Short Trade on ZEC

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01 Oct 2026 at 22:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 0.14 ZEC at 1344.7$ per unit. Take profit: 1311.0825 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1402.4926 (4.3 %)

ZEC SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 22:15 → 04:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 1344.7$

Qty 0.1384 ZEC

Size 186.1416$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 1311.0825 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.65$

SL 1402.4926 (-4.3%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.58

Status loss PnL -3.63% / -6.76$ MAE -4.11% MFE +1.27% 0.3R expires 02 Oct 04:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171120)

#75 / 77

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1903

Quality Score

0.394

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#75 / 77

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-3

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.30 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#75 / 77

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.30 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	clear	3.08×ATR
1d	clear	6.21×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

alts

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

0.47

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

465.2M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 22:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 21:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 21:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4609

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.55	expansion -1
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 61.6%

Macro broad_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	62.7%
1h	40.7%
4h	76.3%
24h	39.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	78.0%	+0.09%
4h	69.5%	+0.47%
24h	18.6%	-0.49%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.128

Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 1.00

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 22:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4110

Score SMA

0.5640

Rank

#72 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0658

Rank Norm SMA

0.3467

Calculé le

01/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4731	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -7.14% · r3d: -9.96% · ema21_slope: 1.4344% · dist_ema21: -3.596%
Force Relative	25%	0.3319	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.61% · rs_3d: -11.61% · beta_24h: 1.058
Volume	20%	0.3561	rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: 0.186 · trend: 17.37%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7657	ADX: 51.5 (trend) · Chop: 58.4 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.948% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 22:00

Score brut

0.3939

Score SMA

0.5042

Rank

#75 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1903

Rank Norm SMA

0.3739

Calculé le

01/10/2026 22:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3423	r1h: -0.410% · r4h: 1.105% · r1d: -5.82% · r3d: -4.67% · ema21_slope: -0.3015% · dist_ema21: -2.121%
Force Relative	25%	0.3396	rs_1h: -0.560% · rs_4h: 0.660% · rs_1d: -7.47% · rs_3d: -6.89% · beta_24h: 1.882
Volume	20%	0.2133	rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.347 · trend: -28.75%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7507	ADX: 37.9 (trend) · Chop: 46.3 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.828% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.3270

Score SMA

0.4915

Rank

#74 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0329

Rank Norm SMA

0.3054

Calculé le

01/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2698	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.724% · r1d: -7.14% · r3d: -9.96% · ema21_slope: -0.3765% · dist_ema21: -6.171%
Force Relative	25%	0.2167	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.471% · rs_1d: -8.61% · rs_3d: -11.61% · beta_24h: 2.032
Volume	20%	0.2445	rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.566 · trend: 2.44%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5225	ADX: 18.1 (weak) · Chop: 54.0 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.6461	ATR%: 4.062% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.298% (57.7926)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.272%	0.3R	-0.231%	0.1R	5.5×	12
2h	+1.272%	0.3R	-0.231%	0.1R	5.5×	24
4h	+1.272%	0.3R	-4.112%	1.0R	0.3×	48
6h ★	+1.272%	0.3R	-4.112%	1.0R	0.3×	72
8h	+1.272%	0.3R	-4.410%	1.0R	0.3×	96
12h	+1.272%	0.3R	-5.087%	1.2R	0.3×	144
24h	+5.444%	1.3R	-5.087%	1.2R	1.1×	288
48h	+5.444%	1.3R	-5.087%	1.2R	1.1×	576
72h	+5.444%	1.3R	-5.087%	1.2R	1.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 989 min MAE in 679 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 4.24

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	—	0.56	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.40	30/09 20:00
4h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	—	—	0.53	bull_high	+2.78%	-0.91	01/10 16:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 35%	early	—	—	0.45	bull_medium	+1.10%	-0.67	01/10 21:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 39%	early	—	near -0.3ATR	0.68	range_low	+0.71%	-0.03	01/10 21:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197707	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.676	expansion	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 38%	early 5b -0.4ATR	—	—	0.84	88%	↔ +0.13	value	-2.43	inside	#105833	0.56	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.40	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:26
4h #197608	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.510	normal	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 8b -1.7ATR	—	—	0.58	42%	↓ -0.34	value	-2.43	—	#105833	0.53	bull_high	+2.78%	-0.91	01/10 16:00 upd 01/10 20:21
1h anchor #198408	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.515	normal	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 35%	early 6b -1.1ATR	—	—	0.55	44%	↔ +0.01	above_value	-3.30	inside	#106221	0.45	bull_medium	+1.10%	-0.67	01/10 21:00 upd 01/10 22:12
15m #198330	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.606	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 39%	early 1b 0.1ATR	—	near -0.3ATR	1.07	59%	↓ -0.21	value	-2.46	—	#106067	0.68	range_low	+0.71%	-0.03	01/10 21:45 upd 01/10 22:04
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	5b	—	2.702×ATR	p0	-0.351×ATR	p16
4h	↓ down	mid	8b	—	2.917×ATR	p43	-1.734×ATR	p71
1h	↑ up	early	6b	—	1.237×ATR	p0	-1.111×ATR	p56
15m	↑ up	early	1b	—	1.754×ATR	p3	+0.094×ATR	p4

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 1402.49255167
tp_price: 1311.0825
atr: 23.11702067
expires_at: 2026-10-02T08:15:06+00:00

Details

rank: 75
total: 78
score: 0.2812
delta_2h: -0.0517
extension_atr: -0.72
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.179
confidence: 0.961

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	22:15	1344.70000000	0%
2	23:15	1336.70000000	-0.595%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1344.7	1402.4926	1311.0825	0.58	1290.8

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1344.7
Stop Loss: 1402.4926
Take Profit: 1311.0825

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1402.4926 - 1344.7 = 57.7926
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1344.7 - 1311.0825 = 33.6175
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 33.6175 / 57.7926 = 0.5817

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
186.1416	100	0.1384	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 57.7926

Taille de position = 8 / 57.7926 = 0.14

Taille de position USD = 0.14 x 1344.7 = 188.26

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.14 avec un stoploss a 1402.4926

Avec un position size USD de 188.26$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.14 x 57.7926 = 8.09

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.09$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.14 x 33.6175 = 4.71

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.71$

Résumé

Taille de position 0.14
Taille de position USD 188.26
Perte potentielle 8.09
Gain potentiel 4.71
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5817

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	4.65 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.3 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-6.76 $	-3.63

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.1124 %	95.69 %	3

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1344.7	1402.4926	1311.0825	0.58	1290.8

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1344.7
Stop Loss: 1402.4926
Take Profit: 1311.0825

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1402.4926 - 1344.7 = 57.7926
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1344.7 - 1311.0825 = 33.6175
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 33.6175 / 57.7926 = 0.5817

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.298% (57.7926)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.272%	0.3R	-0.231%	0.1R	5.5×	12
2h	+1.272%	0.3R	-0.231%	0.1R	5.5×	24
4h	+1.272%	0.3R	-4.112%	1.0R	0.3×	48
6h ★	+1.272%	0.3R	-4.112%	1.0R	0.3×	72
8h	+1.272%	0.3R	-4.410%	1.0R	0.3×	96
12h	+1.272%	0.3R	-5.087%	1.2R	0.3×	144
24h	+5.444%	1.3R	-5.087%	1.2R	1.1×	288
48h	+5.444%	1.3R	-5.087%	1.2R	1.1×	576
72h	+5.444%	1.3R	-5.087%	1.2R	1.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 989 min MAE in 679 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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