Short Trade on LIT

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02 Oct 2026 at 07:11:42 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LIT (BosPullback)

With 79.68 LIT at 3.806$ per unit. Take profit: 3.5545 (6.6 %) & Stop Loss: 3.9059 (2.64 %)

LIT SHORT BosPullback hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 07:11 → 14:35 · 7 hours

Position

Entry 3.8055$

Qty 79.6783 LIT

Size 303.2159$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 3.5545 (+6.6%)

TP $ 20$

SL 3.9059 (-2.64%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status win PnL +6.60% / +20$ MAE -0.96% MFE +4.80% 1.8R

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171980)

#77 / 78

seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0083

Quality Score

0.348

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#77 / 78

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

62 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-4

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-4

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.64 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#77 / 78

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

62 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-4

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.64 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.17×ATR
4h	clear	0.64×ATR
1d	clear	3.22×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↑ up	early	OK
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

26.7M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 07:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/10 05:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

02/10 05:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime
	1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4645

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.55	expansion -1
Tactical	bull 0.90	expansion -1
Micro	bull 0.90	expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -4

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 59.7%

Macro mixed_dispersion

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : mixed

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	35.5%
1h	37.1%
4h	54.8%
24h	82.3%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	25.8%	-0.07%
4h	43.6%	+0.16%
24h	38.7%	+2.04%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.157

Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 1.00

Snapshot évalué : 02/10 07:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.3261

Score SMA

0.4613

Rank

#75 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0263

Rank Norm SMA

0.0850

Calculé le

01/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3555	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.67% · r3d: -14.30% · ema21_slope: 0.1503% · dist_ema21: -13.809%
Force Relative	25%	0.1798	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.14% · rs_3d: -15.96% · beta_24h: 0.465
Volume	20%	0.2937	rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.599 · trend: 39.56%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7715	ADX: 39.3 (trend) · Chop: 45.1 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 12.306% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 07:00

Score brut

0.3478

Score SMA

0.4350

Rank

#77 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0083

Rank Norm SMA

0.1608

Calculé le

02/10/2026 07:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2967	r1h: -1.513% · r4h: -1.731% · r1d: -4.66% · r3d: -13.82% · ema21_slope: -0.1064% · dist_ema21: -1.334%
Force Relative	25%	0.1783	rs_1h: -1.438% · rs_4h: -2.092% · rs_1d: -7.46% · rs_3d: -16.54% · beta_24h: 1.502
Volume	20%	0.1450	rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.826 · trend: -74.79%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.3401	ADX: 13.7 (weak) · Chop: 72.1 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.834% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.2770

Score SMA

0.3641

Rank

#78 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0000

Rank Norm SMA

0.0466

Calculé le

02/10/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2704	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.984% · r1d: -2.82% · r3d: -12.97% · ema21_slope: -0.6211% · dist_ema21: -4.745%
Force Relative	25%	0.2013	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.288% · rs_1d: -6.05% · rs_3d: -15.52% · beta_24h: 2.350
Volume	20%	0.1655	rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.517 · trend: -54.11%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5587	ADX: 39.7 (trend) · Chop: 71.8 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.2866	ATR%: 5.140% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BosPullback (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -2.638% (0.1004)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.177%	0.5R	-0.079%	0.0R	14.9×	12
2h	+1.177%	0.5R	-0.957%	0.4R	1.2×	24
4h ★	+4.798%	1.8R	-0.957%	0.4R	5.0×	48
8h	+7.247%	2.8R	-0.957%	0.4R	7.6×	96
12h	+7.247%	2.8R	-0.957%	0.4R	7.6×	144
24h	+10.149%	3.9R	-0.957%	0.4R	10.6×	288
48h	+10.149%	3.9R	-0.957%	0.4R	10.6×	576
72h	+10.149%	3.9R	-3.106%	1.2R	3.3×	864

⏱ MFE in 1158 min MAE in 83 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 3.71

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	expansion	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 36%	mid	—	—	—	bull_high	+13.92%	-0.98	30/09 20:00
4h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 36%	early	—	—	0.34	bull_high	+4.12%	-0.94	02/10 00:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 31%	early	—	near -0.4ATR	0.35	bull_medium	+2.47%	-0.30	02/10 05:00
15m	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_medium	56%	noisy_chop 42%	late	near -0.7ATR	—	0.37	bull_low	+1.29%	-0.08	02/10 06:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197722	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.460	expansion	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 7b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.59	68%	↑ +0.26	above_value	-1.67	—	#105840	—	bull_high	+13.92%	-0.98	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:27
4h #200899	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.409	normal	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 36%	early 14b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.28	21%	↓ -0.50	above_value	-1.51	—	#107239	0.34	bull_high	+4.12%	-0.94	02/10 00:00 upd 02/10 04:19
1h anchor #201641	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.507	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 31%	early 6b 0.0ATR	—	near -0.4ATR	0.38	10%	↓ -0.49	above_value	-1.25	—	#107631	0.35	bull_medium	+2.47%	-0.30	02/10 05:00 upd 02/10 06:13
15m #201951	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.555	compression	bear_medium	56%	noisy_chop 42%	late 9b -1.9ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	1.37	39%	↓ -0.57	above_value	-1.25	—	#107631	0.37	bull_low	+1.29%	-0.08	02/10 06:45 upd 02/10 07:04
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	7b	—	3.789×ATR	p50	-1.295×ATR	p69
4h	↑ up	early	14b	—	1.222×ATR	p0	-0.963×ATR	p59
1h	↑ up	early	6b	—	1.799×ATR	p15	+0.031×ATR	p4
15m	↓ down	late	9b	—	3.51×ATR	p72	-1.868×ATR	p91

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
confidence: 0.62
reason: bos_pullback_short|score=1|shallow|bars_since_bos=8|retests=1|break_atr=0.83|prog=0.61|zone=tested|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
stop_price: 3.9059037
tp_price: 3.55449074
atr:
score: 0.72
confidence_pre_ob: 0.72

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
timeframe : 1h
state : pullback_down
confidence : 0.773
trend_strength : -0.1682
trend_persistence : 0.5
high_delta_atr : -1.2636
low_delta_atr : -1.4925
current_swing_amp_atr : 2.2017
current_swing_speed : 0.44035
current_swing_efficiency : 0.354
retracement_ratio : 0.6535
extension_ratio : 1.1063
compression_score : 1.0113
swing_entropy : 1
breakout_strength : -2.7145
distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.4509
distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.9321
pivot_count : 28
swing_count : 27
market_structure_v2
last_pivot_kind: high
last_pivot_price:
```
3.9007
```
last_pivot_index:
```
146
```
trend_analyzer_1h
direction : down
phase : transition
structure : bearish_transition
breakout_state : breakout_confirmed
quality : volatile
strength : moderate
exhaustion : medium
momentum_type : grind
volatility_regime : compression
htf_context : unknown
risk_state : discount
confidence : 0.553
state : down_bearish_transition_grind
trend_analyzer_1h
scores_direction_score:
```
0.275
```
scores_strength_score:
```
0.5017
```
scores_quality_score:
```
0.3647
```
scores_cleanliness_score:
```
0.1922
```
scores_structural_quality:
```
0.5058
```
scores_pullback_score:
```
0.6535
```
scores_exhaustion_score:
```
0.4484
```
scores_continuation_score:
```
0.3505
```
scores_structure_score:
```
0.3056
```
scores_volatility_expansion:
```
0.0356
```
scores_momentum_type_score:
```
0.4878
```
scores_risk_score:
```
0.158
```
trend_analyzer_1h
features_ema20_slope:
```
-0.032
```
features_ema50_slope:
```
-0.0692
```
features_ema_alignment_score:
```
0
```
features_price_vs_ema20:
```
-0.8466
```
features_price_vs_ema50:
```
-2.1998
```
features_recent_hh_hl_score:
```
0.4
```
features_recent_lh_ll_score:
```
0.6
```
features_last_bos_direction:
```
-1
```
features_bars_since_last_bos:
```
8
```
features_candle_overlap_ratio:
```
1
```
features_wick_ratio:
```
0.6155
```
features_trend_efficiency:
```
0.354
```
features_impulse_strength:
```
3.3108
```
features_directional_candle_ratio:
```
0.6
```
features_pullback_depth_ratio:
```
0.6535
```
features_pullback_depth_atr:
```
2.1636
```
features_extension_from_mean:
```
-2.1998
```
features_impulse_decay_score:
```
0.4468
```
features_opposing_wick_pressure:
```
0.3086
```
features_volatility_percentile:
```
0
```
features_volatility_delta:
```
-0.2466
```
features_body_ratio:
```
0.3759
```
features_closes_position_ratio:
```
0.4722
```
features_slope_consistency:
```
0.5946
```
features_range_position:
```
0.158
```
features_distance_to_recent_high:
```
-16.92
```
features_distance_to_recent_low:
```
3.175
```
features_had_recent_range:
```
1
```
features_had_recent_compression:
```
0
```
features_post_break_hl_count:
```
1
```
features_htf_trend_strength:
features_htf_compression_score:
features_htf_entropy_score:
features_htf_hh_hl_score:
features_htf_state_str:
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.2062
obi_top10 : 0.1004
micro_price : 3.80497059
spread_pct : 0.052576
mid_price : 3.805
bid_wall_price : 3.72
bid_wall_size : 10915.2
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 3.89
ask_wall_size : 10458
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.1972
obi_top5_std : 0.0063
pressure_side : bid
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7003
aggregation_tick : 0.01
error :
strategy_details
strategy : bos_pullback
ms_state_1h : pullback_down
strategy_details

pivots_1h_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-27 18:00:00
    [price] => 4.763
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-28 09:00:00
    [price] => 4.35
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-28 12:00:00
    [price] => 4.4655
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-28 14:00:00
    [price] => 4.33
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-28 20:00:00
    [price] => 4.5148
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-29 05:00:00
    [price] => 4.3
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-29 14:00:00
    [price] => 4.5735
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-29 17:00:00
    [price] => 4.3638
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-29 23:00:00
    [price] => 4.6357
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-30 00:00:00
    [price] => 3.6846
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-30 05:00:00
    [price] => 3.65
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-30 16:00:00
    [price] => 4.131
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-30 19:00:00
    [price] => 3.8107
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-30 21:00:00
    [price] => 4.1
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 02:00:00
    [price] => 3.8603
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_15:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 03:00:00
    [price] => 4.1143
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_16:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 13:00:00
    [price] => 3.8408
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_17:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 16:00:00
    [price] => 3.9857
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_18:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-02 03:00:00
    [price] => 3.7404
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_19:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-02 08:00:00
    [price] => 3.9007
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

strategy_details

pivots_15m_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 10:45:00
    [price] => 4.0042
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 13:30:00
    [price] => 3.8408
    [kind] => low
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 14:15:00
    [price] => 3.9252
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 15:30:00
    [price] => 3.8484
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 16:15:00
    [price] => 3.9857
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_15m_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 16:45:00
    [price] => 3.8745
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 17:45:00
    [price] => 3.9702
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 21:30:00
    [price] => 3.7447
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 23:30:00
    [price] => 3.8366
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-02 01:30:00
    [price] => 3.7791
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-02 03:00:00
    [price] => 3.8339
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-02 03:30:00
    [price] => 3.7404
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-02 04:15:00
    [price] => 3.8701
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_15m_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-02 05:30:00
    [price] => 3.774
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-02 06:30:00
    [price] => 3.9003
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_15m_15:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-02 07:30:00
    [price] => 3.8338
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_16:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-02 08:30:00
    [price] => 3.9007
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

bos_level_long : 0
bos_level_short : 3.8408
strategy_details
levels_hl_price:
```
3.7404
```
levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-10-02 03:00:00
levels_hh_price:
```
3.9007
```
levels_lh_price:
```
3.9007
```
levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-10-02 08:00:00
levels_ll_price:
```
3.7404
```
strategy_details
demand_zone_top:
```
3.7845
```
demand_zone_bottom:
```
3.7404
```
demand_zone_mid:
```
3.76245
```
demand_zone_freshness: tested
demand_zone_strength:
```
0.5592
```
strategy_details
supply_zone_top:
```
4.0042
```
supply_zone_bottom:
```
3.8408
```
supply_zone_mid:
```
3.9225
```
supply_zone_freshness: tested
supply_zone_strength:
```
0.643
```
regimes
1H : bear_high
15m : bear_medium

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down

Confidence 77%

Trend

Trend Strength

-0.168

Persistence

0.500

High Δ ATR

-1.264

Low Δ ATR

-1.493

Current Swing

Amp ATR

2.202

Speed

0.440

Efficiency

0.354

Structure

Retracement

0.654

Extension

1.106

Compression

1.011

Entropy

1.000

Breakout Str.

-2.715

Dist High ATR

-1.451

Dist Low ATR

0.932

28 pivots · 27 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 3.9007 @ bar 146

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind

Confidence 55%

Context

phase transition

structure bearish_transition

breakout breakout_confirmed

quality volatile

strength moderate

exhaustion medium

momentum grind

volatility compression

risk discount

htf unknown

Scores

0.275

0.502

0.365

0.192

0.506

0.654

0.448

0.351

0.306

0.036

0.488

0.158

Features

Ema20 Slope

-0.032

Ema50 Slope

-0.069

Ema Alignment Score

0.000

Price Vs Ema20

-0.847

Price Vs Ema50

-2.200

Recent Hh Hl Score

0.400

Recent Lh Ll Score

0.600

Last Bos Direction

-1.000

Bars Since Last Bos

8.000

Candle Overlap Ratio

1.000

Wick Ratio

0.616

Trend Efficiency

0.354

Impulse Strength

3.311

Directional Candle Ratio

0.600

Pullback Depth Ratio

0.654

Pullback Depth Atr

2.164

Extension From Mean

-2.200

Impulse Decay Score

0.447

Opposing Wick Pressure

0.309

Volatility Percentile

0.000

Volatility Delta

-0.247

Body Ratio

0.376

Closes Position Ratio

0.472

Slope Consistency

0.595

Range Position

0.158

Distance To Recent High

-16.920

Distance To Recent Low

3.175

Had Recent Range

1.000

Had Recent Compression

0.000

Post Break Hl Count

1.000

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7003ms Confidence avant OB : 72% → 62%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.206

avg 0.197 ± 0.006

OBI Top 10 0.100

Microstructure

Mid Price

3.8050

Micro Price

3.8050

Spread

0.0526%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price

3.7200

Size

10,915.20

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

3.8900

Size

10,458.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
3.8055	3.9059	3.5545	2.5	3.27

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 3.8055
Stop Loss: 3.9059
Take Profit: 3.5545

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 3.9059 - 3.8055 = 0.1004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 3.8055 - 3.5545 = 0.251
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.251 / 0.1004 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
303.2159	100	79.6783	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.1004

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1004 = 79.68

Taille de position USD = 79.68 x 3.8055 = 303.22

Donc, tu peux acheter 79.68 avec un stoploss a 3.9059

Avec un position size USD de 303.22$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 79.68 x 0.1004 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 79.68 x 0.251 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

Taille de position 79.68
Taille de position USD 303.22
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 20
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
6.6 %	20 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
2.64 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
20 $	6.60

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.9565 %	36.25 %	8

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
3.8055	3.9059	3.5545	2.5	3.27

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 3.8055
Stop Loss: 3.9059
Take Profit: 3.5545

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 3.9059 - 3.8055 = 0.1004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 3.8055 - 3.5545 = 0.251
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.251 / 0.1004 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BosPullback (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -2.638% (0.1004)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.177%	0.5R	-0.079%	0.0R	14.9×	12
2h	+1.177%	0.5R	-0.957%	0.4R	1.2×	24
4h ★	+4.798%	1.8R	-0.957%	0.4R	5.0×	48
8h	+7.247%	2.8R	-0.957%	0.4R	7.6×	96
12h	+7.247%	2.8R	-0.957%	0.4R	7.6×	144
24h	+10.149%	3.9R	-0.957%	0.4R	10.6×	288
48h	+10.149%	3.9R	-0.957%	0.4R	10.6×	576
72h	+10.149%	3.9R	-3.106%	1.2R	3.3×	864

⏱ MFE in 1158 min MAE in 83 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

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