Long Trade on STX (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 386.89 STX at 0.38$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3899 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3597 (5.42 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 23:15:13
hyperliquid
STX
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 23:15
→ 05:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.3803$
Qty 386.8861 STX
Size 147.1521$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3899 (+2.52%)
TP $ 3.71$
SL 0.3597 (-5.42%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 0.47
Status
loss
PnL
-2.71%
/ -3.99$
MAE -2.97%
MFE +0.28%
0.1R
expires
02 Oct 05:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171145)
#14 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 23:00
score du 01/10/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8315
Quality Score
0.565
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#14 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.42 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#14 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.42 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 4.09×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.61×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.35×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.63
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 23:00
01/10 23:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 01/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/10 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4613
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
66.7%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 50.0% |
| 1h | 53.3% |
| 4h | 83.3% |
| 24h | 38.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 50.0% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 63.3% | +0.63% |
| 24h | 16.7% | -0.75% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.116
Universe :
60
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 23:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8220
Score SMA
0.6932
Rank
#2
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9868
Rank Norm SMA
0.6865
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9240 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.81% · r3d: 19.16% · ema21_slope: 1.5164% · dist_ema21: 19.794% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8593 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.66% · rs_3d: 17.51% · beta_24h: 1.612 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 4.05× · zscore_50: 3.607 · trend: 168.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8668 | ADX: 44.0 (trend) · Chop: 27.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.233% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.5654
Score SMA
0.5879
Rank
#14
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8315
Rank Norm SMA
0.5716
Calculé le
01/10/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6691 | r1h: 0.614% · r4h: 0.730% · r1d: -0.59% · r3d: 23.19% · ema21_slope: 0.0185% · dist_ema21: -0.024% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6079 | rs_1h: 0.276% · rs_4h: 0.201% · rs_1d: -2.62% · rs_3d: 20.49% · beta_24h: 1.629 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1611 | rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.584 · trend: -73.78% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5365 | ADX: 37.7 (trend) · Chop: 72.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.291% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6303
Score SMA
0.6430
Rank
#5
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9211
Rank Norm SMA
0.6096
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7264 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.084% · r1d: 0.81% · r3d: 19.16% · ema21_slope: 0.7966% · dist_ema21: 5.772% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7065 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.336% · rs_1d: -0.66% · rs_3d: 17.51% · beta_24h: 1.156 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3062 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.442 · trend: 51.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7887 | ADX: 34.6 (trend) · Chop: 20.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5622 | ATR%: 4.313% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.417%
(0.0206)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.209% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.276% | 0.1R | -2.209% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.276% | 0.1R | -2.777% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.276% | 0.1R | -2.966% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.276% | 0.1R | -3.663% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.276% | 0.1R | -4.731% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.276% | 0.1R | -7.704% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.733% | 0.9R | -7.704% | 1.4R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.677% | 1.6R | -7.704% | 1.4R | 1.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 69 min
MAE in 929 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.16
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.63 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.99 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.36 | bull_high | +2.78% | +0.90 | 01/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.36 | bull_medium | +1.41% | -0.77 | 01/10 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.29 | bull_low | +0.99% | -0.09 | 01/10 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197542
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.558 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid 15b 1.7ATR | — | near -0.3ATR | 4.05 | 100% | ↑ +0.72 | above_value | -0.42 | — | #105779 | 0.63 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.99 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:18
|
|
4h
#197420
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.690 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early 4b 1.1ATR | — | — | 0.22 | 58% | ↑ +0.92 | above_value | -0.42 | — | #105779 | 0.36 | bull_high | +2.78% | +0.90 |
01/10 16:00
upd 01/10 20:13
|
|
1h
anchor #198740
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.554 | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 10b 0.0ATR | — | — | 0.31 | 69% | ↓ -0.86 | above_value | -0.17 | — | #106323 | 0.36 | bull_medium | +1.41% | -0.77 |
01/10 22:00
upd 01/10 23:09
|
|
15m
#198668
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.638 | normal | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid 5b 0.6ATR | — | — | 1.80 | 47% | ↑ +0.33 | above_value | -0.43 | — | #106168 | 0.29 | bull_low | +0.99% | -0.09 |
01/10 22:45
upd 01/10 23:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 4.733×ATR | p62 | +1.734×ATR | p74 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.796×ATR | p34 | +1.142×ATR | p56 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 1.606×ATR | p5 | -0.012×ATR | p1 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 2.548×ATR | p52 | +0.571×ATR | p23 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.35967208
- tp_price: 0.38985875
- atr: 0.00827117
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T09:15:13+00:00
Details
- rank: 10
- total: 79
- score: 0.6691
- delta_2h: 0.0858
- extension_atr: 0.37
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.836
- confidence: 0.935
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3803 | 0.3597 | 0.3899 | 0.47 | 0.3385 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3803
- Stop Loss: 0.3597
- Take Profit: 0.3899
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3597 - 0.3803 = -0.0206
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3803 - 0.3899 = -0.0096
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0096 / -0.0206 = 0.466
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 147.1521 | 100 | 386.8861 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0206
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0206 = -388.35
Taille de position USD = -388.35 x 0.3803 = -147.69
Donc, tu peux acheter -388.35 avec un stoploss a 0.3597
Avec un position size USD de -147.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -388.35 x -0.0206 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -388.35 x -0.0096 = 3.73
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.73$
Résumé
- Taille de position -388.35
- Taille de position USD -147.69
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.73
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.466
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.52 % | 3.71 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.42 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.99 $ | -2.71 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.9661 % | 54.76 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3803 | 0.3597 | 0.3899 | 0.47 | 0.3385 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3803
- Stop Loss: 0.3597
- Take Profit: 0.3899
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3597 - 0.3803 = -0.0206
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3803 - 0.3899 = -0.0096
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0096 / -0.0206 = 0.466
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.417%
(0.0206)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.209% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.276% | 0.1R | -2.209% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.276% | 0.1R | -2.777% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.276% | 0.1R | -2.966% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.276% | 0.1R | -3.663% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.276% | 0.1R | -4.731% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.276% | 0.1R | -7.704% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.733% | 0.9R | -7.704% | 1.4R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.677% | 1.6R | -7.704% | 1.4R | 1.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 69 min
MAE in 929 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.