Long Trade on CAKE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 236.77 CAKE at 2.623$ per unit. Take profit: 2.7079 (3.22 %) & Stop Loss: 2.5896 (1.29 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 00:12:05
hyperliquid
CAKE
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 00:12
→ 06:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 2.6234$
Qty 236.7712 CAKE
Size 621.1454$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 2.7079 (+3.22%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 2.5896 (-1.29%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.29%
/ -8$
MAE -3.23%
MFE +0.71%
0.6R
expires
02 Oct 12:11
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: )
#80 / 84
OUT
seuil : top 15
Avg Rank 8h:
Quality Score
N/A
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#80 / 84
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
N/A
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#80 / 84
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | — | — | OK |
| 4h | — | — | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
320,812 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 00:01
02/10 00:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
— |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4617
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
69.4%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 60.0% |
| 1h | 28.3% |
| 4h | 81.7% |
| 24h | 36.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 36.7% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 53.3% | +0.79% |
| 24h | 13.3% | -0.64% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.102
Universe :
60
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 00:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
Quality score non disponible pour ce trade.
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.288%
(0.0338)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.709% | 0.6R | -0.347% | 0.3R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.709% | 0.6R | -0.576% | 0.5R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.709% | 0.6R | -0.881% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.709% | 0.6R | -1.426% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.709% | 0.6R | -3.229% | 2.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.709% | 0.6R | -6.564% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.709% | 0.6R | -6.564% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.709% | 0.6R | -6.564% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.709% | 0.6R | -6.564% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 32 min
MAE in 872 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.4
Prediction Score: N/A
No context market snapshot
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8948
- reason: up_bo width=2.68×ATR dur=66b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 2.5896121
- tp_price: 2.70786976
- atr:
- score: 0.89484702559438
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T16:11:58.163140
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.89484702559438
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1033
- obi_top10 : 0.2762
- micro_price : 2.62806636
- spread_pct : 0.057091
- mid_price : 2.62815
- bid_wall_price : 2.62
- bid_wall_size : 40332.72
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 2.64
- ask_wall_size : 28607.8
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1005
- obi_top5_std : 0.0046
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6891
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
2.6168
- balance_zone_bottom:
2.5662
- balance_zone_mid:
2.5915
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790679600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790913600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.6802
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
66
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8948
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790910000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
2.6168
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6818
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3496
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
10
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
9
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.01887902 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
66
inside_close_ratio
0.6818
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3496
Signaux confirmants (10)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:12 | 2.62340000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:23 | 2.62340000 | 0% |
| 3 | 00:34 | 2.62340000 | 0% |
| 4 | 00:46 | 2.62690000 | +0.133% |
| 5 | 00:56 | 2.62690000 | +0.133% |
| 6 | 01:09 | 2.63410000 | +0.408% |
| 7 | 01:21 | 2.63410000 | +0.408% |
| 8 | 01:33 | 2.63410000 | +0.408% |
| 9 | 01:45 | 2.62190000 | -0.057% |
| 10 | 01:57 | 2.62190000 | -0.057% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6891ms
Confidence avant OB :
89%
→
89%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.103
avg 0.101
± 0.005
OBI Top 10
0.276
Microstructure
Mid Price
2.6282
Micro Price
2.6281
Spread
0.0571%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
2.6200
Size
40,332.72
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
2.6400
Size
28,607.80
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.6234 | 2.5896 | 2.7079 | 2.5 | 1.9302 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.6234
- Stop Loss: 2.5896
- Take Profit: 2.7079
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.5896 - 2.6234 = -0.0338
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.6234 - 2.7079 = -0.0845
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0845 / -0.0338 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 621.1454 | 100 | 236.7712 | 6.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0338
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0338 = -236.69
Taille de position USD = -236.69 x 2.6234 = -620.93
Donc, tu peux acheter -236.69 avec un stoploss a 2.5896
Avec un position size USD de -620.93$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -236.69 x -0.0338 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -236.69 x -0.0845 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -236.69
- Taille de position USD -620.93
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.22 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.29 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.29 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3532 % | 105.03 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.6234 | 2.5896 | 2.7079 | 2.5 | 1.9302 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.6234
- Stop Loss: 2.5896
- Take Profit: 2.7079
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.5896 - 2.6234 = -0.0338
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.6234 - 2.7079 = -0.0845
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0845 / -0.0338 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.288%
(0.0338)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.709% | 0.6R | -0.347% | 0.3R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.709% | 0.6R | -0.576% | 0.5R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.709% | 0.6R | -0.881% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.709% | 0.6R | -1.426% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.709% | 0.6R | -3.229% | 2.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.709% | 0.6R | -6.564% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.709% | 0.6R | -6.564% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.709% | 0.6R | -6.564% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.709% | 0.6R | -6.564% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 32 min
MAE in 872 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.