Long Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 975.61 ADA at 0.254$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2748 (8.06 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2461 (3.22 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 01:44:20
hyperliquid
ADA
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 01:44
→ 13:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.2543$
Qty 975.6062 ADA
Size 248.1259$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2748 (+8.06%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.2461 (-3.22%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.80%
/ -4.46$
MAE -1.92%
MFE +1.81%
0.6R
expires
02 Oct 13:44
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171392)
#32 / 75
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 01:00
score du 02/10/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3857
Quality Score
0.605
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#32 / 75
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.22 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#32 / 75
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.22 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.49×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.33×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.48×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
9.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 01:30
02/10 01:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/10 00:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4623
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.55 |
mature
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
79.8%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 36.1% |
| 1h | 21.3% |
| 4h | 91.8% |
| 24h | 50.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 36.1% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 57.4% | +2.22% |
| 24h | 24.6% | +0.02% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.181
Universe :
61
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 01:31
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5341
Score SMA
0.5798
Rank
#44
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4342
Rank Norm SMA
0.4058
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7219 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.19% · r3d: -0.41% · ema21_slope: 1.0091% · dist_ema21: 4.599% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5199 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.66% · rs_3d: -2.07% · beta_24h: 1.500 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3881 | rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: 0.148 · trend: 19.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7326 | ADX: 34.2 (trend) · Chop: 44.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.209% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.6051
Score SMA
0.5256
Rank
#32
/ 75
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3857
Rank Norm SMA
0.4786
Calculé le
02/10/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6804 | r1h: 2.696% · r4h: 4.182% · r1d: 1.45% · r3d: 5.55% · ema21_slope: 0.0288% · dist_ema21: 3.270% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5894 | rs_1h: 1.355% · rs_4h: 1.966% · rs_1d: -1.56% · rs_3d: 1.39% · beta_24h: 2.157 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3672 | rvol_20: 1.31× · zscore_50: 0.144 · trend: -28.43% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5347 | ADX: 13.8 (weak) · Chop: 48.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.344% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4813
Score SMA
0.5585
Rank
#38
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5163
Rank Norm SMA
0.5450
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5748 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.397% · r1d: -0.57% · r3d: 2.91% · ema21_slope: -0.0061% · dist_ema21: 0.802% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4755 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.638% · rs_1d: -2.66% · rs_3d: -0.04% · beta_24h: 2.356 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1827 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.662 · trend: -29.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3561 | ADX: 14.7 (weak) · Chop: 71.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.813% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.225%
(0.0082)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.704% | 0.2R | -0.558% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.704% | 0.2R | -0.598% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.133% | 0.4R | -0.598% | 0.2R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.813% | 0.6R | -0.598% | 0.2R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.813% | 0.6R | -1.923% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.813% | 0.6R | -6.893% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.813% | 0.6R | -6.893% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.813% | 0.6R | -6.893% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.141% | 2.2R | -6.893% | 2.1R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 405 min
MAE in 780 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.38
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.79 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.68 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 29% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.69 | bull_high | +3.48% | +0.01 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.71 | bull_medium_confirmed | +3.06% | +0.03 | 02/10 00:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.82 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.99% | +0.16 | 02/10 01:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197595
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.614 | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 15b 0.6ATR | — | — | 1.04 | 83% | ↑ +0.48 | value | +0.29 | — | #105791 | 0.79 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.68 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:21
|
|
4h
#199168
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.461 | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 29% | early 9b 0.3ATR | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.38 | 26% | ↓ -0.22 | value | +1.42 | — | #106492 | 0.69 | bull_high | +3.48% | +0.01 |
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 00:14
|
|
1h
anchor #199601
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.441 | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 3b 2.4ATR | — | near -0.5ATR | 1.31 | 78% | ↔ -0.10 | above_value | +3.23 | — | #106727 | 0.71 | bull_medium_confirmed | +3.06% | +0.03 |
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 01:09
|
|
15m
#199757
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.563 | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late 1b 2.1ATR | — | near 0.4ATR | 1.53 | 79% | ↑ +0.80 | above_value | +3.23 | — | #106727 | 0.82 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.99% | +0.16 |
02/10 01:15
upd 02/10 01:31
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 3.663×ATR | p48 | +0.616×ATR | p39 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.041×ATR | p0 | +0.296×ATR | p17 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 3.615×ATR | p82 | +2.399×ATR | p98 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.581×ATR | p0 | +2.102×ATR | p90 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8537
- reason: up_bo width=2.05×ATR dur=39b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.24612997
- tp_price: 0.27483008
- atr:
- score: 0.85371580369634
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T17:44:12.502432
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.85371580369634
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.014
- obi_top10 : -0.0786
- micro_price : 0.25369546
- spread_pct : 0.039432
- mid_price : 0.25365
- bid_wall_price : 0.252
- bid_wall_size : 6252891
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.256
- ask_wall_size : 6465370.2
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0123
- obi_top5_std : 0.001
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6838
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.25002
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.24293
- balance_zone_mid:
0.246475
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790780400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790917200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.0549
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
39
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8537
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790913600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.25002
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7949
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.2492
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00345032 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
39
inside_close_ratio
0.7949
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.2492
Signaux confirmants (9)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:44 | 0.25433000 | +0.012% |
| 2 | 01:56 | 0.25433000 | +0.012% |
| 3 | 02:11 | 0.25379000 | -0.201% |
| 4 | 02:24 | 0.25379000 | -0.201% |
| 5 | 03:11 | 0.25461000 | +0.122% |
| 6 | 03:23 | 0.25461000 | +0.122% |
| 7 | 03:35 | 0.25312000 | -0.464% |
| 8 | 03:47 | 0.25312000 | -0.464% |
| 9 | 03:58 | 0.25312000 | -0.464% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6838ms
Confidence avant OB :
85%
→
85%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.014
avg -0.012
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
-0.079
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.2537
Micro Price
0.2537
Spread
0.0394%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.2520
Size
6,252,891.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.2560
Size
6,465,370.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2543 | 0.2461 | 0.2748 | 2.5 | 0.1827 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2543
- Stop Loss: 0.2461
- Take Profit: 0.2748
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2461 - 0.2543 = -0.0082
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2543 - 0.2748 = -0.0205
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0205 / -0.0082 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 248.1259 | 100 | 975.6062 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0082
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0082 = -975.61
Taille de position USD = -975.61 x 0.2543 = -248.1
Donc, tu peux acheter -975.61 avec un stoploss a 0.2461
Avec un position size USD de -248.1$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -975.61 x -0.0082 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -975.61 x -0.0205 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -975.61
- Taille de position USD -248.1
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.06 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.22 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.46 $ | -1.80 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9229 % | 59.63 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2543 | 0.2461 | 0.2748 | 2.5 | 0.1827 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2543
- Stop Loss: 0.2461
- Take Profit: 0.2748
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2461 - 0.2543 = -0.0082
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2543 - 0.2748 = -0.0205
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0205 / -0.0082 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.225%
(0.0082)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.704% | 0.2R | -0.558% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.704% | 0.2R | -0.598% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.133% | 0.4R | -0.598% | 0.2R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.813% | 0.6R | -0.598% | 0.2R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.813% | 0.6R | -1.923% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.813% | 0.6R | -6.893% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.813% | 0.6R | -6.893% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.813% | 0.6R | -6.893% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.141% | 2.2R | -6.893% | 2.1R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 405 min
MAE in 780 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.