Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 3302.5 SPX at 0.448$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4529 (1.07 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4457 (0.54 %)
Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 3302.5 SPX at 0.448$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4529 (1.07 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4457 (0.54 %)
Position
Entry 0.4481$
Qty 3302.4963 SPX
Size 1479.8486$ (margin 100$) (leverage 15)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4529 (+1.07%)
TP $ 15.85$
SL 0.4457 (-0.54%)
SL $ 7.93$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5436
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.79×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.84×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.68×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 02/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/10 05:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.682548 15m : 0.73743 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 34.4% |
| 1h | 65.6% |
| 4h | 62.3% |
| 24h | 83.6% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 36.1% | -0.07% |
| 4h | 44.3% | +0.38% |
| 24h | 37.7% | +2.01% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3334 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.87% · r3d: 5.20% · ema21_slope: -0.6090% · dist_ema21: -4.667% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3761 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.34% · rs_3d: 3.54% · beta_24h: 1.886 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2366 | rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.438 · trend: -21.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4966 | ADX: 16.0 (weak) · Chop: 55.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.772% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6308 | r1h: -0.585% · r4h: 0.917% · r1d: 3.22% · r3d: 9.21% · ema21_slope: 0.1271% · dist_ema21: 1.732% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5371 | rs_1h: -0.730% · rs_4h: 0.491% · rs_1d: 0.13% · rs_3d: 6.69% · beta_24h: 1.549 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4685 | rvol_20: 1.52× · zscore_50: 0.270 · trend: 15.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5129 | ADX: 17.7 (weak) · Chop: 54.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.493% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6175 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.233% · r1d: 3.81% · r3d: 8.78% · ema21_slope: 0.1880% · dist_ema21: 3.727% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5901 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.537% · rs_1d: 0.59% · rs_3d: 6.23% · beta_24h: 2.027 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1601 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.598 · trend: -53.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5583 | ADX: 26.8 (trend) · Chop: 58.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8953 | ATR%: 3.314% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.089% | 2.0R | -0.154% | 0.3R | 7.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.089% | 2.0R | -0.500% | 0.9R | 2.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.872% | 3.5R | -0.810% | 1.5R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.872% | 3.5R | -4.736% | 8.8R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.872% | 3.5R | -8.467% | 15.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.872% | 3.5R | -8.467% | 15.8R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.872% | 3.5R | -8.467% | 15.8R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.084% | 5.8R | -8.467% | 15.8R | 0.4× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.73 | bull_high | +13.92% | -0.97 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.63 | bull_high | +4.12% | +0.44 | 02/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.60 | bull_medium | +2.47% | +0.05 | 02/10 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.72 | bull_low | +1.43% | +0.06 | 02/10 06:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197673
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.554 | compression | bull_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 27b -0.5ATR | — | — | 0.68 | 55% | ↑ +0.44 | above_value | -1.16 | — | #105817 | 0.73 | bull_high | +13.92% | -0.97 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:25
|
|
4h
#200839
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.558 | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 19b 1.1ATR | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.46 | 23% | ↓ -0.57 | above_value | +0.21 | — | #107219 | 0.63 | bull_high | +4.12% | +0.44 |
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:16
|
|
1h
anchor #201620
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.486 | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 15b 1.4ATR | — | near -0.8ATR | 1.52 | 76% | ↓ -0.18 | above_value | +0.45 | — | #107610 | 0.60 | bull_medium | +2.47% | +0.05 |
02/10 05:00
upd 02/10 06:12
|
|
15m
#201700
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.805 | expansion | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 6b -0.2ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 1.32 | 84% | ↑ +0.62 | above_value | +0.45 | — | #107610 | 0.72 | bull_low | +1.43% | +0.06 |
02/10 06:00
upd 02/10 06:17
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 27b | — | 5.412×ATR | p61 | -0.489×ATR | p33 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 19b | — | 4.082×ATR | p71 | +1.109×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 2.909×ATR | p65 | +1.393×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.069×ATR | p69 | -0.151×ATR | p7 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
85959
0.0031865
86233
0.682548
85144.3
0.0139952
86336
0.73743
84123.3
0.0271109
86404
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0.4338
183
0.6911
0.6272
0.3039
0.1955
0.3925
0.7632
0.574
0.4792
0.6081
0.0197
0.5873
0.865
0.1565
0.0968
1
1.1056
2.0921
0.45
0.55
1
29
1
0.609
0.5225
4.1142
0.65
0.7632
1.5546
2.0921
0.7945
0.2927
0
-0.2704
0.3739
0.5534
0.7355
0.865
-1.6726
10.7196
1
0
2
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 04:55:00 | 0.45294 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 05:40:00 | 0.44604 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 06:05:00 | 0.45213 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 06:40:00 | 0.45353 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 07:30:00 | 0.44808 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 08:40:00 | 0.46044 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 09:00:00 | 0.45046 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 09:45:00 | 0.45066 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 09:55:00 | 0.45423 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 10:20:00 | 0.44801 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 20:15:00 | 0.4431 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 21:30:00 | 0.43644 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 22:15:00 | 0.44216 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 00:15:00 | 0.44322 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 01:15:00 | 0.4364 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 03:15:00 | 0.4407 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 04:45:00 | 0.45294 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 07:30:00 | 0.44808 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 08:30:00 | 0.46044 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 10:15:00 | 0.44988 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 12:00:00 | 0.42184 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:00:00 | 0.4044 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 06:00:00 | 0.41803 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 16:00:00 | 0.45284 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 19:00:00 | 0.42972 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 05:00:00 | 0.46239 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 15:00:00 | 0.42962 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 17:00:00 | 0.44727 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 01:00:00 | 0.4364 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 08:00:00 | 0.46044 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4481 | 0.4457 | 0.4529 | 2 | 0.3584 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4457 - 0.4481 = -0.0024
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4481 - 0.4529 = -0.0048
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0048 / -0.0024 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1479.8486 | 100 | 3302.4963 | 15.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0024 = -3333.33
Taille de position USD = -3333.33 x 0.4481 = -1493.67
Donc, tu peux acheter -3333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.4457
Avec un position size USD de -1493.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3333.33 x -0.0024 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3333.33 x -0.0048 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.07 % | 15.85 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 7.93 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.85 $ | 1.07 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.154 % | 28.75 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4481 | 0.4457 | 0.4529 | 2 | 0.3584 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4457 - 0.4481 = -0.0024
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4481 - 0.4529 = -0.0048
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0048 / -0.0024 = 2
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[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4565
[stop_loss] => 0.4457
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4577
[stop_loss] => 0.4457
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4589
[stop_loss] => 0.4457
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4601
[stop_loss] => 0.4457
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4613
[stop_loss] => 0.4457
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4625
[stop_loss] => 0.4457
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4637
[stop_loss] => 0.4457
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4649
[stop_loss] => 0.4457
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.089% | 2.0R | -0.154% | 0.3R | 7.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.089% | 2.0R | -0.500% | 0.9R | 2.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.872% | 3.5R | -0.810% | 1.5R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.872% | 3.5R | -4.736% | 8.8R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.872% | 3.5R | -8.467% | 15.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.872% | 3.5R | -8.467% | 15.8R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.872% | 3.5R | -8.467% | 15.8R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.084% | 5.8R | -8.467% | 15.8R | 0.4× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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