Long Trade on MEGA (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1770.67 MEGA at 0.0517$ per unit. Take profit: 0.05302 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04721 (8.74 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 18:15:06
hyperliquid
MEGA
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 18:15
→ 20:25
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.05173$
Qty 1770.6715 MEGA
Size 91.5933$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.05302 (+2.49%)
TP $ 2.28$
SL 0.04721 (-8.74%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.29
Status
win
PnL
+2.49%
/ +2.28$
MAE -3.95%
MFE +8.77%
1.0R
expires
02 Oct 00:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 170661)
#1 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 18:00
score du 01/10/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9852
Quality Score
0.767
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.37×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.48×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-1.25
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 18:02
01/10 18:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 01/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 01/10 17:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4593
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
18.4%
Macro
btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 87.9% |
| 1h | 8.6% |
| 4h | 8.6% |
| 24h | 44.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 75.9% | +0.17% |
| 4h | 20.7% | -1.25% |
| 24h | 20.7% | -0.25% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.129
Universe :
58
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 18:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.7669
Score SMA
0.6242
Rank
#1
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9852
Rank Norm SMA
0.6884
Calculé le
01/10/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8675 | r1h: 2.844% · r4h: -2.214% · r1d: 25.73% · r3d: 25.67% · ema21_slope: 0.8900% · dist_ema21: 7.595% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8357 | rs_1h: 2.947% · rs_4h: -1.777% · rs_1d: 24.84% · rs_3d: 24.08% · beta_24h: 1.035 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3751 | rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -0.113 · trend: 86.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9621 | ADX: 55.4 (trend) · Chop: 21.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7964 | ATR%: 3.611% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.8491
Score SMA
0.6834
Rank
#2
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9934
Rank Norm SMA
0.7576
Calculé le
01/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8663 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.735% · r1d: 24.09% · r3d: 23.55% · ema21_slope: 0.3409% · dist_ema21: 15.573% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8551 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.143% · rs_1d: 22.85% · rs_3d: 22.03% · beta_24h: 2.695 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 8.43× · zscore_50: 6.095 · trend: 361.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7473 | ADX: 29.7 (trend) · Chop: 12.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6336 | ATR%: 4.099% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.738%
(0.0045)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.086% | 0.1R | -1.479% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.086% | 0.1R | -3.947% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +8.769% | 1.0R | -3.947% | 0.5R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +8.769% | 1.0R | -3.947% | 0.5R | 2.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +8.769% | 1.0R | -3.947% | 0.5R | 2.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.769% | 1.0R | -8.394% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.769% | 1.0R | -12.751% | 1.5R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.769% | 1.0R | -12.751% | 1.5R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.769% | 1.0R | -12.751% | 1.5R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 139 min
MAE in 1359 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.51
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.37 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.37 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.45 | bull_high | +2.58% | +0.97 | 01/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
73%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.42 | range_medium | +0.74% | +0.95 | 01/10 17:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.28 | range_low | +0.41% | +0.15 | 01/10 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#192710
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.700 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early 7b 0.0ATR | — | — | 0.43 | 37% | ↔ +0.11 | above_value | +1.63 | — | #103735 | 0.37 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.37 |
29/09 20:00
upd 01/10 08:24
|
|
4h
#195930
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | 0.515 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late 5b 3.3ATR | — | — | 8.43 | 100% | ↑ +0.89 | value | +3.56 | — | #105136 | 0.45 | bull_high | +2.58% | +0.97 |
01/10 12:00
upd 01/10 16:19
|
|
1h
anchor #196682
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.817 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
73%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 3b 1.6ATR | — | — | 0.36 | 93% | ↑ +0.72 | above_value | +3.60 | — | #105526 | 0.42 | range_medium | +0.74% | +0.95 |
01/10 17:00
upd 01/10 18:13
|
|
15m
#196528
|
↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | balanced | 0.623 | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 3b 0.8ATR | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.07 | 53% | ↓ -0.88 | value | +2.83 | — | #105370 | 0.28 | range_low | +0.41% | +0.15 |
01/10 17:30
upd 01/10 17:48
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.105×ATR | p0 | +0.035×ATR | p3 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 4.869×ATR | p90 | +3.276×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 1.834×ATR | p11 | +1.611×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.736×ATR | p3 | +0.788×ATR | p36 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.04720994
- tp_price: 0.0530212
- atr: 0.00180723
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T04:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 1
- total: 77
- score: 0.8681
- delta_2h: 0.0639
- extension_atr: 1.47
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9852
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:15 | 0.05172800 | -0.004% |
| 2 | 19:15 | 0.05138100 | -0.675% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05173 | 0.04721 | 0.05302 | 0.29 | 0.04492 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.05173
- Stop Loss: 0.04721
- Take Profit: 0.05302
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04721 - 0.05173 = -0.00452
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.05173 - 0.05302 = -0.00129
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00129 / -0.00452 = 0.2854
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91.5933 | 91.5933 | 1770.6715 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00452
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00452 = -1769.91
Taille de position USD = -1769.91 x 0.05173 = -91.56
Donc, tu peux acheter -1769.91 avec un stoploss a 0.04721
Avec un position size USD de -91.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1769.91 x -0.00452 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1769.91 x -0.00129 = 2.28
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.28$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1769.91
- Taille de position USD -91.56
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.28
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2854
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 2.28 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.74 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.28 $ | 2.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.9474 % | 45.18 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05173 | 0.04721 | 0.05302 | 0.29 | 0.04492 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.05173
- Stop Loss: 0.04721
- Take Profit: 0.05302
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04721 - 0.05173 = -0.00452
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.05173 - 0.05302 = -0.00129
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00129 / -0.00452 = 0.2854
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.738%
(0.0045)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.086% | 0.1R | -1.479% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.086% | 0.1R | -3.947% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +8.769% | 1.0R | -3.947% | 0.5R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +8.769% | 1.0R | -3.947% | 0.5R | 2.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +8.769% | 1.0R | -3.947% | 0.5R | 2.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.769% | 1.0R | -8.394% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.769% | 1.0R | -12.751% | 1.5R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.769% | 1.0R | -12.751% | 1.5R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.769% | 1.0R | -12.751% | 1.5R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 139 min
MAE in 1359 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.