02 Oct 2026 at 06:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SYRUP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 812.94 SYRUP at 0.241$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2471 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2312 (4.11 %)

SYRUP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 06:15 → 09:40 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.2411$

Qty 812.9437 SYRUP

Size 195.9845$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2471 (+2.49%)

TP $ 4.88$

SL 0.2312 (-4.11%)

SL $ 8.05$

RR 0.61

Status win PnL +2.49% / +4.88$ MAE -0.58% MFE +4.37% 1.1R expires 02 Oct 12:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171887)
#20 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5717

Quality Score
0.590
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#20 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#20 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.01×ATR
4h near -0.55×ATR
1d near 0.31×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
mixed
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.43
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 06:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

02/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

02/10 05:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4641
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bull

0.90

expansion

+1

Micro bull

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 62.9%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 66.1%
1h 41.9%
4h 64.5%
24h 80.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 64.5% +0.06%
4h 46.8% +0.43%
24h 38.7% +2.13%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.141
Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 06:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6547
Score SMA
0.6480
Rank
#14 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8289
Rank Norm SMA
0.5709
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8807 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 6.02% · r3d: 3.94% · ema21_slope: 0.4223% · dist_ema21: 9.145%
Force Relative 25% 0.6953 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 4.55% · rs_3d: 2.29% · beta_24h: 1.124
Volume 20% 0.5968 rvol_20: 1.34× · zscore_50: 1.030 · trend: 95.05%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6486 ADX: 35.4 (trend) · Chop: 56.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.203% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.5898
Score SMA
0.5768
Rank
#20 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5717
Rank Norm SMA
0.6050
Calculé le
02/10/2026 06:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6376 r1h: 0.150% · r4h: 2.556% · r1d: 6.77% · r3d: -2.67% · ema21_slope: 0.1172% · dist_ema21: 1.790%
Force Relative 25% 0.5473 rs_1h: 0.005% · rs_4h: 2.130% · rs_1d: 3.68% · rs_3d: -5.20% · beta_24h: 0.306
Volume 20% 0.3273 rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: 0.133 · trend: -2.16%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4907 ADX: 21.3 (weak) · Chop: 61.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.732% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5035
Score SMA
0.5711
Rank
#49 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5455
Rank Norm SMA
0.5471
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6323 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.240% · r1d: 5.74% · r3d: 0.92% · ema21_slope: 0.1287% · dist_ema21: 2.904%
Force Relative 25% 0.5640 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.456% · rs_1d: 2.52% · rs_3d: -1.63% · beta_24h: 1.608
Volume 20% 0.2071 rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.523 · trend: -18.54%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4413 ADX: 26.8 (trend) · Chop: 73.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.6515 ATR%: 4.045% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.106% (0.0099)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.668% 0.2R -0.581% 0.1R 1.2× 12
2h +1.410% 0.3R -0.581% 0.1R 2.4× 24
4h +4.368% 1.1R -0.581% 0.1R 7.5× 48
6h ★ +4.368% 1.1R -0.581% 0.1R 7.5× 72
8h +4.368% 1.1R -1.195% 0.3R 3.7× 96
12h +4.368% 1.1R -3.803% 0.9R 1.2× 144
24h +4.368% 1.1R -3.803% 0.9R 1.2× 288
48h +7.951% 1.9R -3.803% 0.9R 2.1× 576
72h +10.431% 2.5R -3.803% 0.9R 2.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 224 min MAE in 509 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.83
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 35% early — near 0.3ATR 0.63 bull_high +13.92% +0.15 30/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate fading normal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 36% early — near -0.6ATR 0.42 bull_high +4.12% +0.01 02/10 00:00
1h ↑ up range range strong explosive normal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.45 bull_medium +2.47% +0.13 02/10 05:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong fading normal bull_medium
65%
noisy_chop 46% early near -1.0ATR — 0.63 bull_low +1.48% +0.22 02/10 05:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197690
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.621 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 35% early 7b 0.9ATR — near 0.3ATR 1.34 97% ↑ +0.78 value +4.39 — #105825 0.63 bull_high +13.92% +0.15
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:26
4h
#200857
↑ up range range moderate fading 0.556 normal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 36% early 5b 0.8ATR — near -0.6ATR 0.39 62% ↓ -0.64 above_value +3.88 — #107225 0.42 bull_high +4.12% +0.01
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:17
1h anchor
#201626
↑ up range range strong explosive 0.695 normal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 40% mid 4b 1.1ATR — — 0.84 66% ↓ -0.53 above_value +5.20 — #107616 0.45 bull_medium +2.47% +0.13
02/10 05:00
upd 02/10 06:12
15m
#201549
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong fading 0.539 normal bull_medium
65%
noisy_chop 46% early 2b 1.0ATR near -1.0ATR — 0.55 58% ↑ +0.49 above_value +4.67 — #107459 0.63 bull_low +1.48% +0.22
02/10 05:45
upd 02/10 06:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 7b — 2.089×ATR p0 +0.937×ATR p46
4h ↑ up early 5b — 1.804×ATR p0 +0.789×ATR p44
1h ↑ up mid 4b — 1.763×ATR p18 +1.112×ATR p62
15m ↓ down early 2b — 1.828×ATR p14 +1.021×ATR p53

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.23123922
  2. tp_price: 0.247107
  3. atr: 0.00393631
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T16:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 9
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.6826
  4. delta_2h: 0.0393
  5. extension_atr: 1.11
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5847
  9. confidence: 0.896

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2411 0.2312 0.2471 0.61 0.1355
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2411
  • Stop Loss: 0.2312
  • Take Profit: 0.2471

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2312 - 0.2411 = -0.0099

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2411 - 0.2471 = -0.006

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.006 / -0.0099 = 0.6061

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
195.9845 100 812.9437 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0099

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0099 = -808.08

Taille de position USD = -808.08 x 0.2411 = -194.83

Donc, tu peux acheter -808.08 avec un stoploss a 0.2312

Avec un position size USD de -194.83$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -808.08 x -0.0099 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -808.08 x -0.006 = 4.85

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.85$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -808.08
  • Taille de position USD -194.83
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.85
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6061

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 4.88 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.11 % 8.05 $
PNL PNL %
4.88 $ 2.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5807 % 14.14 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2411 0.2312 0.2471 0.61 0.1355
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2411
  • Stop Loss: 0.2312
  • Take Profit: 0.2471

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2312 - 0.2411 = -0.0099

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2411 - 0.2471 = -0.006

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.006 / -0.0099 = 0.6061

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.106% (0.0099)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.668% 0.2R -0.581% 0.1R 1.2× 12
2h +1.410% 0.3R -0.581% 0.1R 2.4× 24
4h +4.368% 1.1R -0.581% 0.1R 7.5× 48
6h ★ +4.368% 1.1R -0.581% 0.1R 7.5× 72
8h +4.368% 1.1R -1.195% 0.3R 3.7× 96
12h +4.368% 1.1R -3.803% 0.9R 1.2× 144
24h +4.368% 1.1R -3.803% 0.9R 1.2× 288
48h +7.951% 1.9R -3.803% 0.9R 2.1× 576
72h +10.431% 2.5R -3.803% 0.9R 2.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 224 min MAE in 509 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.