85% -0.64
01/10 16:00
upd 01/10 17:11
15m
#196212
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.514 normal bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 44% early 5b -0.7ATR — — 0.12 23% ↓ -0.26 below_value -8.29 — #105133 0.66 range_low +0.61% -0.35
01/10 16:45
upd 01/10 17:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 1.942×ATR p0 +0.331×ATR p15
4h ↓ down mid 7b — 2.994×ATR p43 -1.938×ATR p78
1h ↓ down mid 8b — 2.861×ATR p53 -1.601×ATR p76
15m ↑ up early 5b — 2.099×ATR p20 -0.704×ATR p38

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1413.24224025
  2. atr: 25.51408008
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-02T00:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 77
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.2837
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1336.7 1413.2422 1273.5
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1336.7
  • Stop Loss: 1413.2422
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1413.2422 - 1336.7 = 76.5422

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1336.7 - = 1336.7

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1336.7 / 76.5422 = 17.4636

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
139.7085 100 0.1045 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 76.5422

Taille de position = 8 / 76.5422 = 0.1

Taille de position USD = 0.1 x 1336.7 = 133.67

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.1 avec un stoploss a 1413.2422

Avec un position size USD de 133.67$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.1 x 76.5422 = 7.65

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.65$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.1 x 1336.7 = 133.67

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 133.67$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.1
  • Taille de position USD 133.67
  • Perte potentielle 7.65
  • Gain potentiel 133.67
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 17.4636

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 139.71 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.73 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.21 $ -0.15
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6209 % 10.84 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1336.7 1413.2422 1273.5
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1336.7
  • Stop Loss: 1413.2422
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1413.2422 - 1336.7 = 76.5422

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1336.7 - = 1336.7

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1336.7 / 76.5422 = 17.4636

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.726% (76.5422)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.676% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.676% 0.3R -0.621% 0.1R 2.7× 24
3h ★ +1.676% 0.3R -0.621% 0.1R 2.7× 36
4h +1.676% 0.3R -0.643% 0.1R 2.6× 48
8h +1.676% 0.3R -4.736% 0.8R 0.4× 96
12h +1.676% 0.3R -4.736% 0.8R 0.4× 144
24h +4.878% 0.9R -5.716% 1.0R 0.9× 288
48h +4.878% 0.9R -5.716% 1.0R 0.9× 576
72h +4.878% 0.9R -5.716% 1.0R 0.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 1289 min MAE in 979 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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