Long Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 61.66 ZRO at 1.903$ per unit. Take profit: 1.9507 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.7734 (6.82 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 02:15:12
hyperliquid
ZRO
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 02:15
→ 08:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 1.9031$
Qty 61.6573 ZRO
Size 117.34$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 1.9507 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.93$
SL 1.7734 (-6.82%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.37
Status
loss
PnL
-2.88%
/ -3.38$
MAE -3.60%
MFE +2.04%
0.3R
expires
02 Oct 08:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171465)
#1 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 02:00
score du 02/10/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9326
Quality Score
0.769
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.38×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.11×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.86×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
1.92
OK
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
23.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 02:00
02/10 02:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/10 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4625
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
77.6%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 39.3% |
| 1h | 16.4% |
| 4h | 86.9% |
| 24h | 49.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 49.2% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 59.0% | +1.92% |
| 24h | 19.7% | -0.27% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.234
Universe :
61
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 02:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8009
Score SMA
0.7718
Rank
#5
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9474
Rank Norm SMA
0.8392
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9791 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.54% · r3d: 15.59% · ema21_slope: 3.2315% · dist_ema21: 27.930% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8920 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.07% · rs_3d: 13.94% · beta_24h: 0.135 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7432 | rvol_20: 1.96× · zscore_50: 1.640 · trend: 134.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9035 | ADX: 48.4 (trend) · Chop: 27.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.168% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.7689
Score SMA
0.5936
Rank
#1
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9326
Rank Norm SMA
0.6387
Calculé le
02/10/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8429 | r1h: 0.320% · r4h: 2.748% · r1d: 9.22% · r3d: 23.05% · ema21_slope: 0.4468% · dist_ema21: 4.917% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7903 | rs_1h: 1.076% · rs_4h: 1.457% · rs_1d: 7.21% · rs_3d: 19.96% · beta_24h: 1.766 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3953 | rvol_20: 1.28× · zscore_50: 0.291 · trend: -12.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6292 | ADX: 22.1 (weak) · Chop: 45.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.854% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5665
Score SMA
0.6084
Rank
#12
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8891
Rank Norm SMA
0.6556
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7790 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.072% · r1d: 5.39% · r3d: 19.33% · ema21_slope: 0.5322% · dist_ema21: 5.996% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7674 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.687% · rs_1d: 3.30% · rs_3d: 16.38% · beta_24h: 0.620 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2697 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.445 · trend: 22.23% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5338 | ADX: 23.4 (weak) · Chop: 58.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0693 | ATR%: 5.792% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.815%
(0.1297)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.044% | 0.3R | -2.475% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.044% | 0.3R | -2.901% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.044% | 0.3R | -3.384% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.044% | 0.3R | -3.599% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.703% | 0.7R | -3.599% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.481% | 0.8R | -5.118% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.481% | 0.8R | -9.096% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +12.937% | 1.9R | -9.222% | 1.4R | 1.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.937% | 1.9R | -9.222% | 1.4R | 1.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 484 min
MAE in 1274 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.2
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.43 | bull_high | +13.92% | +1.00 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.29 | bull_high | +3.48% | +0.87 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
72%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.28 | bull_medium_confirmed | +2.23% | +0.81 | 02/10 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.43 | bull_low | +1.52% | +0.09 | 02/10 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197583
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.687 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 16b 2.0ATR | — | — | 1.96 | 98% | ↑ +0.94 | above_value | +4.24 | — | #105788 | 0.43 | bull_high | +13.92% | +1.00 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:20
|
|
4h
#199162
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.599 | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 4b 0.9ATR | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.52 | 82% | ↑ +0.26 | above_value | +4.56 | — | #106489 | 0.29 | bull_high | +3.48% | +0.87 |
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 00:14
|
|
1h
anchor #199980
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.702 | expansion | bull_high |
72%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid 7b 1.5ATR | — | near -0.4ATR | 1.28 | 88% | ↑ +0.32 | above_value | +5.73 | — | #106879 | 0.28 | bull_medium_confirmed | +2.23% | +0.81 |
02/10 01:00
upd 02/10 02:10
|
|
15m
#199908
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.676 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 2b 1.1ATR | — | — | 0.87 | 53% | ↑ +0.43 | above_value | +5.63 | — | #106724 | 0.43 | bull_low | +1.52% | +0.09 |
02/10 01:45
upd 02/10 02:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 5.366×ATR | p71 | +2.006×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.778×ATR | p0 | +0.927×ATR | p50 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 2.413×ATR | p41 | +1.46×ATR | p75 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.688×ATR | p7 | +1.1×ATR | p52 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1.7733505
- tp_price: 1.9506775
- atr: 0.0518998
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T12:15:12+00:00
Details
- rank: 1
- total: 79
- score: 0.924
- delta_2h: 0.2101
- extension_atr: 1.86
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9343
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:15 | 1.90310000 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:15 | 1.90350000 | +0.021% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9031 | 1.7734 | 1.9507 | 0.37 | 1.6277 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.9031
- Stop Loss: 1.7734
- Take Profit: 1.9507
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.7734 - 1.9031 = -0.1297
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.9031 - 1.9507 = -0.0476
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0476 / -0.1297 = 0.367
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117.34 | 100 | 61.6573 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.1297
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1297 = -61.68
Taille de position USD = -61.68 x 1.9031 = -117.38
Donc, tu peux acheter -61.68 avec un stoploss a 1.7734
Avec un position size USD de -117.38$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -61.68 x -0.1297 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -61.68 x -0.0476 = 2.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.94$
Résumé
- Taille de position -61.68
- Taille de position USD -117.38
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.94
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.367
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.93 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.82 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.38 $ | -2.88 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5994 % | 52.81 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9031 | 1.7734 | 1.9507 | 0.37 | 1.6277 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.9031
- Stop Loss: 1.7734
- Take Profit: 1.9507
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.7734 - 1.9031 = -0.1297
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.9031 - 1.9507 = -0.0476
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0476 / -0.1297 = 0.367
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.815%
(0.1297)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.044% | 0.3R | -2.475% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.044% | 0.3R | -2.901% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.044% | 0.3R | -3.384% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.044% | 0.3R | -3.599% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.703% | 0.7R | -3.599% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.481% | 0.8R | -5.118% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.481% | 0.8R | -9.096% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +12.937% | 1.9R | -9.222% | 1.4R | 1.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.937% | 1.9R | -9.222% | 1.4R | 1.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 484 min
MAE in 1274 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.