Short Trade on PENGU (BosPullback)
With 38816.11 PENGU at 0.00942$ per unit. Take profit: 0.00891 (5.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.009631 (2.19 %)
Short Trade on PENGU (BosPullback)
With 38816.11 PENGU at 0.00942$ per unit. Take profit: 0.00891 (5.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.009631 (2.19 %)
Position
Entry 0.009425$
Qty 38816.1087 PENGU
Size 365.8418$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.00891 (+5.46%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.009631 (-2.19%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2681
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.36×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.69×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.57×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 01/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 17:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 55.2% |
| 1h | 91.4% |
| 4h | 19.0% |
| 24h | 43.1% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 63.8% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 20.7% | -0.52% |
| 24h | 15.5% | -0.45% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6408 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.51% · r3d: -6.30% · ema21_slope: 1.6707% · dist_ema21: 6.849% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4246 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.50% · rs_3d: -5.32% · beta_24h: 1.607 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4638 | rvol_20: 1.23× · zscore_50: 0.392 · trend: 40.48% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8129 | ADX: 37.5 (trend) · Chop: 33.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.421% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3951 | r1h: -1.087% · r4h: -1.874% · r1d: -2.06% · r3d: 1.03% · ema21_slope: -0.1873% · dist_ema21: -2.001% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3875 | rs_1h: -0.984% · rs_4h: -1.437% · rs_1d: -2.96% · rs_3d: -0.55% · beta_24h: 2.255 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1470 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -0.796 · trend: -69.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5258 | ADX: 21.3 (weak) · Chop: 57.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.858% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5886 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.124% · r1d: -0.94% · r3d: 2.79% · ema21_slope: -0.0216% · dist_ema21: -1.956% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4823 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.532% · rs_1d: -2.18% · rs_3d: 1.26% · beta_24h: 2.665 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1632 | rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.771 · trend: -39.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6035 | ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 56.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4884 | ATR%: 4.535% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.478% | 0.2R | -0.308% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.478% | 0.2R | -1.103% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.531% | 0.2R | -1.613% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.531% | 0.2R | -6.058% | 2.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.531% | 0.2R | -7.130% | 3.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.382% | 3.8R | -7.130% | 3.3R | 1.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.382% | 3.8R | -7.130% | 3.3R | 1.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.382% | 3.8R | -7.130% | 3.3R | 1.2× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.72 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.95 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.57 | bull_high | +2.58% | -0.27 | 01/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.55 | range_medium | +0.74% | -0.35 | 01/10 17:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.70 | range_low | +0.62% | -0.05 | 01/10 18:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187701
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.681 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 15b 0.6ATR | — | near -0.4ATR | 1.23 | 88% | ↑ +0.90 | value | -1.08 | — | #101607 | 0.72 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.95 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:24
|
|
4h
#195870
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.491 | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early 7b -0.4ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.42 | 51% | ↓ -0.42 | below_value | -2.37 | — | #105116 | 0.57 | bull_high | +2.58% | -0.27 |
01/10 12:00
upd 01/10 16:17
|
|
1h
anchor #196662
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.486 | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid 3b -1.2ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.04 | 1% | ↓ -0.61 | below_value | -2.82 | — | #105506 | 0.55 | range_medium | +0.74% | -0.35 |
01/10 17:00
upd 01/10 18:12
|
|
15m
#196821
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.516 | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 9b -0.4ATR | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.03 | 1% | ↓ -0.90 | below_value | -2.82 | — | #105506 | 0.70 | range_low | +0.62% | -0.05 |
01/10 18:15
upd 01/10 18:32
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 3.257×ATR | p21 | +0.588×ATR | p32 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.606×ATR | p17 | -0.441×ATR | p23 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.401×ATR | p5 | -1.201×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.362×ATR | p44 | -0.445×ATR | p22 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.009618
145
0.2584
0.6018
0.4147
0.2616
0.54
0.5342
0.4512
0.568
0.2854
0.0825
0.6171
0.2243
-0.0749
-0.0596
0
-0.7961
-1.5919
0.35
0.65
-1
7
1
0.4767
0.4994
4.1774
0.6
0.5342
2.2315
-1.5919
0.6143
0.2648
0
-0.1763
0.4945
0.4559
0.8152
0.2243
-10.04
2.9034
1
0
1
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-26 20:00:00
[price] => 0.009678
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 08:00:00
[price] => 0.010239
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 09:00:00
[price] => 0.010001
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 12:00:00
[price] => 0.01095
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 16:00:00
[price] => 0.009921
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[label] => LL
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Array
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[price] => 0.0105
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)
Array
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[price] => 0.00939
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Array
(
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[price] => 0.01005
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)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 15:00:00
[price] => 0.009257
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 17:00:00
[price] => 0.009819
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 02:00:00
[price] => 0.008984
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 13:00:00
[price] => 0.01006
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 17:00:00
[price] => 0.00953
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-30 02:00:00
[price] => 0.010309
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-30 07:00:00
[price] => 0.009659
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-30 13:00:00
[price] => 0.010646
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-30 22:00:00
[price] => 0.009449
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 06:00:00
[price] => 0.009965
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 15:00:00
[price] => 0.00922
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 18:00:00
[price] => 0.009618
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-30 23:15:00
[price] => 0.00968
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 00:15:00
[price] => 0.009543
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 01:15:00
[price] => 0.009713
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 02:00:00
[price] => 0.009578
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 04:00:00
[price] => 0.009954
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 05:15:00
[price] => 0.009832
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 06:15:00
[price] => 0.009965
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 07:15:00
[price] => 0.0096
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 09:30:00
[price] => 0.009784
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 10:00:00
[price] => 0.009568
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 10:45:00
[price] => 0.009761
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 14:00:00
[price] => 0.009303
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 14:30:00
[price] => 0.009448
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 15:00:00
[price] => 0.00922
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 16:30:00
[price] => 0.009431
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 16:45:00
[price] => 0.009261
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 18:30:00
[price] => 0.009618
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 19:30:00
[price] => 0.009401
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 20:00:00
[price] => 0.009575
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 21:45:00
[price] => 0.009338
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
0.00922
0.009618
0.009618
0.00922
0.009401
0.008984
0.0091925
0.7625
0.009965
0.00973
0.0098475
0.807
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:34 | 0.00942500 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:07 | 0.00942900 | +0.042% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.009425 | 0.009631 | 0.00891 | 2.5 | 0.006827 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.009631 - 0.009425 = 0.000206
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.009425 - 0.00891 = 0.000515
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000515 / 0.000206 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 365.8418 | 100 | 38816.1087 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.000206 = 38834.95
Taille de position USD = 38834.95 x 0.009425 = 366.02
Donc, tu peux acheter 38834.95 avec un stoploss a 0.009631
Avec un position size USD de 366.02$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 38834.95 x 0.000206 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 38834.95 x 0.000515 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.46 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.19 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.6844 % | 122.82 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.009425 | 0.009631 | 0.00891 | 2.5 | 0.006827 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.009631 - 0.009425 = 0.000206
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.009425 - 0.00891 = 0.000515
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000515 / 0.000206 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.00891
[entry_price] => 0.009425
[stop_loss] => 0.0096516
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 04:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
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[take_profit] => 0.00891
[entry_price] => 0.009425
[stop_loss] => 0.0096722
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 04:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.00891
[entry_price] => 0.009425
[stop_loss] => 0.0096928
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 04:20:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.00891
[entry_price] => 0.009425
[stop_loss] => 0.009734
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 04:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.478% | 0.2R | -0.308% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.478% | 0.2R | -1.103% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.531% | 0.2R | -1.613% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.531% | 0.2R | -6.058% | 2.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.531% | 0.2R | -7.130% | 3.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.382% | 3.8R | -7.130% | 3.3R | 1.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.382% | 3.8R | -7.130% | 3.3R | 1.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.382% | 3.8R | -7.130% | 3.3R | 1.2× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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