Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.02 BTC at 85496$ per unit. Take profit: 86293.2967 (0.93 %) & Stop Loss: 85097.3516 (0.47 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.02 BTC at 85496$ per unit. Take profit: 86293.2967 (0.93 %) & Stop Loss: 85097.3516 (0.47 %)
Position
Entry 85496$
Qty 0.02007 BTC
Size 1715.7175$ (margin 100$) (leverage 17)
Risk Setup
TP 86293.2967 (+0.93%)
TP $ 16$
SL 85097.3516 (-0.47%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7668
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.38×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.15×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.31×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 02/10 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 57.4% |
| 1h | 13.1% |
| 4h | 44.3% |
| 24h | 90.2% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 36.1% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 57.4% | -0.13% |
| 24h | 59.0% | +3.34% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7070 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.47% · r3d: 1.65% · ema21_slope: 0.4369% · dist_ema21: 3.346% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2767 | rvol_20: 0.81× · zscore_50: -0.410 · trend: -8.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8213 | ADX: 41.4 (trend) · Chop: 41.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.682% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5293 | r1h: -1.008% · r4h: -0.701% · r1d: 1.96% · r3d: 2.32% · ema21_slope: 0.1203% · dist_ema21: 0.012% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9586 | rvol_20: 2.94× · zscore_50: 2.532 · trend: 109.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8464 | ADX: 41.6 (trend) · Chop: 34.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.679% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5875 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.374% · r1d: 3.01% · r3d: 2.47% · ema21_slope: 0.0741% · dist_ema21: 2.328% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3333 | rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: -0.049 · trend: 1.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7019 | ADX: 29.4 (trend) · Chop: 43.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.044% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.207% | 0.4R | -0.425% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.207% | 0.4R | -0.580% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.207% | 0.4R | -1.930% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.207% | 0.4R | -1.930% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.207% | 0.4R | -1.930% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.207% | 0.4R | -1.930% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.207% | 0.4R | -1.930% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.748% | 3.8R | -1.930% | 4.1R | 0.9× | 864 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | — | — | — | — | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | — | — | — | — | 02/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | — | — | — | — | 02/10 10:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_low |
32%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | near 0.5ATR | — | — | — | — | — | 02/10 10:45 |
| 5m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
44%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | — | — | — | — | 02/10 11:00 |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197472
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.604 | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 16b 1.1ATR | — | — | 0.81 | 49% | ↔ +0.10 | above_value | +1.86 | — | #105765 | — | — | — | — |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:15
|
|
4h
#202338
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.542 | expansion | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 6b 2.1ATR | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.78 | 51% | ↔ +0.09 | above_value | +4.77 | — | #107711 | — | — | — | — |
02/10 04:00
upd 02/10 08:05
|
|
1h
anchor #203571
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.552 | expansion | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early 2b 0.0ATR | — | — | 2.94 | 98% | ↑ +0.65 | above_value | +4.94 | — | #108246 | — | — | — | — |
02/10 10:00
upd 02/10 11:05
|
|
15m
#203497
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.526 | volatile_reversal | range_low |
32%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid 5b -1.5ATR | near 0.5ATR | — | 2.71 | 98% | ↑ +0.83 | above_value | +4.94 | — | #108246 | — | — | — | — |
02/10 10:45
upd 02/10 11:00
|
|
5m
#203570
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.379 | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
44%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid 8b -1.6ATR | — | — | 0.21 | 52% | ↔ +0.10 | above_value | +4.94 | — | #108246 | — | — | — | — |
02/10 11:00
upd 02/10 11:05
|
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 16b | — | 4.366×ATR | p53 | +1.105×ATR | p56 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 3.642×ATR | p66 | +2.107×ATR | p83 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.694×ATR | p44 | +0.017×ATR | p2 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 4.019×ATR | p77 | -1.488×ATR | p75 |
| 5m | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 3.512×ATR | p67 | -1.55×ATR | p74 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
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[7] => Array
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[1] => 86874
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.24612066944822
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[1] => Array
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[2] => Array
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[1] => 84910
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[1] => 84480
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[0] => 2026-10-02 07:30:00
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[detected_trend] => range
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.20158454830997
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[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2396980919788
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[1] => Array
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[1] => 86089
[2] => L
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[2] => Array
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[2] => H
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87235
196
0.7076
0.6219
0.3968
0.2341
0.53
1
0.4382
0.5266
0.7934
0.7905
0.6645
0.6368
0.0961
0.0896
0.6667
-0.2416
0.9837
0.8
0.2
1
3
1
0.5318
0.5209
4.8758
0.55
1.3175
3.0484
0.9837
0.6914
0.3024
0.84
0.1298
0.519
0.5204
0.9058
0.6368
-2.8044
4.9179
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:09 | 85496.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:20 | 85524.00000000 | +0.033% |
| 3 | 11:41 | 85304.00000000 | -0.225% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 08:15:00 | 86613 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 09:25:00 | 86089 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 09:50:00 | 86417 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 10:25:00 | 86146 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 10:35:00 | 86489 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 11:00:00 | 86260 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 12:00:00 | 86280 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 12:30:00 | 87235 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 13:35:00 | 87162 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 14:55:00 | 85324 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 21:30:00 | 84447 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 22:00:00 | 84746 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 00:15:00 | 84910 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 01:15:00 | 84480 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 04:30:00 | 86874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 06:00:00 | 85850 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 07:30:00 | 85737 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 08:15:00 | 86613 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 12:30:00 | 87235 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 14:45:00 | 85324 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 15:00:00 | 82858 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 23:00:00 | 83801 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 07:00:00 | 82914 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 13:00:00 | 85645 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 06:00:00 | 84383 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 08:00:00 | 83133 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 18:00:00 | 85250 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 04:00:00 | 86874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 12:00:00 | 87235 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 14:00:00 | 85324 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85496 | 85097.3516 | 86293.2967 | 2 | 69257 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 85097.3516 - 85496 = -398.64840000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 85496 - 86293.2967 = -797.29670000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -797.29670000001 / -398.64840000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1715.7175 | 100 | 0.02007 | 17.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -398.64840000001 = -0.02
Taille de position USD = -0.02 x 85496 = -1709.92
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.02 avec un stoploss a 85097.3516
Avec un position size USD de -1709.92$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.02 x -398.64840000001 = 7.97
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.97$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.02 x -797.29670000001 = 15.95
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.95$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.93 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.47 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.47 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4831 % | 103.6 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85496 | 85097.3516 | 86293.2967 | 2 | 69257 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 85097.3516 - 85496 = -398.64840000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 85496 - 86293.2967 = -797.29670000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -797.29670000001 / -398.64840000001 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 86293.2967
[entry_price] => 85496
[stop_loss] => 85057.48676
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 16:40:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.2] => Array
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[take_profit] => 86293.2967
[entry_price] => 85496
[stop_loss] => 85017.62192
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 16:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 86293.2967
[entry_price] => 85496
[stop_loss] => 84977.75708
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 86293.2967
[entry_price] => 85496
[stop_loss] => 84898.0274
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.207% | 0.4R | -0.425% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.207% | 0.4R | -0.580% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.207% | 0.4R | -1.930% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.207% | 0.4R | -1.930% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.207% | 0.4R | -1.930% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.207% | 0.4R | -1.930% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.207% | 0.4R | -1.930% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.748% | 3.8R | -1.930% | 4.1R | 0.9× | 864 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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