Long Trade on WIF (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 867.25 WIF at 0.257$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2803 (8.98 %) & Stop Loss: 0.248 (3.58 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 23:46:05
hyperliquid
WIF
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 23:46
→ 11:30
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.2572$
Qty 867.2472 WIF
Size 223.0733$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2803 (+8.98%)
TP $ 20.03$
SL 0.248 (-3.58%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-0.96%
/ -2.14$
MAE -1.96%
MFE +4.60%
1.3R
expires
02 Oct 11:45
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171166)
#14 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 23:00
score du 01/10/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7638
Quality Score
0.573
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#14 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.58 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#14 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.58 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -2.12×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.37×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.26×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 23:45
01/10 23:45
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/10 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4615
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
76.1%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 28.3% |
| 1h | 55.0% |
| 4h | 86.7% |
| 24h | 36.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 28.3% | -0.07% |
| 4h | 65.0% | +0.99% |
| 24h | 18.3% | -0.43% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.126
Universe :
60
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 23:31
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5794
Score SMA
0.5787
Rank
#28
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6447
Rank Norm SMA
0.3997
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8210 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.18% · r3d: 6.32% · ema21_slope: 1.3573% · dist_ema21: 9.708% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6326 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.29% · rs_3d: 4.66% · beta_24h: 2.513 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2880 | rvol_20: 0.65× · zscore_50: -0.027 · trend: -0.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7821 | ADX: 34.3 (trend) · Chop: 38.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.977% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.5731
Score SMA
0.5312
Rank
#14
/ 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7638
Rank Norm SMA
0.4936
Calculé le
01/10/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6451 | r1h: 1.000% · r4h: 3.154% · r1d: 1.43% · r3d: 12.51% · ema21_slope: 0.0503% · dist_ema21: 2.111% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6564 | rs_1h: 0.662% · rs_4h: 2.625% · rs_1d: -0.61% · rs_3d: 9.81% · beta_24h: 2.040 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1649 | rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.527 · trend: -58.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5499 | ADX: 17.0 (weak) · Chop: 49.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.600% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5305
Score SMA
0.5352
Rank
#16
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8618
Rank Norm SMA
0.4459
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6620 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.941% · r1d: 0.18% · r3d: 6.32% · ema21_slope: 0.2551% · dist_ema21: 1.470% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5274 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.193% · rs_1d: -1.29% · rs_3d: 4.66% · beta_24h: 2.320 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1950 | rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.650 · trend: -21.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5108 | ADX: 18.7 (weak) · Chop: 56.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8440 | ATR%: 3.468% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.577%
(0.0092)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.195% | 1.2R | -0.144% | 0.0R | 29.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.600% | 1.3R | -0.144% | 0.0R | 32.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.600% | 1.3R | -0.303% | 0.1R | 15.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.600% | 1.3R | -1.178% | 0.3R | 3.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.600% | 1.3R | -1.956% | 0.6R | 2.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.600% | 1.3R | -8.911% | 2.5R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 36h | +4.600% | 1.3R | -8.911% | 2.5R | 0.5× | 432 |
| 48h | +4.600% | 1.3R | -8.911% | 2.5R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.600% | 1.3R | -8.911% | 2.5R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 63 min
MAE in 928 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 6.08
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.69 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.93 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.63 | bull_high | +2.78% | +0.62 | 01/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | near -2.1ATR | 0.50 | bull_medium | +1.41% | +0.07 | 01/10 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.60 | bull_low | +1.04% | +0.27 | 01/10 23:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197627
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.676 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early 9b 0.9ATR | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.65 | 78% | ↑ +0.57 | above_value | +0.69 | — | #105799 | 0.69 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.93 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:22
|
|
4h
#197460
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.571 | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 20b 0.4ATR | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.25 | 26% | ↔ +0.08 | above_value | +0.69 | — | #105799 | 0.63 | bull_high | +2.78% | +0.62 |
01/10 16:00
upd 01/10 20:15
|
|
1h
anchor #198761
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.699 | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid 5b 1.1ATR | — | near -2.1ATR | 0.35 | 32% | ↓ -0.53 | value | +2.16 | — | #106343 | 0.50 | bull_medium | +1.41% | +0.07 |
01/10 22:00
upd 01/10 23:10
|
|
15m
#198920
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.308 | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
choppy 50% | late 22b 2.1ATR | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.26 | 6% | ↑ +0.17 | value | +2.16 | — | #106343 | 0.60 | bull_low | +1.04% | +0.27 |
01/10 23:15
upd 01/10 23:32
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.539×ATR | p0 | +0.887×ATR | p49 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 20b | — | 2.98×ATR | p29 | +0.423×ATR | p32 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 2.405×ATR | p42 | +1.118×ATR | p68 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 22b | — | 6.179×ATR | p96 | +2.115×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9115
- reason: up_bo width=2.12×ATR dur=30b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.24799541
- tp_price: 0.28028149
- atr:
- score: 0.9115030801152
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T15:45:57.194731
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.9115030801152
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0949
- obi_top10 : 0.0611
- micro_price : 0.25609452
- spread_pct : 0.078156
- mid_price : 0.256
- bid_wall_price : 0.254
- bid_wall_size : 1389571.5
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.258
- ask_wall_size : 1228335.02
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0949
- obi_top5_std : 0.0011
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6942
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.25264
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.24415
- balance_zone_mid:
0.248395
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790805600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790910000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.1247
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
30
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.9115
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790902800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.25264
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8667
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.1462
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
3
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00399595 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
30
inside_close_ratio
0.8667
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1462
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:46 | 0.25722000 | +0.008% |
| 2 | 23:57 | 0.25722000 | +0.008% |
| 3 | 00:11 | 0.25839000 | +0.463% |
| 4 | 00:23 | 0.25839000 | +0.463% |
| 5 | 00:34 | 0.25839000 | +0.463% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6942ms
Confidence avant OB :
91%
→
91%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.095
avg 0.095
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.061
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.2560
Micro Price
0.2561
Spread
0.0782%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.2540
Size
1,389,571.50
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.2580
Size
1,228,335.02
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2572 | 0.248 | 0.2803 | 2.51 | 0.1653 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2572
- Stop Loss: 0.248
- Take Profit: 0.2803
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.248 - 0.2572 = -0.0092
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2572 - 0.2803 = -0.0231
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0231 / -0.0092 = 2.5109
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 223.0733 | 100 | 867.2472 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0092
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0092 = -869.57
Taille de position USD = -869.57 x 0.2572 = -223.65
Donc, tu peux acheter -869.57 avec un stoploss a 0.248
Avec un position size USD de -223.65$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -869.57 x -0.0092 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -869.57 x -0.0231 = 20.09
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.09$
Résumé
- Taille de position -869.57
- Taille de position USD -223.65
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.09
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5109
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.98 % | 20.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.58 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.14 $ | -0.96 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9557 % | 54.67 % | 22 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2572 | 0.248 | 0.2803 | 2.51 | 0.1653 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2572
- Stop Loss: 0.248
- Take Profit: 0.2803
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.248 - 0.2572 = -0.0092
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2572 - 0.2803 = -0.0231
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0231 / -0.0092 = 2.5109
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.577%
(0.0092)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.195% | 1.2R | -0.144% | 0.0R | 29.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.600% | 1.3R | -0.144% | 0.0R | 32.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.600% | 1.3R | -0.303% | 0.1R | 15.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.600% | 1.3R | -1.178% | 0.3R | 3.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.600% | 1.3R | -1.956% | 0.6R | 2.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.600% | 1.3R | -8.911% | 2.5R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 36h | +4.600% | 1.3R | -8.911% | 2.5R | 0.5× | 432 |
| 48h | +4.600% | 1.3R | -8.911% | 2.5R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.600% | 1.3R | -8.911% | 2.5R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 63 min
MAE in 928 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.