Short Trade on VVV

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01 Oct 2026 at 23:15:14 hyperliquid

Short Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 6.59 VVV at 26.595$ per unit. Take profit: 25.9301 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 27.8089 (4.56 %)

VVV SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 23:15 → 00:50 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 26.595$

Qty 6.5903 VVV

Size 175.2689$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 25.9301 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.38$

SL 27.8089 (-4.56%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.55

Status loss PnL -4.56% / -8$ MAE -12.88% MFE +0.79% 0.2R expires 02 Oct 05:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171187)

#67 / 78

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3224

Quality Score

0.426

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#67 / 78

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

92 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-3

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.56 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#67 / 78

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

92 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.56 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.80×ATR
4h	near	-1.67×ATR
1d	clear	0.52×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

alts

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

0.63

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

11.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 23:01

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 22:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4613

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.55	expansion -1
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 66.7%

Macro broad_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	50.0%
1h	53.3%
4h	83.3%
24h	38.3%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	50.0%	+0.01%
4h	63.3%	+0.63%
24h	16.7%	-0.75%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.116

Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 1.00

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 23:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4096

Score SMA

0.5161

Rank

#73 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0526

Rank Norm SMA

0.1816

Calculé le

01/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4926	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.50% · r3d: -5.84% · ema21_slope: 1.4000% · dist_ema21: -1.498%
Force Relative	25%	0.3756	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.97% · rs_3d: -7.49% · beta_24h: 1.118
Volume	20%	0.2072	rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.331 · trend: -28.07%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8434	ADX: 54.9 (trend) · Chop: 52.3 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 11.037% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 23:00

Score brut

0.4261

Score SMA

0.4768

Rank

#67 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3224

Rank Norm SMA

0.2876

Calculé le

01/10/2026 23:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3865	r1h: -0.342% · r4h: 0.680% · r1d: -2.85% · r3d: 1.11% · ema21_slope: -0.1935% · dist_ema21: -1.569%
Force Relative	25%	0.4005	rs_1h: -0.680% · rs_4h: 0.151% · rs_1d: -4.88% · rs_3d: -1.60% · beta_24h: 2.279
Volume	20%	0.2208	rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.212 · trend: -32.51%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6119	ADX: 25.8 (trend) · Chop: 51.0 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.909% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.3105

Score SMA

0.4048

Rank

#75 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0921

Rank Norm SMA

0.0866

Calculé le

01/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2899	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.807% · r1d: -5.50% · r3d: -5.84% · ema21_slope: -0.2173% · dist_ema21: -4.691%
Force Relative	25%	0.2077	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.060% · rs_1d: -6.97% · rs_3d: -7.49% · beta_24h: 2.407
Volume	20%	0.2314	rvol_20: 0.65× · zscore_50: -0.587 · trend: -15.24%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4328	ADX: 24.0 (weak) · Chop: 71.2 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.6040	ATR%: 4.188% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.564% (1.2139)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.786%	0.2R	-0.902%	0.2R	0.9×	12
2h	+0.786%	0.2R	-4.711%	1.0R	0.2×	24
4h	+0.786%	0.2R	-7.701%	1.7R	0.1×	48
6h ★	+0.786%	0.2R	-12.878%	2.8R	0.1×	72
8h	+0.786%	0.2R	-14.033%	3.1R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.786%	0.2R	-14.033%	3.1R	0.1×	144
24h	+0.786%	0.2R	-14.033%	3.1R	0.1×	288
48h	+0.786%	0.2R	-14.033%	3.1R	0.1×	576
72h	+0.786%	0.2R	-16.011%	3.5R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 14 min MAE in 454 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.23

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 35%	early	—	—	0.37	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.17	30/09 20:00
4h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 35%	mid	near -1.7ATR	—	0.28	bull_high	+2.78%	-0.42	01/10 16:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	near -0.8ATR	—	0.38	bull_medium	+1.41%	-0.61	01/10 22:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 38%	early	near 0.2ATR	—	0.59	bull_low	+0.99%	+0.00	01/10 22:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197679	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.604	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 35%	early 10b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.49	63%	↓ -0.19	value	-2.39	—	#105820	0.37	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.17	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:25
4h #197553	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.522	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 35%	mid 4b -1.3ATR	near -1.7ATR	—	0.65	40%	↓ -0.38	value	-2.39	—	#105820	0.28	bull_high	+2.78%	-0.42	01/10 16:00 upd 01/10 20:19
1h anchor #198782	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.406	normal	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 9b -0.7ATR	near -0.8ATR	—	0.57	42%	↑ +0.19	value	-2.05	—	#106364	0.38	bull_medium	+1.41%	-0.61	01/10 22:00 upd 01/10 23:11
15m #198707	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.499	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 38%	early 3b 0.4ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.15	9%	↓ -0.41	value	-2.27	—	#106208	0.59	bull_low	+0.99%	+0.00	01/10 22:45 upd 01/10 23:03
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	10b	—	2.928×ATR	p22	-0.118×ATR	p6
4h	↓ down	mid	4b	—	1.828×ATR	p3	-1.347×ATR	p77
1h	↓ down	mid	9b	—	2.725×ATR	p59	-0.742×ATR	p53
15m	↓ down	early	3b	—	0.676×ATR	p3	+0.422×ATR	p27

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 27.80890644
tp_price: 25.930125
atr: 0.48556258
expires_at: 2026-10-02T09:15:14+00:00

Details

rank: 73
total: 79
score: 0.3493
delta_2h: -0.0363
extension_atr: -0.6
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3226
confidence: 0.923

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
26.595	27.8089	25.9301	0.55	21.072

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 26.595
Stop Loss: 27.8089
Take Profit: 25.9301

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 27.8089 - 26.595 = 1.2139
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 26.595 - 25.9301 = 0.6649
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6649 / 1.2139 = 0.5477

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
175.2689	100	6.5903	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 1.2139

Taille de position = 8 / 1.2139 = 6.59

Taille de position USD = 6.59 x 26.595 = 175.26

Donc, tu peux acheter 6.59 avec un stoploss a 27.8089

Avec un position size USD de 175.26$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6.59 x 1.2139 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6.59 x 0.6649 = 4.38

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.38$

Résumé

Taille de position 6.59
Taille de position USD 175.26
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.38
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5477

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	4.38 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.56 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-4.56

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.7114 %	103.22 %	2

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
26.595	27.8089	25.9301	0.55	21.072

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 26.595
Stop Loss: 27.8089
Take Profit: 25.9301

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 27.8089 - 26.595 = 1.2139
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 26.595 - 25.9301 = 0.6649
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6649 / 1.2139 = 0.5477

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 25.9301
            [entry_price] => 26.595
            [stop_loss] => 27.93029
            [rr_ratio] => 0.5
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 05:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 25.9301
            [entry_price] => 26.595
            [stop_loss] => 28.05168
            [rr_ratio] => 0.46
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 05:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 25.9301
            [entry_price] => 26.595
            [stop_loss] => 28.17307
            [rr_ratio] => 0.42
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 05:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 25.9301
            [entry_price] => 26.595
            [stop_loss] => 28.41585
            [rr_ratio] => 0.37
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 06:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.564% (1.2139)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.786%	0.2R	-0.902%	0.2R	0.9×	12
2h	+0.786%	0.2R	-4.711%	1.0R	0.2×	24
4h	+0.786%	0.2R	-7.701%	1.7R	0.1×	48
6h ★	+0.786%	0.2R	-12.878%	2.8R	0.1×	72
8h	+0.786%	0.2R	-14.033%	3.1R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.786%	0.2R	-14.033%	3.1R	0.1×	144
24h	+0.786%	0.2R	-14.033%	3.1R	0.1×	288
48h	+0.786%	0.2R	-14.033%	3.1R	0.1×	576
72h	+0.786%	0.2R	-16.011%	3.5R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 14 min MAE in 454 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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