02 Oct 2026 at 04:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on TIA (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 385.86 TIA at 0.466$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4778 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4454 (4.46 %)

TIA LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 04:15 → 08:00 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.4662$

Qty 385.8589 TIA

Size 179.872$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.4778 (+2.49%)

TP $ 4.48$

SL 0.4454 (-4.46%)

SL $ 8.03$

RR 0.56

Status win PnL +2.49% / +4.48$ MAE -1.33% MFE +5.57% 1.3R expires 02 Oct 10:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171620)
#4 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5269

Quality Score
0.685
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.46 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#4 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.46 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.33×ATR
4h clear 1.49×ATR
1d clear 0.92×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.64
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 04:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

02/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

02/10 03:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4633
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bull

0.90

expansion

+1

Micro bull

0.90

transition

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 69.4%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 80.3%
1h 9.8%
4h 72.1%
24h 68.9%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 52.5% +0.06%
4h 59.0% +0.64%
24h 27.9% +1.16%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.185
Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 04:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4337
Score SMA
0.5689
Rank
#70 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0921
Rank Norm SMA
0.4126
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5185 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.10% · r3d: -4.43% · ema21_slope: 1.4271% · dist_ema21: -0.919%
Force Relative 25% 0.3595 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.57% · rs_3d: -6.09% · beta_24h: 1.807
Volume 20% 0.3623 rvol_20: 0.92× · zscore_50: 0.261 · trend: 7.81%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7724 ADX: 32.7 (trend) · Chop: 36.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.972% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6853
Score SMA
0.5113
Rank
#4 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5269
Rank Norm SMA
0.4166
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7126 r1h: 1.085% · r4h: 7.838% · r1d: 5.72% · r3d: 5.36% · ema21_slope: 0.1079% · dist_ema21: 6.211%
Force Relative 25% 0.7193 rs_1h: 0.953% · rs_4h: 7.141% · rs_1d: 2.49% · rs_3d: 2.81% · beta_24h: 2.205
Volume 20% 0.6633 rvol_20: 1.87× · zscore_50: 0.943 · trend: 86.25%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7309 ADX: 27.7 (trend) · Chop: 28.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.812% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5791
Score SMA
0.5138
Rank
#17 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4675
Rank Norm SMA
0.4237
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6474 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 7.838% · r1d: 5.72% · r3d: 5.36% · ema21_slope: -0.2114% · dist_ema21: 4.855%
Force Relative 25% 0.6402 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 7.141% · rs_1d: 2.49% · rs_3d: 2.81% · beta_24h: 2.745
Volume 20% 0.6996 rvol_20: 2.27× · zscore_50: 1.629 · trend: 31.06%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4562 ADX: 15.0 (weak) · Chop: 59.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.7424 ATR%: 3.773% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.462% (0.0208)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.363% 0.1R -1.182% 0.3R 0.3× 12
2h +0.363% 0.1R -1.182% 0.3R 0.3× 24
4h +3.031% 0.7R -1.330% 0.3R 2.3× 48
6h ★ +5.575% 1.3R -1.330% 0.3R 4.2× 72
8h +5.575% 1.3R -2.475% 0.6R 2.3× 96
12h +5.575% 1.3R -8.331% 1.9R 0.7× 144
24h +5.575% 1.3R -8.331% 1.9R 0.7× 288
48h +5.575% 1.3R -8.331% 1.9R 0.7× 576
72h +5.575% 1.3R -8.331% 1.9R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 284 min MAE in 659 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.65
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong explosive expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.63 bull_high +13.92% +0.76 30/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.47 bull_high +4.12% +0.14 02/10 00:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
52%
noisy_chop 44% late — near -1.3ATR 0.42 bull_medium +2.26% +0.42 02/10 03:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 47% late — — 0.64 bull_low +1.06% +0.51 02/10 03:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197591
↑ up range range strong explosive 0.787 expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 40% early 8b -0.1ATR — — 0.92 82% ↑ +0.42 below_value -10.32 — #105790 0.63 bull_high +13.92% +0.76
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:21
4h
#200770
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.543 normal bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 37% early 3b 1.3ATR — — 2.27 92% ↑ +0.23 above_value -3.39 — #107190 0.47 bull_high +4.12% +0.14
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:13
1h anchor
#200769
↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.597 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
52%
noisy_chop 44% late 15b 3.5ATR — near -1.3ATR 1.87 93% ↑ +0.27 above_value -3.39 — #107190 0.42 bull_medium +2.26% +0.42
02/10 03:00
upd 02/10 04:13
15m
#200592
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.700 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 47% late 1b 2.3ATR — — 0.09 29% ↑ +0.75 value -4.08 — #107035 0.64 bull_low +1.06% +0.51
02/10 03:30
upd 02/10 03:46
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 8b — 2.854×ATR p28 -0.087×ATR p3
4h ↑ up early 3b — 2.723×ATR p22 +1.332×ATR p58
1h ↑ up late 15b — 5.668×ATR p95 +3.462×ATR p99
15m ↓ down late 1b — 1.751×ATR p8 +2.338×ATR p89

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.44542703
  2. tp_price: 0.477814
  3. atr: 0.00829319
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T14:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 7
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.666
  4. delta_2h: 0.1554
  5. extension_atr: 2.6
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5268
  9. confidence: 0.971

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4662 0.4454 0.4778 0.56 0.4173
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4662
  • Stop Loss: 0.4454
  • Take Profit: 0.4778

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.4454 - 0.4662 = -0.0208

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4662 - 0.4778 = -0.0116

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0116 / -0.0208 = 0.5577

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
179.872 100 385.8589 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0208

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0208 = -384.62

Taille de position USD = -384.62 x 0.4662 = -179.31

Donc, tu peux acheter -384.62 avec un stoploss a 0.4454

Avec un position size USD de -179.31$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -384.62 x -0.0208 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -384.62 x -0.0116 = 4.46

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.46$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -384.62
  • Taille de position USD -179.31
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.46
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5577

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 4.48 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.46 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
4.48 $ 2.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3299 % 29.81 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4662 0.4454 0.4778 0.56 0.4173
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4662
  • Stop Loss: 0.4454
  • Take Profit: 0.4778

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.4454 - 0.4662 = -0.0208

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4662 - 0.4778 = -0.0116

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0116 / -0.0208 = 0.5577

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.462% (0.0208)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.363% 0.1R -1.182% 0.3R 0.3× 12
2h +0.363% 0.1R -1.182% 0.3R 0.3× 24
4h +3.031% 0.7R -1.330% 0.3R 2.3× 48
6h ★ +5.575% 1.3R -1.330% 0.3R 4.2× 72
8h +5.575% 1.3R -2.475% 0.6R 2.3× 96
12h +5.575% 1.3R -8.331% 1.9R 0.7× 144
24h +5.575% 1.3R -8.331% 1.9R 0.7× 288
48h +5.575% 1.3R -8.331% 1.9R 0.7× 576
72h +5.575% 1.3R -8.331% 1.9R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 284 min MAE in 659 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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