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Short Trade on SEI

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01 Oct 2026 at 21:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on SEI (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 3546.4 SEI at 0.07$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06826 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07227 (3.23 %)

SEI SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 21:15 → 03:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.07001$

Qty 3546.398 SEI

Size 248.2833$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.06826 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.21$

SL 0.07227 (-3.23%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.77

Status loss PnL -1.71% / -4.25$ MAE -2.94% MFE +0.45% 0.1R expires 02 Oct 03:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170997)
#74 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1827

Quality Score
0.394
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#74 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#74 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.77×ATR
4h clear 4.00×ATR
1d clear 4.62×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.19
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 21:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

01/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 20:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4605
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 36.8%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 29.3%
1h 58.6%
4h 37.9%
24h 43.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 32.8% -0.03%
4h 34.5% -0.19%
24h 17.2% -0.35%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.089
Universe : 58 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 21:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5576
Score SMA
0.7248
Rank
#35 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5526
Rank Norm SMA
0.8080
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7088 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.26% · r3d: -8.85% · ema21_slope: 3.0607% · dist_ema21: 13.206%
Force Relative 25% 0.5426 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.74% · rs_3d: -10.50% · beta_24h: 1.369
Volume 20% 0.3779 rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: 0.056 · trend: 66.16%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8917 ADX: 47.0 (trend) · Chop: 12.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.514% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.3944
Score SMA
0.5887
Rank
#74 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1827
Rank Norm SMA
0.5841
Calculé le
01/10/2026 21:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3264 r1h: -0.338% · r4h: -1.517% · r1d: -4.98% · r3d: -7.29% · ema21_slope: -0.1815% · dist_ema21: -2.310%
Force Relative 25% 0.2966 rs_1h: -0.234% · rs_4h: -1.708% · rs_1d: -6.49% · rs_3d: -9.22% · beta_24h: 1.379
Volume 20% 0.1805 rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.415 · trend: -43.86%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5746 ADX: 26.3 (trend) · Chop: 56.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.349% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4274
Score SMA
0.6627
Rank
#55 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2500
Rank Norm SMA
0.7656
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4896 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.395% · r1d: -4.26% · r3d: -8.85% · ema21_slope: -0.1167% · dist_ema21: -3.625%
Force Relative 25% 0.3833 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.648% · rs_1d: -5.74% · rs_3d: -10.50% · beta_24h: 0.649
Volume 20% 0.2302 rvol_20: 0.78× · zscore_50: -0.389 · trend: -42.01%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3667 ADX: 23.0 (weak) · Chop: 78.4 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.8365 ATR%: 3.490% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.228% (0.0023)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.450% 0.1R -1.985% 0.6R 0.2× 12
2h +0.450% 0.1R -2.130% 0.7R 0.2× 24
4h +0.450% 0.1R -2.941% 0.9R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +0.450% 0.1R -2.941% 0.9R 0.2× 72
8h +0.450% 0.1R -3.064% 1.0R 0.2× 96
12h +0.450% 0.1R -3.720% 1.2R 0.1× 144
24h +4.515% 1.4R -3.751% 1.2R 1.2× 288
48h +4.515% 1.4R -3.751% 1.2R 1.2× 576
72h +4.515% 1.4R -8.417% 2.6R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1049 min MAE in 739 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.28
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
71%
noisy_chop 47% early — — 0.64 bull_high +13.92% +1.00 30/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong grind compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.52 bull_high +2.78% -0.82 01/10 16:00
1h ↓ down range range weak fading compression bear_high
49%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.34 bull_medium +0.97% -0.54 01/10 20:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_medium
58%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.60 range_low +0.59% -0.19 01/10 20:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197579
 ↑ up range range strong balanced 0.672 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
71%
noisy_chop 47% early 3b 1.2ATR — — 0.62 81% ↑ +0.84 below_value -3.56 — #105787 0.64 bull_high +13.92% +1.00
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:20
4h
#197436
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong grind 0.729 compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 40% mid 23b -1.4ATR — — 0.78 76% ↓ -0.43 below_value -3.56 inside #105787 0.52 bull_high +2.78% -0.82
01/10 16:00
upd 01/10 20:14
1h anchor
#197978
 ↓ down range range weak fading 0.655 compression bear_high
49%
noisy_chop 44% late 17b -1.8ATR — — 0.23 6% ↔ -0.14 below_value -3.92 — #106021 0.34 bull_medium +0.97% -0.54
01/10 20:00
upd 01/10 21:09
15m
#197905
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.486 compression bear_medium
58%
noisy_chop 43% late 12b -1.5ATR — — 0.27 30% ↓ -0.60 below_value -3.56 — #105787 0.60 range_low +0.59% -0.19
01/10 20:45
upd 01/10 21:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 3b — 3.051×ATR p6 +1.198×ATR p54
4h ↓ down mid 23b — 6.568×ATR p79 -1.366×ATR p61
1h ↓ down late 17b — 4.819×ATR p88 -1.806×ATR p80
15m ↑ up late 12b — 0.216×ATR p0 -1.504×ATR p87

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.07226581
  2. tp_price: 0.06825975
  3. atr: 0.00090232
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T07:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 72
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.3264
  4. delta_2h: -0.0455
  5. extension_atr: -1.85
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1828
  9. confidence: 0.934

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07001 0.07227 0.06826 0.77 0.05052
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07001
  • Stop Loss: 0.07227
  • Take Profit: 0.06826

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07227 - 0.07001 = 0.00226

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07001 - 0.06826 = 0.00175

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00175 / 0.00226 = 0.7743

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
248.2833 100 3546.398 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00226

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00226 = 3539.82

Taille de position USD = 3539.82 x 0.07001 = 247.82

Donc, tu peux acheter 3539.82 avec un stoploss a 0.07227

Avec un position size USD de 247.82$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3539.82 x 0.00226 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3539.82 x 0.00175 = 6.19

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.19$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3539.82
  • Taille de position USD 247.82
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.19
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7743

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 6.21 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.23 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-4.25 $ -1.71
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.941 % 91.11 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07001 0.07227 0.06826 0.77 0.05052
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07001
  • Stop Loss: 0.07227
  • Take Profit: 0.06826

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07227 - 0.07001 = 0.00226

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07001 - 0.06826 = 0.00175

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00175 / 0.00226 = 0.7743

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.228% (0.0023)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.450% 0.1R -1.985% 0.6R 0.2× 12
2h +0.450% 0.1R -2.130% 0.7R 0.2× 24
4h +0.450% 0.1R -2.941% 0.9R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +0.450% 0.1R -2.941% 0.9R 0.2× 72
8h +0.450% 0.1R -3.064% 1.0R 0.2× 96
12h +0.450% 0.1R -3.720% 1.2R 0.1× 144
24h +4.515% 1.4R -3.751% 1.2R 1.2× 288
48h +4.515% 1.4R -3.751% 1.2R 1.2× 576
72h +4.515% 1.4R -8.417% 2.6R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1049 min MAE in 739 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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