Short Trade on AVAX (BosPullback)
With 62.89 AVAX at 10.966$ per unit. Take profit: 10.648 (2.9 %) & Stop Loss: 11.0932 (1.16 %)
Short Trade on AVAX (BosPullback)
With 62.89 AVAX at 10.966$ per unit. Take profit: 10.648 (2.9 %) & Stop Loss: 11.0932 (1.16 %)
Position
Entry 10.966$
Qty 62.8885 AVAX
Size 689.635$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 10.648 (+2.9%)
TP $ 20$
SL 11.0932 (-1.16%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7266
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.74×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.70×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.06×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 01/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 01/10 19:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 50.0% |
| 1h | 55.2% |
| 4h | 34.5% |
| 24h | 36.2% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 72.4% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 29.3% | -0.32% |
| 24h | 15.5% | -0.52% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8347 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.39% · r3d: 3.62% · ema21_slope: 1.8385% · dist_ema21: 11.044% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6724 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.08% · rs_3d: 1.97% · beta_24h: 0.964 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5768 | rvol_20: 1.39× · zscore_50: 1.083 · trend: 71.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8953 | ADX: 47.4 (trend) · Chop: 27.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.745% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4996 | r1h: 0.082% · r4h: -0.118% · r1d: 0.39% · r3d: 3.62% · ema21_slope: -0.0504% · dist_ema21: 0.003% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4926 | rs_1h: -0.062% · rs_4h: -0.371% · rs_1d: -1.08% · rs_3d: 1.97% · beta_24h: 1.433 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2105 | rvol_20: 0.15× · zscore_50: -0.770 · trend: -3.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4537 | ADX: 21.9 (weak) · Chop: 66.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.246% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6341 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.118% · r1d: 0.39% · r3d: 3.62% · ema21_slope: 0.0399% · dist_ema21: 0.005% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5397 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.371% · rs_1d: -1.08% · rs_3d: 1.97% · beta_24h: 3.198 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4108 | rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: 0.571 · trend: 24.56% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3696 | ADX: 18.3 (weak) · Chop: 73.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9103 | ATR%: 3.269% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.894% | 0.8R | -0.201% | 0.2R | 4.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.967% | 0.8R | -1.031% | 0.9R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.967% | 0.8R | -2.070% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.967% | 0.8R | -2.252% | 1.9R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.967% | 0.8R | -2.800% | 2.4R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.870% | 4.2R | -2.800% | 2.4R | 1.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.870% | 4.2R | -2.800% | 2.4R | 1.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.870% | 4.2R | -2.800% | 2.4R | 1.7× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.72 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.99 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.53 | bull_high | +2.78% | +0.41 | 01/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.49 | bull_medium | +1.10% | -0.25 | 01/10 19:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_medium |
37%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.73 | range_low | +0.64% | -0.00 | 01/10 20:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197487
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.684 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid 7b 1.1ATR | — | near 0.5ATR | 1.39 | 98% | ↑ +0.79 | above_value | +0.21 | — | #105768 | 0.72 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.99 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:16
|
|
4h
#197398
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.620 | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 14b 0.0ATR | — | — | 0.96 | 85% | ↔ -0.05 | above_value | +0.21 | — | #105768 | 0.53 | bull_high | +2.78% | +0.41 |
01/10 16:00
upd 01/10 20:12
|
|
1h
anchor #197397
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.373 | compression | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 4b 0.0ATR | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.15 | 12% | ↔ +0.09 | above_value | +0.21 | — | #105768 | 0.49 | bull_medium | +1.10% | -0.25 |
01/10 19:00
upd 01/10 20:12
|
|
15m
#197731
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.531 | compression | range_medium |
37%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 11b 0.1ATR | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.10 | 15% | ↔ -0.08 | above_value | +0.21 | — | #105768 | 0.73 | range_low | +0.64% | -0.00 |
01/10 20:15
upd 01/10 20:30
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 1.363×ATR | p0 | +1.072×ATR | p66 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 14b | — | 2.867×ATR | p29 | +0.002×ATR | p1 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 0.687×ATR | p3 | +0.002×ATR | p0 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 2.527×ATR | p44 | +0.129×ATR | p11 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
11.083
144
0.2739
0.5389
0.3925
0.2173
0.5358
0.7651
0.2161
0.4198
0.2929
0.1287
0.5924
0.4344
-0.014
-0.016
0
-0.2198
-0.4775
0.35
0.65
-1
8
1
0.5654
0.4965
3.0736
0.55
0.7651
2.3516
-0.4775
0.2282
0.332
0.02
-0.125
0.4464
0.546
0.6407
0.4344
-8.9563
6.8797
1
1
1
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[price] => 10.704
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[label] => LL
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[price] => 10.981
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Array
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(
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[price] => 11.187
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(
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[price] => 10.962
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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[price] => 11.192
[kind] => high
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Array
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[label] => LL
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[price] => 10.779
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[price] => 11.166
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[price] => 11.06
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[kind] => high
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[label] => HL
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[price] => 11.036
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 14:30:00
[price] => 11.026
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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[price] => 10.839
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
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Array
(
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[price] => 10.967
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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Array
(
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10.728
11.083
11.083
10.728
11.192
10.962
11.077
0.813
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:36 | 10.96600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:11 | 10.91800000 | -0.438% |
| 3 | 21:23 | 10.90400000 | -0.565% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.966 | 11.0932 | 10.648 | 2.5 | 8.4054 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.0932 - 10.966 = 0.1272
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 10.966 - 10.648 = 0.318
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.318 / 0.1272 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 689.635 | 100 | 62.8885 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1272 = 62.89
Taille de position USD = 62.89 x 10.966 = 689.65
Donc, tu peux acheter 62.89 avec un stoploss a 11.0932
Avec un position size USD de 689.65$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 62.89 x 0.1272 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 62.89 x 0.318 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.9 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.16 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.16 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.605 % | 138.37 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.966 | 11.0932 | 10.648 | 2.5 | 8.4054 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.0932 - 10.966 = 0.1272
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 10.966 - 10.648 = 0.318
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.318 / 0.1272 = 2.5
Array
(
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Array
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[1.1] => Array
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[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 04:20:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.2] => Array
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[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 04:20:00+00
[result] => loss
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[rr_ratio] => 1.67
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[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 04:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.894% | 0.8R | -0.201% | 0.2R | 4.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.967% | 0.8R | -1.031% | 0.9R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.967% | 0.8R | -2.070% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.967% | 0.8R | -2.252% | 1.9R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.967% | 0.8R | -2.800% | 2.4R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.870% | 4.2R | -2.800% | 2.4R | 1.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.870% | 4.2R | -2.800% | 2.4R | 1.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.870% | 4.2R | -2.800% | 2.4R | 1.7× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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