Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 36.06 LIT at 3.781$ per unit. Take profit: 3.6862 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 4.0025 (5.87 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 18:15:07
hyperliquid
LIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 18:15
→ 00:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 3.7807$
Qty 36.0616 LIT
Size 136.3382$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 3.6862 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.41$
SL 4.0025 (-5.87%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.43
Status
win
PnL
+0.05%
/ +0.072$
MAE -1.48%
MFE +1.07%
0.2R
expires
02 Oct 00:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 170665)
#77 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 18:00
score du 01/10/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0296
Quality Score
0.333
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#77 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#77 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.98×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.82×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.47×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.25
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
35.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 18:02
01/10 18:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 17:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4593
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
18.4%
Macro
btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 87.9% |
| 1h | 8.6% |
| 4h | 8.6% |
| 24h | 44.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 75.9% | +0.17% |
| 4h | 20.7% | -1.25% |
| 24h | 20.7% | -0.25% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.129
Universe :
58
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 18:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5068
Score SMA
0.5044
Rank
#61
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2000
Rank Norm SMA
0.1300
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4556 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.53% · r3d: -15.11% · ema21_slope: 0.3834% · dist_ema21: -11.742% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2828 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.55% · rs_3d: -14.13% · beta_24h: 0.406 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9049 | rvol_20: 2.62× · zscore_50: 2.988 · trend: 75.13% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7899 | ADX: 41.4 (trend) · Chop: 45.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 12.047% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.3333
Score SMA
0.4403
Rank
#77
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0296
Rank Norm SMA
0.1659
Calculé le
01/10/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2071 | r1h: -1.933% · r4h: -4.232% · r1d: -5.77% · r3d: -14.29% · ema21_slope: -0.1387% · dist_ema21: -3.725% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1364 | rs_1h: -1.830% · rs_4h: -3.795% · rs_1d: -6.67% · rs_3d: -15.88% · beta_24h: 2.367 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5257 | rvol_20: 2.45× · zscore_50: -0.134 · trend: -32.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4522 | ADX: 13.1 (weak) · Chop: 57.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.366% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3061
Score SMA
0.3748
Rank
#76
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0066
Rank Norm SMA
0.0484
Calculé le
01/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2382 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.336% · r1d: 1.68% · r3d: -12.69% · ema21_slope: -0.8103% · dist_ema21: -5.358% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2567 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.256% · rs_1d: 0.44% · rs_3d: -14.22% · beta_24h: 2.401 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1879 | rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -0.464 · trend: -35.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7758 | ADX: 37.6 (trend) · Chop: 42.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1652 | ATR%: 5.504% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.867%
(0.2218)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.153% | 0.0R | -0.725% | 0.1R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.153% | 0.0R | -1.479% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.153% | 0.0R | -1.479% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.066% | 0.2R | -1.479% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.066% | 0.2R | -2.550% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.066% | 0.2R | -3.174% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.639% | 1.1R | -3.174% | 0.5R | 2.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.559% | 1.6R | -3.174% | 0.5R | 3.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.559% | 1.6R | -3.174% | 0.5R | 3.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1219 min
MAE in 619 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.32
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | — | bull_high | +12.59% | -0.93 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.34 | bull_high | +2.58% | -0.89 | 01/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.35 | range_medium | +0.74% | -0.43 | 01/10 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.20 | range_low | +0.46% | -0.26 | 01/10 17:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187768
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.582 | expansion | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid 6b -1.1ATR | — | — | 2.62 | 100% | ↑ +0.30 | below_value | -3.10 | inside | #101629 | — | bull_high | +12.59% | -0.93 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:27
|
|
4h
#195943
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.408 | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 11b -0.8ATR | — | — | 0.36 | 35% | ↔ -0.10 | above_value | -0.61 | — | #105140 | 0.34 | bull_high | +2.58% | -0.89 |
01/10 12:00
upd 01/10 16:20
|
|
1h
anchor #196686
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.638 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 5b -2.0ATR | — | — | 2.45 | 78% | ↔ +0.11 | above_value | -1.65 | — | #105530 | 0.35 | range_medium | +0.74% | -0.43 |
01/10 17:00
upd 01/10 18:13
|
|
15m
#196607
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.619 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 16b -2.3ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 1.60 | 58% | ↑ +0.49 | above_value | -1.15 | — | #105374 | 0.20 | range_low | +0.46% | -0.26 |
01/10 17:45
upd 01/10 18:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.423×ATR | p39 | -1.106×ATR | p60 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 1.35×ATR | p0 | -0.818×ATR | p50 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 2.36×ATR | p39 | -1.98×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 4.613×ATR | p83 | -2.298×ATR | p92 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 4.00254252
- tp_price: 3.6861825
- atr: 0.08873701
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T04:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 74
- total: 77
- score: 0.2552
- delta_2h: -0.1298
- extension_atr: -1.41
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0296
- confidence: 0.961
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:15 | 3.78070000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:15 | 3.79140000 | +0.283% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.7807 | 4.0025 | 3.6862 | 0.43 | 3.1125 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 3.7807
- Stop Loss: 4.0025
- Take Profit: 3.6862
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.0025 - 3.7807 = 0.2218
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.7807 - 3.6862 = 0.0945
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0945 / 0.2218 = 0.4261
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136.3382 | 100 | 36.0616 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.2218
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2218 = 36.07
Taille de position USD = 36.07 x 3.7807 = 136.37
Donc, tu peux acheter 36.07 avec un stoploss a 4.0025
Avec un position size USD de 136.37$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 36.07 x 0.2218 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 36.07 x 0.0945 = 3.41
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.41$
Résumé
- Taille de position 36.07
- Taille de position USD 136.37
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.41
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4261
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.41 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.87 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.072 $ | 0.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4786 % | 25.2 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.7807 | 4.0025 | 3.6862 | 0.43 | 3.1125 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 3.7807
- Stop Loss: 4.0025
- Take Profit: 3.6862
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.0025 - 3.7807 = 0.2218
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.7807 - 3.6862 = 0.0945
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0945 / 0.2218 = 0.4261
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.867%
(0.2218)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.153% | 0.0R | -0.725% | 0.1R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.153% | 0.0R | -1.479% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.153% | 0.0R | -1.479% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.066% | 0.2R | -1.479% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.066% | 0.2R | -2.550% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.066% | 0.2R | -3.174% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.639% | 1.1R | -3.174% | 0.5R | 2.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.559% | 1.6R | -3.174% | 0.5R | 3.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.559% | 1.6R | -3.174% | 0.5R | 3.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1219 min
MAE in 619 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.