02 Oct 2026 at 00:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MOVE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 10276.83 MOVE at 0.0102$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01047 (2.55 %) & Stop Loss: 0.009437 (7.57 %)

MOVE LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 00:15 → 06:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.01021$

Qty 10276.8322 MOVE

Size 104.9778$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.01047 (+2.55%)

TP $ 2.67$

SL 0.009437 (-7.57%)

SL $ 7.94$

RR 0.34

Status loss PnL -0.59% / -0.62$ MAE -4.16% MFE +2.38% 0.3R expires 02 Oct 06:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171260)
#5 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 00:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7845

Quality Score
0.622
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+1
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.35×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h — — OK
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
mixed
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.79
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 00:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/10 22:00

Score : +1 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4617
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro bull

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 69.4%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 60.0%
1h 28.3%
4h 81.7%
24h 36.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 36.7% +0.02%
4h 53.3% +0.79%
24h 13.3% -0.64%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.102
Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 00:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6219
Score SMA
0.5834
Rank
#5 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7845
Rank Norm SMA
0.7334
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7743 r1h: 1.152% · r4h: 1.212% · r1d: 2.00% · r3d: 17.25% · ema21_slope: 0.2565% · dist_ema21: 1.256%
Force Relative 25% 0.6599 rs_1h: 0.779% · rs_4h: 0.453% · rs_1d: -0.09% · rs_3d: 14.30% · beta_24h: 0.792
Volume 20% 0.2098 rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.822 · trend: -1.56%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5925 ADX: 30.9 (trend) · Chop: 58.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.9375 ATR%: 3.188% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6935
Score SMA
0.6030
Rank
#4 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6685
Rank Norm SMA
0.5858
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7099 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.700% · r1d: 1.48% · r3d: 16.65% · ema21_slope: 0.5082% · dist_ema21: 5.452%
Force Relative 25% 0.6836 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.247% · rs_1d: -0.30% · rs_3d: 14.02% · beta_24h: 2.212
Volume 20% 0.7497 rvol_20: 1.94× · zscore_50: 1.794 · trend: 178.14%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7463 ADX: 29.6 (trend) · Chop: 32.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.4773 ATR%: 4.568% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.571% (0.0008)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.380% 0.3R -0.167% 0.0R 14.3× 12
2h +2.380% 0.3R -0.431% 0.1R 5.5× 24
4h +2.380% 0.3R -4.163% 0.6R 0.6× 48
6h ★ +2.380% 0.3R -4.163% 0.6R 0.6× 72
8h +2.380% 0.3R -4.163% 0.6R 0.6× 96
12h +2.380% 0.3R -4.163% 0.6R 0.6× 144
24h +3.673% 0.5R -6.944% 0.9R 0.5× 288
48h +3.673% 0.5R -6.944% 0.9R 0.5× 576
72h +3.673% 0.5R -6.944% 0.9R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1239 min MAE in 984 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.35
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d —
4h —
1h ↑ up range range strong grind expansion bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 36% early near -0.3ATR — 0.48 bull_medium +1.41% -0.14 01/10 22:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.34 bull_low +1.19% +0.17 01/10 23:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d Pas de snapshot
4h Pas de snapshot
1h anchor
#198775
↑ up range range strong grind 0.632 expansion bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 36% early 2b 0.1ATR near -0.3ATR — 0.47 89% ↔ -0.04 above_value +0.29 — #106357 0.48 bull_medium +1.41% -0.14
01/10 22:00
upd 01/10 23:10
15m
#199010
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.564 compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 40% early 8b 0.7ATR — — 0.04 5% ↓ -0.72 above_value +0.29 — #106357 0.34 bull_low +1.19% +0.17
01/10 23:30
upd 01/10 23:47
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1h ↓ down early 2b — 1.091×ATR p0 +0.062×ATR p3
15m ↑ up early 8b — 2.608×ATR p41 +0.735×ATR p39

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00943655
  2. tp_price: 0.01047037
  3. atr: 0.00031138
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T10:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 79
  3. score: 0.7743
  4. delta_2h: 0.1893
  5. extension_atr: 0.2
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7845
  9. confidence: 0.999

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01021 0.009437 0.01047 0.34 0.005962
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01021
  • Stop Loss: 0.009437
  • Take Profit: 0.01047

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.009437 - 0.01021 = -0.000773

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01021 - 0.01047 = -0.00026

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00026 / -0.000773 = 0.3364

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
104.9778 100 10276.8322 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000773

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000773 = -10349.29

Taille de position USD = -10349.29 x 0.01021 = -105.67

Donc, tu peux acheter -10349.29 avec un stoploss a 0.009437

Avec un position size USD de -105.67$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -10349.29 x -0.000773 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -10349.29 x -0.00026 = 2.69

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.69$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -10349.29
  • Taille de position USD -105.67
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.69
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3364

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.55 % 2.67 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.57 % 7.94 $
PNL PNL %
-0.62 $ -0.59
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.1626 % 54.98 % 12
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01021 0.009437 0.01047 0.34 0.005962
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01021
  • Stop Loss: 0.009437
  • Take Profit: 0.01047

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.009437 - 0.01021 = -0.000773

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01021 - 0.01047 = -0.00026

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00026 / -0.000773 = 0.3364

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.571% (0.0008)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.380% 0.3R -0.167% 0.0R 14.3× 12
2h +2.380% 0.3R -0.431% 0.1R 5.5× 24
4h +2.380% 0.3R -4.163% 0.6R 0.6× 48
6h ★ +2.380% 0.3R -4.163% 0.6R 0.6× 72
8h +2.380% 0.3R -4.163% 0.6R 0.6× 96
12h +2.380% 0.3R -4.163% 0.6R 0.6× 144
24h +3.673% 0.5R -6.944% 0.9R 0.5× 288
48h +3.673% 0.5R -6.944% 0.9R 0.5× 576
72h +3.673% 0.5R -6.944% 0.9R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1239 min MAE in 984 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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