Short Trade on JUP

Previous Trade Next Trade

01 Oct 2026 at 17:41:59 hyperliquid

Short Trade on JUP (BosPullback)

With 787.17 JUP at 0.324$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2983 (7.85 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3339 (3.15 %)

JUP SHORT BosPullback hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 17:41 → 22:05 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.3237$

Qty 787.1715 JUP

Size 254.8389$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2983 (+7.85%)

TP $ 19.99$

SL 0.3339 (-3.15%)

SL $ 8.03$

RR 2.49

Status loss PnL -3.15% / -8.03$ MAE -2.45% MFE +0.79% 0.3R

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170547)

#22 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5526

Quality Score

0.539

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#22 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

76 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-5

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-7 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.15 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#22 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

76 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-7 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.15 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	2.39×ATR
4h	clear	3.12×ATR
1d	clear	3.63×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

5.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 17:31

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 01/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 01/10 16:00 Score : -5 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

01/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : range_high (0)

01/10 16:00

Score : -5 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime
	1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4591

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 36.7%

Macro mixed_dispersion

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : mixed

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	37.3%
1h	37.3%
4h	23.7%
24h	59.3%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	50.9%	-0.03%
4h	40.7%	-0.47%
24h	35.6%	+0.35%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.095

Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 17:31 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5942

Score SMA

0.7168

Rank

#38 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5067

Rank Norm SMA

0.7581

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7587	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.15% · r3d: -11.51% · ema21_slope: 2.1915% · dist_ema21: 12.224%
Force Relative	25%	0.6310	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.16% · rs_3d: -10.52% · beta_24h: 1.516
Volume	20%	0.3847	rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: -0.094 · trend: 73.42%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8794	ADX: 45.5 (trend) · Chop: 28.9 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 8.530% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 17:00

Score brut

0.5387

Score SMA

0.5608

Rank

#22 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5526

Rank Norm SMA

0.5297

Calculé le

01/10/2026 17:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5864	r1h: -0.306% · r4h: 4.613% · r1d: 0.73% · r3d: -0.09% · ema21_slope: -0.0767% · dist_ema21: 1.194%
Force Relative	25%	0.5585	rs_1h: -0.264% · rs_4h: 4.118% · rs_1d: -0.37% · rs_3d: -1.39% · beta_24h: 2.751
Volume	20%	0.2500	rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.593 · trend: 17.10%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4876	ADX: 14.3 (weak) · Chop: 54.5 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.798% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.5492

Score SMA

0.6030

Rank

#24 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4276

Rank Norm SMA

0.6211

Calculé le

01/10/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6822	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 4.123% · r1d: 2.12% · r3d: 0.58% · ema21_slope: -0.0996% · dist_ema21: 0.584%
Force Relative	25%	0.6283	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.531% · rs_1d: 0.88% · rs_3d: -0.95% · beta_24h: 2.220
Volume	20%	0.3833	rvol_20: 1.26× · zscore_50: 0.316 · trend: -19.13%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.3155	ADX: 13.2 (weak) · Chop: 74.6 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.6345	ATR%: 4.096% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BosPullback (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -3.151% (0.0102)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.791%	0.3R	-0.813%	0.3R	1.0×	12
2h	+0.791%	0.3R	-0.813%	0.3R	1.0×	24
4h ★	+0.791%	0.3R	-2.450%	0.8R	0.3×	48
8h	+0.791%	0.3R	-5.758%	1.8R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.791%	0.3R	-5.758%	1.8R	0.1×	144
24h	+5.981%	1.9R	-5.758%	1.8R	1.0×	288
48h	+5.981%	1.9R	-5.758%	1.8R	1.0×	576
72h	+5.981%	1.9R	-5.758%	1.8R	1.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 1263 min MAE in 428 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.93

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	68%	noisy_chop 41%	mid	—	—	0.59	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.99	29/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 31%	mid	—	—	0.47	bull_high	+2.58%	-0.44	01/10 12:00
1h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	range_high	34%	noisy_chop 32%	mid	—	near -0.1ATR	0.54	bull_medium	+0.85%	-0.14	01/10 16:00
15m	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	range_high	41%	noisy_chop 44%	early	—	—	0.59	range_low	+0.53%	+0.18	01/10 17:15
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187646	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.699	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	68%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 14b 1.1ATR	—	—	0.67	86%	↑ +0.70	above_value	+0.45	—	#101590	0.59	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.99	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:23
4h #195820	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.709	compression	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 31%	mid 23b 0.1ATR	—	—	1.26	91%	↓ -0.73	above_value	+0.46	—	#105098	0.47	bull_high	+2.58%	-0.44	01/10 12:00 upd 01/10 16:14
1h anchor #196255	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.629	normal	range_high	34%	noisy_chop 32%	mid 5b 0.6ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.28	14%	↑ +0.69	above_value	-0.12	—	#105332	0.54	bull_medium	+0.85%	-0.14	01/10 16:00 upd 01/10 17:10
15m #196413	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.579	normal	range_high	41%	noisy_chop 44%	early 3b -0.4ATR	—	—	0.05	10%	↓ -0.86	above_value	-0.12	—	#105332	0.59	range_low	+0.53%	+0.18	01/10 17:15 upd 01/10 17:31
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	mid	14b	—	4.354×ATR	p52	+1.131×ATR	p66
4h	↓ down	mid	23b	—	3.361×ATR	p50	+0.148×ATR	p13
1h	↑ up	mid	5b	—	2.733×ATR	p71	+0.626×ATR	p42
15m	↓ down	early	3b	—	2.282×ATR	p32	-0.413×ATR	p29

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
confidence: 0.76
reason: bos_pullback_short|score=3|shallow|bars_since_bos=6|retests=1|break_atr=0.91|prog=0.47|zone=weak|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
stop_price: 0.33390297
tp_price: 0.29833258
atr:
score: 0.86
confidence_pre_ob: 0.86

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
timeframe : 1h
state : pullback_down
confidence : 0.543
trend_strength : -0.0891
trend_persistence : 0.5
high_delta_atr : -0.39
low_delta_atr : -1.6039
current_swing_amp_atr : 3.7001
current_swing_speed : 0.30834
current_swing_efficiency : 0.3134
retracement_ratio : 1.8652
extension_ratio : 1.541
compression_score : 0.9397
swing_entropy : 1
breakout_strength : -0.233
distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.6208
distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.8369
pivot_count : 29
swing_count : 28
market_structure_v2
last_pivot_kind: low
last_pivot_price:
```
0.31286
```
last_pivot_index:
```
143
```
trend_analyzer_1h
direction : down
phase : transition
structure : bearish_transition
breakout_state : breakout_retest
quality : volatile
strength : moderate
exhaustion : low
momentum_type : grind
volatility_regime : normal
htf_context : unknown
risk_state : discount
confidence : 0.52
state : down_bearish_transition_grind
trend_analyzer_1h
scores_direction_score:
```
0.3108
```
scores_strength_score:
```
0.4815
```
scores_quality_score:
```
0.304
```
scores_cleanliness_score:
```
0.2264
```
scores_structural_quality:
```
0.3675
```
scores_pullback_score:
```
1
```
scores_exhaustion_score:
```
0.2185
```
scores_continuation_score:
```
0.4338
```
scores_structure_score:
```
0.3394
```
scores_volatility_expansion:
```
0.4888
```
scores_momentum_type_score:
```
0.5173
```
scores_risk_score:
```
0.1737
```
trend_analyzer_1h
features_ema20_slope:
```
0.061
```
features_ema50_slope:
```
0.0067
```
features_ema_alignment_score:
```
0
```
features_price_vs_ema20:
```
-0.2031
```
features_price_vs_ema50:
```
-0.5427
```
features_recent_hh_hl_score:
```
0.45
```
features_recent_lh_ll_score:
```
0.55
```
features_last_bos_direction:
```
-1
```
features_bars_since_last_bos:
```
6
```
features_candle_overlap_ratio:
```
1
```
features_wick_ratio:
```
0.5472
```
features_trend_efficiency:
```
0.3134
```
features_impulse_strength:
```
3.7001
```
features_directional_candle_ratio:
```
0.55
```
features_pullback_depth_ratio:
```
1.8652
```
features_pullback_depth_atr:
```
3.4413
```
features_extension_from_mean:
```
-0.5427
```
features_impulse_decay_score:
```
0.2295
```
features_opposing_wick_pressure:
```
0.3169
```
features_volatility_percentile:
```
0.4
```
features_volatility_delta:
```
0.0732
```
features_body_ratio:
```
0.5215
```
features_closes_position_ratio:
```
0.4969
```
features_slope_consistency:
```
0.4409
```
features_range_position:
```
0.1737
```
features_distance_to_recent_high:
```
-8.6137
```
features_distance_to_recent_low:
```
1.8113
```
features_had_recent_range:
```
1
```
features_had_recent_compression:
```
1
```
features_post_break_hl_count:
```
0
```
features_htf_trend_strength:
features_htf_compression_score:
features_htf_entropy_score:
features_htf_hh_hl_score:
features_htf_state_str:
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.1444
obi_top10 : 0.0782
micro_price : 0.32167687
spread_pct : 0.062189
mid_price : 0.3217
bid_wall_price : 0.321
bid_wall_size : 477179.4
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 0.328
ask_wall_size : 424730.8
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.1632
obi_top5_std : 0.0335
pressure_side : bid
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 6998
aggregation_tick : 0.001
error :
strategy_details
strategy : bos_pullback
ms_state_1h : pullback_down
strategy_details

pivots_1h_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-27 21:00:00
    [price] => 0.34228
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-27 23:00:00
    [price] => 0.37548
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-28 09:00:00
    [price] => 0.333
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-28 12:00:00
    [price] => 0.35079
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-28 15:00:00
    [price] => 0.31828
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-28 18:00:00
    [price] => 0.33768
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-28 22:00:00
    [price] => 0.31914
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-29 00:00:00
    [price] => 0.33633
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-29 02:00:00
    [price] => 0.317
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-29 12:00:00
    [price] => 0.33633
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-29 15:00:00
    [price] => 0.31922
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-29 16:00:00
    [price] => 0.33746
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-30 01:00:00
    [price] => 0.339
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-30 07:00:00
    [price] => 0.3193
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-30 13:00:00
    [price] => 0.34142
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_15:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-30 15:00:00
    [price] => 0.32197
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_16:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-30 17:00:00
    [price] => 0.33565
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_17:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-30 20:00:00
    [price] => 0.32236
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_18:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 03:00:00
    [price] => 0.33334
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_19:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 15:00:00
    [price] => 0.31286
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

strategy_details

pivots_15m_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-30 21:30:00
    [price] => 0.32953
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-30 22:00:00
    [price] => 0.32465
    [kind] => low
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 01:15:00
    [price] => 0.33239
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 02:15:00
    [price] => 0.32606
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 03:45:00
    [price] => 0.33334
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_15m_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 07:15:00
    [price] => 0.32077
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 07:30:00
    [price] => 0.32453
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 09:30:00
    [price] => 0.32503
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 10:00:00
    [price] => 0.3185
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 11:45:00
    [price] => 0.32524
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 13:00:00
    [price] => 0.31742
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 14:30:00
    [price] => 0.32276
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 15:00:00
    [price] => 0.31286
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 16:30:00
    [price] => 0.32004
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 16:45:00
    [price] => 0.314
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_15:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 18:30:00
    [price] => 0.3311
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_15m_16:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 19:15:00
    [price] => 0.3247
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_17:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 20:30:00
    [price] => 0.33151
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

bos_level_long : 0
bos_level_short : 0.32236
strategy_details
levels_hl_price:
```
0.31286
```
levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-10-01 15:00:00
levels_hh_price:
```
0.33334
```
levels_lh_price:
```
0.33334
```
levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-10-01 03:00:00
levels_ll_price:
```
0.31286
```
strategy_details
demand_zone_top:
```
0.31441
```
demand_zone_bottom:
```
0.31286
```
demand_zone_mid:
```
0.313635
```
demand_zone_freshness: tested
demand_zone_strength:
```
0.6555
```
strategy_details
supply_zone_top:
```
0.34142
```
supply_zone_bottom:
```
0.32849
```
supply_zone_mid:
```
0.334955
```
supply_zone_freshness: weak
supply_zone_strength:
```
0.8834
```
regimes
1H : bear_high
15m : range_high

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	17:41	0.32374000	+0.012%
2	18:42	0.32389000	+0.059%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down

Confidence 54%

Trend

Trend Strength

-0.089

Persistence

0.500

High Δ ATR

-0.390

Low Δ ATR

-1.604

Current Swing

Amp ATR

3.700

Speed

0.308

Efficiency

0.313

Structure

Retracement

1.865

Extension

1.541

Compression

0.940

Entropy

1.000

Breakout Str.

-0.233

Dist High ATR

-1.621

Dist Low ATR

1.837

29 pivots · 28 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 0.3129 @ bar 143

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind

Confidence 52%

Context

phase transition

structure bearish_transition

breakout breakout_retest

quality volatile

strength moderate

exhaustion low

momentum grind

volatility normal

risk discount

htf unknown

Scores

0.311

0.482

0.304

0.226

0.368

1.000

0.219

0.434

0.339

0.489

0.517

0.174

Features

Ema20 Slope

0.061

Ema50 Slope

0.007

Ema Alignment Score

0.000

Price Vs Ema20

-0.203

Price Vs Ema50

-0.543

Recent Hh Hl Score

0.450

Recent Lh Ll Score

0.550

Last Bos Direction

-1.000

Bars Since Last Bos

6.000

Candle Overlap Ratio

1.000

Wick Ratio

0.547

Trend Efficiency

0.313

Impulse Strength

3.700

Directional Candle Ratio

0.550

Pullback Depth Ratio

1.865

Pullback Depth Atr

3.441

Extension From Mean

-0.543

Impulse Decay Score

0.230

Opposing Wick Pressure

0.317

Volatility Percentile

0.400

Volatility Delta

0.073

Body Ratio

0.522

Closes Position Ratio

0.497

Slope Consistency

0.441

Range Position

0.174

Distance To Recent High

-8.614

Distance To Recent Low

1.811

Had Recent Range

1.000

Had Recent Compression

1.000

Post Break Hl Count

0.000

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6998ms Confidence avant OB : 86% → 76%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.144

avg 0.163 ± 0.034

OBI Top 10 0.078

Microstructure

Mid Price

0.3217

Micro Price

0.3217

Spread

0.0622%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price

0.3210

Size

477,179.40

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

0.3280

Size

424,730.80

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.3237	0.3339	0.2983	2.49	0.2442

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.3237
Stop Loss: 0.3339
Take Profit: 0.2983

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3339 - 0.3237 = 0.0102
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.3237 - 0.2983 = 0.0254
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0254 / 0.0102 = 2.4902

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
254.8389	100	787.1715	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0102

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0102 = 784.31

Taille de position USD = 784.31 x 0.3237 = 253.88

Donc, tu peux acheter 784.31 avec un stoploss a 0.3339

Avec un position size USD de 253.88$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 784.31 x 0.0102 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 784.31 x 0.0254 = 19.92

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.92$

Résumé

Taille de position 784.31
Taille de position USD 253.88
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 19.92
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4902

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
7.85 %	19.99 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.15 %	8.03 $

PNL	PNL %
-8.03 $	-3.15

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.3395 %	105.98 %	8

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.3237	0.3339	0.2983	2.49	0.2442

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.3237
Stop Loss: 0.3339
Take Profit: 0.2983

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3339 - 0.3237 = 0.0102
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.3237 - 0.2983 = 0.0254
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0254 / 0.0102 = 2.4902

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BosPullback (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -3.151% (0.0102)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.791%	0.3R	-0.813%	0.3R	1.0×	12
2h	+0.791%	0.3R	-0.813%	0.3R	1.0×	24
4h ★	+0.791%	0.3R	-2.450%	0.8R	0.3×	48
8h	+0.791%	0.3R	-5.758%	1.8R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.791%	0.3R	-5.758%	1.8R	0.1×	144
24h	+5.981%	1.9R	-5.758%	1.8R	1.0×	288
48h	+5.981%	1.9R	-5.758%	1.8R	1.0×	576
72h	+5.981%	1.9R	-5.758%	1.8R	1.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 1263 min MAE in 428 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.