Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 21352.12 PUMP at 0.0059$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006045 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.005523 (6.36 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 02:15:12
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 02:15
→ 03:20
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.005898$
Qty 21352.1232 PUMP
Size 125.9348$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.006045 (+2.49%)
TP $ 3.14$
SL 0.005523 (-6.36%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.39
Status
win
PnL
+2.49%
/ +3.14$
MAE -3.02%
MFE +4.58%
0.7R
expires
02 Oct 08:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171500)
#11 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 02:00
score du 02/10/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8051
Quality Score
0.638
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#11 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#11 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.02×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.48×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
1.92
OK
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
163.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 02:02
02/10 02:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/10 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4625
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
77.6%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 39.3% |
| 1h | 16.4% |
| 4h | 86.9% |
| 24h | 49.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 49.2% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 59.0% | +1.92% |
| 24h | 19.7% | -0.27% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.234
Universe :
61
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 02:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7077
Score SMA
0.6725
Rank
#8
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9079
Rank Norm SMA
0.6315
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8911 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.77% · r3d: 18.14% · ema21_slope: 1.6028% · dist_ema21: 25.225% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8078 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.24% · rs_3d: 16.49% · beta_24h: 1.226 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5995 | rvol_20: 1.66× · zscore_50: 0.632 · trend: 78.59% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7902 | ADX: 36.4 (trend) · Chop: 39.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.915% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.6381
Score SMA
0.6358
Rank
#11
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8051
Rank Norm SMA
0.7494
Calculé le
02/10/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6615 | r1h: -0.034% · r4h: 2.242% · r1d: -0.05% · r3d: 19.38% · ema21_slope: 0.1320% · dist_ema21: 1.956% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6491 | rs_1h: 0.722% · rs_4h: 0.950% · rs_1d: -2.06% · rs_3d: 16.29% · beta_24h: 2.270 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6212 | rvol_20: 1.82× · zscore_50: 1.668 · trend: 23.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4206 | ADX: 10.7 (weak) · Chop: 59.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.656% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5435
Score SMA
0.6442
Rank
#17
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8501
Rank Norm SMA
0.7018
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7549 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.789% · r1d: 0.24% · r3d: 20.35% · ema21_slope: 0.6774% · dist_ema21: 4.066% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6947 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.548% · rs_1d: -1.84% · rs_3d: 17.40% · beta_24h: 1.848 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2285 | rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.465 · trend: -5.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5363 | ADX: 34.6 (trend) · Chop: 69.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1720 | ATR%: 5.484% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.358%
(0.0004)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.628% | 0.3R | -0.424% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.578% | 0.7R | -0.424% | 0.1R | 10.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.578% | 0.7R | -2.865% | 0.5R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.578% | 0.7R | -3.018% | 0.5R | 1.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.578% | 0.7R | -3.018% | 0.5R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.205% | 0.8R | -4.527% | 0.7R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.205% | 0.8R | -13.615% | 2.1R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +11.682% | 1.8R | -13.615% | 2.1R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +15.548% | 2.5R | -13.615% | 2.1R | 1.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 604 min
MAE in 739 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.9
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
69%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bull_high | +13.92% | +1.00 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.28 | bull_high | +3.48% | +0.77 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.39 | bull_medium_confirmed | +2.23% | +0.27 | 02/10 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.40 | bull_low | +1.52% | -0.03 | 02/10 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197692
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.690 | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
69%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 15b 2.0ATR | — | — | 1.66 | 94% | ↑ +0.68 | above_value | +0.39 | inside | #105826 | 0.50 | bull_high | +13.92% | +1.00 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:26
|
|
4h
#199263
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.688 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 5b 0.7ATR | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.43 | 61% | ↓ -0.34 | above_value | -0.28 | — | #106528 | 0.28 | bull_high | +3.48% | +0.77 |
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 00:18
|
|
1h
anchor #200016
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.572 | normal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 3b 0.7ATR | — | near 0.0ATR | 1.82 | 91% | ↔ -0.03 | above_value | +0.83 | — | #106915 | 0.39 | bull_medium_confirmed | +2.23% | +0.27 |
02/10 01:00
upd 02/10 02:12
|
|
15m
#199940
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.696 | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 2b 0.7ATR | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.94 | 70% | ↑ +0.82 | above_value | +0.76 | — | #106761 | 0.40 | bull_low | +1.52% | -0.03 |
02/10 01:45
upd 02/10 02:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 4.222×ATR | p65 | +2.021×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 0.987×ATR | p0 | +0.748×ATR | p44 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.734×ATR | p22 | +0.688×ATR | p44 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.597×ATR | p0 | +0.724×ATR | p53 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00552333
- tp_price: 0.00604545
- atr: 0.00014987
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T12:15:12+00:00
Details
- rank: 9
- total: 79
- score: 0.6757
- delta_2h: 0.0452
- extension_atr: 0.75
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8018
- confidence: 0.897
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.005898 | 0.005523 | 0.006045 | 0.39 | 0.003701 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.005898
- Stop Loss: 0.005523
- Take Profit: 0.006045
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.005523 - 0.005898 = -0.000375
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.005898 - 0.006045 = -0.000147
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000147 / -0.000375 = 0.392
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125.9348 | 100 | 21352.1232 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.000375
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000375 = -21333.33
Taille de position USD = -21333.33 x 0.005898 = -125.82
Donc, tu peux acheter -21333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.005523
Avec un position size USD de -125.82$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -21333.33 x -0.000375 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -21333.33 x -0.000147 = 3.14
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.14$
Résumé
- Taille de position -21333.33
- Taille de position USD -125.82
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.14
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.392
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 3.14 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.36 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.14 $ | 2.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4239 % | 6.67 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.005898 | 0.005523 | 0.006045 | 0.39 | 0.003701 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.005898
- Stop Loss: 0.005523
- Take Profit: 0.006045
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.005523 - 0.005898 = -0.000375
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.005898 - 0.006045 = -0.000147
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000147 / -0.000375 = 0.392
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.358%
(0.0004)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.628% | 0.3R | -0.424% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.578% | 0.7R | -0.424% | 0.1R | 10.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.578% | 0.7R | -2.865% | 0.5R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.578% | 0.7R | -3.018% | 0.5R | 1.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.578% | 0.7R | -3.018% | 0.5R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.205% | 0.8R | -4.527% | 0.7R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.205% | 0.8R | -13.615% | 2.1R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +11.682% | 1.8R | -13.615% | 2.1R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +15.548% | 2.5R | -13.615% | 2.1R | 1.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 604 min
MAE in 739 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.