02 Oct 2026 at 11:15:09 hyperliquid

Long Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 4.91 VVV at 29.261$ per unit. Take profit: 29.9925 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 27.6329 (5.56 %)

VVV LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 11:15 → 17:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 29.261$

Qty 4.9138 VVV

Size 143.7819$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 29.9925 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.59$

SL 27.6329 (-5.56%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.45

Status loss PnL -5.14% / -7.39$ MAE -5.25% MFE +1.64% 0.3R expires 02 Oct 17:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172350)
#7 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8903

Quality Score
0.735
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#7 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#7 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.07×ATR
4h near -0.32×ATR
1d clear 2.00×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.13
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
19.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 11:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

02/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

02/10 10:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4661
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.90

expansion

+1

Tactical bull

0.90

expansion

+1

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 56.3%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 57.4%
1h 13.1%
4h 44.3%
24h 90.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 36.1% +0.02%
4h 57.4% -0.13%
24h 59.0% +3.34%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.171
Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 11:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4096
Score SMA
0.5161
Rank
#73 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0526
Rank Norm SMA
0.1816
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4926 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.50% · r3d: -5.84% · ema21_slope: 1.4000% · dist_ema21: -1.498%
Force Relative 25% 0.3756 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.97% · rs_3d: -7.49% · beta_24h: 1.118
Volume 20% 0.2072 rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.331 · trend: -28.07%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8434 ADX: 54.9 (trend) · Chop: 52.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.037% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.7352
Score SMA
0.4859
Rank
#7 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8903
Rank Norm SMA
0.3225
Calculé le
02/10/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7421 r1h: -0.670% · r4h: -1.726% · r1d: 10.16% · r3d: 9.40% · ema21_slope: 0.4969% · dist_ema21: 3.936%
Force Relative 25% 0.6542 rs_1h: 0.338% · rs_4h: -1.025% · rs_1d: 8.20% · rs_3d: 7.08% · beta_24h: 1.442
Volume 20% 0.6438 rvol_20: 1.74× · zscore_50: 1.246 · trend: 71.47%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7815 ADX: 33.8 (trend) · Chop: 26.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.243% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6729
Score SMA
0.4079
Rank
#7 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7073
Rank Norm SMA
0.1122
Calculé le
02/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6957 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 5.683% · r1d: 8.08% · r3d: 7.25% · ema21_slope: -0.0583% · dist_ema21: 8.007%
Force Relative 25% 0.6755 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 5.309% · rs_1d: 5.07% · rs_3d: 4.78% · beta_24h: 2.932
Volume 20% 0.6718 rvol_20: 2.38× · zscore_50: 1.359 · trend: 10.44%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6185 ADX: 23.7 (weak) · Chop: 48.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.6819 ATR%: 3.954% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.564% (1.6281)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.640% 0.3R -1.036% 0.2R 1.6× 12
2h +1.640% 0.3R -1.036% 0.2R 1.6× 24
4h +1.640% 0.3R -2.618% 0.5R 0.6× 48
6h ★ +1.640% 0.3R -5.249% 0.9R 0.3× 72
8h +1.640% 0.3R -5.543% 1.0R 0.3× 96
12h +1.640% 0.3R -6.459% 1.2R 0.3× 144
24h +1.640% 0.3R -7.310% 1.3R 0.2× 288
48h +1.640% 0.3R -7.310% 1.3R 0.2× 576
72h +5.441% 1.0R -7.310% 1.3R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 19 min MAE in 984 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.5
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind normal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 35% early — — 0.37 bull_high +13.92% +0.17 30/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 39% late — near -0.3ATR 0.29 bull_high +4.41% +0.61 02/10 04:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate explosive expansion bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 46% late — near -0.1ATR 0.38 bull_medium +1.44% +0.59 02/10 10:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 32% early near -0.2ATR near -0.5ATR 0.55 range_low +0.15% +0.07 02/10 10:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197679
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.604 normal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 35% early 10b -0.1ATR — — 0.49 63% ↓ -0.19 value -2.39 — #105820 0.37 bull_high +13.92% +0.17
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:25
4h
#202465
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.558 normal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 39% late 4b 2.0ATR — near -0.3ATR 2.38 78% ↔ +0.01 above_value +3.93 — #107921 0.29 bull_high +4.41% +0.61
02/10 04:00
upd 02/10 08:17
1h anchor
#203630
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate explosive 0.643 expansion bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 46% late 19b 1.6ATR — near -0.1ATR 1.74 95% ↑ +0.45 above_value +3.15 — #108461 0.38 bull_medium +1.44% +0.59
02/10 10:00
upd 02/10 11:11
15m
#203552
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.590 normal bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 32% early 3b 0.4ATR near -0.2ATR near -0.5ATR 0.11 29% ↑ +0.24 above_value +3.52 — #108304 0.55 range_low +0.15% +0.07
02/10 10:45
upd 02/10 11:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 10b — 2.928×ATR p22 -0.118×ATR p6
4h ↑ up late 4b — 3.45×ATR p58 +2.014×ATR p91
1h ↑ up late 19b — 5.656×ATR p98 +1.569×ATR p82
15m ↓ down early 3b — 1.235×ATR p3 +0.428×ATR p26

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 27.63292333
  2. tp_price: 29.992525
  3. atr: 0.65123067
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T21:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 8
  2. total: 80
  3. score: 0.7639
  4. delta_2h: 0.0165
  5. extension_atr: 0.93
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8903
  9. confidence: 0.911

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
29.261 27.6329 29.9925 0.45 19.057
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 29.261
  • Stop Loss: 27.6329
  • Take Profit: 29.9925

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 27.6329 - 29.261 = -1.6281

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 29.261 - 29.9925 = -0.7315

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.7315 / -1.6281 = 0.4493

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
143.7819 100 4.9138 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -1.6281

Taille de position = 8 / -1.6281 = -4.91

Taille de position USD = -4.91 x 29.261 = -143.67

Donc, tu peux acheter -4.91 avec un stoploss a 27.6329

Avec un position size USD de -143.67$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -4.91 x -1.6281 = 7.99

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -4.91 x -0.7315 = 3.59

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.59$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -4.91
  • Taille de position USD -143.67
  • Perte potentielle 7.99
  • Gain potentiel 3.59
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4493

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.59 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.56 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-7.39 $ -5.14
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.2493 % 94.34 % 15
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
29.261 27.6329 29.9925 0.45 19.057
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 29.261
  • Stop Loss: 27.6329
  • Take Profit: 29.9925

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 27.6329 - 29.261 = -1.6281

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 29.261 - 29.9925 = -0.7315

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.7315 / -1.6281 = 0.4493

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.564% (1.6281)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.640% 0.3R -1.036% 0.2R 1.6× 12
2h +1.640% 0.3R -1.036% 0.2R 1.6× 24
4h +1.640% 0.3R -2.618% 0.5R 0.6× 48
6h ★ +1.640% 0.3R -5.249% 0.9R 0.3× 72
8h +1.640% 0.3R -5.543% 1.0R 0.3× 96
12h +1.640% 0.3R -6.459% 1.2R 0.3× 144
24h +1.640% 0.3R -7.310% 1.3R 0.2× 288
48h +1.640% 0.3R -7.310% 1.3R 0.2× 576
72h +5.441% 1.0R -7.310% 1.3R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 19 min MAE in 984 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.