Long Trade on BNB (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.97 BNB at 775.54$ per unit. Take profit: 796.0946 (2.65 %) & Stop Loss: 767.3182 (1.06 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 05:17:24
hyperliquid
BNB
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 05:17
→ 14:35
· 9 hours
Position
Entry 775.54$
Qty 0.973 BNB
Size 754.6139$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 796.0946 (+2.65%)
TP $ 20$
SL 767.3182 (-1.06%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.06%
/ -8$
MAE -2.00%
MFE +1.08%
1.0R
expires
02 Oct 17:17
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171754)
#22 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 05:00
score du 02/10/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4787
Quality Score
0.600
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#22 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.06 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#22 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.06 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.21×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.36×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.67×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 05:15
02/10 05:15
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 02/10 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4638
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
64.0%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 48.4% |
| 1h | 27.4% |
| 4h | 59.7% |
| 24h | 80.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 48.4% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 51.6% | +0.24% |
| 24h | 38.7% | +2.11% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.110
Universe :
62
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 05:16
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5372
Score SMA
0.5676
Rank
#43
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4474
Rank Norm SMA
0.3449
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6641 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.28% · r3d: 0.98% · ema21_slope: 0.3179% · dist_ema21: 1.936% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4856 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.19% · rs_3d: -0.67% · beta_24h: 0.588 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1517 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.867 · trend: -42.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5748 | ADX: 28.8 (trend) · Chop: 58.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.953% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.5995
Score SMA
0.5141
Rank
#22
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4787
Rank Norm SMA
0.4542
Calculé le
02/10/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5314 | r1h: 0.193% · r4h: -0.495% · r1d: 1.48% · r3d: 1.77% · ema21_slope: 0.0502% · dist_ema21: 0.540% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4705 | rs_1h: 0.034% · rs_4h: -0.018% · rs_1d: -1.73% · rs_3d: -1.07% · beta_24h: 0.688 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6619 | rvol_20: 2.46× · zscore_50: 1.053 · trend: 8.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6002 | ADX: 19.6 (weak) · Chop: 46.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.484% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4839
Score SMA
0.4926
Rank
#59
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3961
Rank Norm SMA
0.3340
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5413 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.013% · r1d: 1.64% · r3d: 1.34% · ema21_slope: 0.0421% · dist_ema21: 0.960% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4424 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.683% · rs_1d: -1.59% · rs_3d: -1.21% · beta_24h: 0.955 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2027 | rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.556 · trend: -43.56% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4690 | ADX: 15.9 (weak) · Chop: 58.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.086% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.060%
(8.2218)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.206% | 0.2R | -0.093% | 0.1R | 2.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.244% | 0.2R | -0.093% | 0.1R | 2.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.816% | 0.8R | -0.093% | 0.1R | 8.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.084% | 1.0R | -0.542% | 0.5R | 2.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.084% | 1.0R | -2.004% | 1.9R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.084% | 1.0R | -2.004% | 1.9R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.226% | 2.1R | -2.004% | 1.9R | 1.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.525% | 2.4R | -2.004% | 1.9R | 1.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.443% | 4.2R | -2.004% | 1.9R | 2.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2037 min
MAE in 567 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.31
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.82 | bull_high | +13.92% | -0.33 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.69 | bull_high | +4.12% | -0.15 | 02/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.79 | bull_medium | +2.38% | -0.18 | 02/10 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 49% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.84 | bull_low | +1.40% | -0.06 | 02/10 05:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197492
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.619 | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 21b 0.6ATR | — | — | 0.46 | 33% | ↓ -0.25 | value | -0.74 | — | #105769 | 0.82 | bull_high | +13.92% | -0.33 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:16
|
|
4h
#200726
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.658 | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 15b 0.9ATR | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.69 | 22% | ↓ -0.25 | value | +0.50 | — | #107168 | 0.69 | bull_high | +4.12% | -0.15 |
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:12
|
|
1h
anchor #201184
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.728 | normal | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 1b 1.3ATR | — | near 0.2ATR | 2.46 | 80% | ↔ +0.04 | above_value | +0.89 | — | #107402 | 0.79 | bull_medium | +2.38% | -0.18 |
02/10 04:00
upd 02/10 05:08
|
|
15m
#201263
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.715 | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 49% | early 2b 0.0ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.66 | 54% | ↑ +0.21 | above_value | +0.89 | — | #107402 | 0.84 | bull_low | +1.40% | -0.06 |
02/10 05:00
upd 02/10 05:15
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 21b | — | 2.99×ATR | p26 | +0.612×ATR | p38 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 3.043×ATR | p46 | +0.888×ATR | p54 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 0.774×ATR | p0 | +1.301×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.966×ATR | p25 | -0.02×ATR | p3 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8315
- reason: up_bo width=2.57×ATR dur=44b phase=extending
- stop_price: 767.3181533
- tp_price: 796.09461674
- atr:
- score: 0.83153564835266
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T21:17:16.383682
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83153564835266
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0509
- obi_top10 : 0.0028
- micro_price : 776.11518841
- spread_pct : 0.001288
- mid_price : 776.115
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 777
- ask_wall_size : 2473.698
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0506
- obi_top5_std : 0.0006
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6890
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
772.33
- balance_zone_bottom:
763.03
- balance_zone_mid:
767.68
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790776800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790931600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.5701
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
44
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8315
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790906400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
772.33
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7955
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
7
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.8871
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
3
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 3.61846697 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
44
inside_close_ratio
0.7955
bars_since_breakout
7
distance_to_edge_atr
0.8871
Signaux confirmants (13)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:17 | 775.54000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 05:28 | 775.54000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 05:40 | 775.97000000 | +0.055% |
| 4 | 05:51 | 775.97000000 | +0.055% |
| 5 | 06:02 | 775.97000000 | +0.055% |
| 6 | 06:16 | 777.07000000 | +0.197% |
| 7 | 06:28 | 777.07000000 | +0.197% |
| 8 | 06:40 | 776.14000000 | +0.077% |
| 9 | 06:50 | 776.14000000 | +0.077% |
| 10 | 07:01 | 776.14000000 | +0.077% |
| 11 | 10:35 | 777.19000000 | +0.213% |
| 12 | 10:45 | 777.19000000 | +0.213% |
| 13 | 10:57 | 777.19000000 | +0.213% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6890ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.051
avg 0.051
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.003
Microstructure
Mid Price
776.1150
Micro Price
776.1152
Spread
0.0013%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
777.0000
Size
2,473.70
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 775.54 | 767.3182 | 796.0946 | 2.5 | 686.46 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 775.54
- Stop Loss: 767.3182
- Take Profit: 796.0946
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 767.3182 - 775.54 = -8.2217999999999
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 775.54 - 796.0946 = -20.5546
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -20.5546 / -8.2217999999999 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 754.6139 | 100 | 0.973 | 8.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -8.2217999999999
Taille de position = 8 / -8.2217999999999 = -0.97
Taille de position USD = -0.97 x 775.54 = -752.27
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.97 avec un stoploss a 767.3182
Avec un position size USD de -752.27$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.97 x -8.2217999999999 = 7.98
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.97 x -20.5546 = 19.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.94$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.97
- Taille de position USD -752.27
- Perte potentielle 7.98
- Gain potentiel 19.94
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.65 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.06 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.06 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6556 % | 156.17 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 775.54 | 767.3182 | 796.0946 | 2.5 | 686.46 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 775.54
- Stop Loss: 767.3182
- Take Profit: 796.0946
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 767.3182 - 775.54 = -8.2217999999999
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 775.54 - 796.0946 = -20.5546
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -20.5546 / -8.2217999999999 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.060%
(8.2218)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.206% | 0.2R | -0.093% | 0.1R | 2.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.244% | 0.2R | -0.093% | 0.1R | 2.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.816% | 0.8R | -0.093% | 0.1R | 8.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.084% | 1.0R | -0.542% | 0.5R | 2.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.084% | 1.0R | -2.004% | 1.9R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.084% | 1.0R | -2.004% | 1.9R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.226% | 2.1R | -2.004% | 1.9R | 1.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.525% | 2.4R | -2.004% | 1.9R | 1.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.443% | 4.2R | -2.004% | 1.9R | 2.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2037 min
MAE in 567 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.