Long Trade on W (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 15800.28 W at 0.014$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01525 (9.08 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01347 (3.65 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 11:35:54
hyperliquid
W
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 11:35
→ 14:25
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.01398$
Qty 15800.2844 W
Size 220.888$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.01525 (+9.08%)
TP $ 20.07$
SL 0.01347 (-3.65%)
SL $ 8.06$
RR 2.49
Status
loss
PnL
-3.65%
/ -8.06$
MAE -7.44%
MFE +2.65%
0.7R
expires
02 Oct 23:35
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: )
#69 / 79
OUT
seuil : top 15
Avg Rank 8h:
Quality Score
N/A
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#69 / 79
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#69 / 79
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.45×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.91×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | — | — | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
897,476 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 11:31
02/10 11:31
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/10 00:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4663
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
38.2%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 41.9% |
| 1h | 4.8% |
| 4h | 21.0% |
| 24h | 75.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 27.4% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 54.8% | -0.90% |
| 24h | 54.8% | +1.93% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.111
Universe :
62
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 11:31
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6164
Score SMA
0.7259
Rank
#18
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7763
Rank Norm SMA
0.8389
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7630 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.14% · r3d: -3.92% · ema21_slope: 1.8299% · dist_ema21: 9.809% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5994 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.61% · rs_3d: -5.57% · beta_24h: 1.462 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5846 | rvol_20: 1.35× · zscore_50: 0.718 · trend: 135.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8049 | ADX: 36.6 (trend) · Chop: 26.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.405% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4725
Score SMA
0.6090
Rank
#63
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2078
Rank Norm SMA
0.6380
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6497 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.167% · r1d: 1.11% · r3d: -4.94% · ema21_slope: -0.1066% · dist_ema21: 0.821% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5331 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.471% · rs_1d: -2.11% · rs_3d: -7.49% · beta_24h: 2.094 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1631 | rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.607 · trend: -47.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2849 | ADX: 19.7 (weak) · Chop: 85.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6895 | ATR%: 3.932% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.648%
(0.0005)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.647% | 0.7R | -0.501% | 0.1R | 5.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.647% | 0.7R | -2.289% | 0.6R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.647% | 0.7R | -7.439% | 2.0R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.647% | 0.7R | -7.439% | 2.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.647% | 0.7R | -7.439% | 2.0R | 0.4× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.647% | 0.7R | -7.439% | 2.0R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +6.581% | 1.8R | -7.439% | 2.0R | 0.9× | 432 |
| 48h | +9.871% | 2.7R | -7.439% | 2.0R | 1.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.871% | 2.7R | -7.439% | 2.0R | 1.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2154 min
MAE in 184 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.36
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
71%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.59 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.98 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bull_high | +4.12% | -0.37 | 02/10 00:00 |
| 1h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 15m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197635
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.673 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
71%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early 4b 0.9ATR | — | — | 1.35 | 97% | ↑ +0.89 | value | -1.34 | — | #105801 | 0.59 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.98 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:23
|
|
4h
#200794
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.590 | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early 17b 0.3ATR | — | — | 0.40 | 78% | ↓ -0.39 | above_value | +0.60 | — | #107202 | 0.48 | bull_high | +4.12% | -0.37 |
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:14
|
| 1h anchor | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.696×ATR | p6 | +0.895×ATR | p46 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 17b | — | 2.326×ATR | p24 | +0.265×ATR | p17 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8087
- reason: up_bo width=2.86×ATR dur=57b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.01347368
- tp_price: 0.0152458
- atr:
- score: 0.80870715743372
- expires_at: 2026-10-03T03:35:46.571779
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.80870715743372
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0275
- obi_top10 : 0.0159
- micro_price : 0.01399097
- spread_pct : 0.07148
- mid_price : 0.013995
- bid_wall_price : 0.0136
- bid_wall_size : 6266210.18
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0143
- ask_wall_size : 5123194.8
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0277
- obi_top5_std : 0.0005
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6977
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.0138
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.01319
- balance_zone_mid:
0.013495
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790751600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790953200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8614
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
57
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8087
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790946000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.0138
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9123
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.8443
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
9
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00021318 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
57
inside_close_ratio
0.9123
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
0.8443
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:35 | 0.01398000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:46 | 0.01398000 | 0% |
| 3 | 11:56 | 0.01398000 | 0% |
| 4 | 12:43 | 0.01395000 | -0.215% |
| 5 | 12:52 | 0.01395000 | -0.215% |
| 6 | 13:03 | 0.01395000 | -0.215% |
| 7 | 13:14 | 0.01385000 | -0.93% |
| 8 | 13:25 | 0.01385000 | -0.93% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6977ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
81%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.028
avg 0.028
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.016
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0140
Micro Price
0.0140
Spread
0.0715%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0136
Size
6,266,210.18
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0143
Size
5,123,194.80
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01398 | 0.01347 | 0.01525 | 2.49 | 0.00964 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01398
- Stop Loss: 0.01347
- Take Profit: 0.01525
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01347 - 0.01398 = -0.00051
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01398 - 0.01525 = -0.00127
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00127 / -0.00051 = 2.4902
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 220.888 | 100 | 15800.2844 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00051
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00051 = -15686.27
Taille de position USD = -15686.27 x 0.01398 = -219.29
Donc, tu peux acheter -15686.27 avec un stoploss a 0.01347
Avec un position size USD de -219.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -15686.27 x -0.00051 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -15686.27 x -0.00127 = 19.92
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.92$
Résumé
- Taille de position -15686.27
- Taille de position USD -219.29
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.92
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4902
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.08 % | 20.07 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.65 % | 8.06 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.06 $ | -3.65 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.6481 % | 100 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01398 | 0.01347 | 0.01525 | 2.49 | 0.00964 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01398
- Stop Loss: 0.01347
- Take Profit: 0.01525
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01347 - 0.01398 = -0.00051
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01398 - 0.01525 = -0.00127
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00127 / -0.00051 = 2.4902
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01525
[entry_price] => 0.01398
[stop_loss] => 0.013419
[rr_ratio] => 2.26
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01525
[entry_price] => 0.01398
[stop_loss] => 0.013368
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01525
[entry_price] => 0.01398
[stop_loss] => 0.013317
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01525
[entry_price] => 0.01398
[stop_loss] => 0.013215
[rr_ratio] => 1.66
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.648%
(0.0005)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.647% | 0.7R | -0.501% | 0.1R | 5.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.647% | 0.7R | -2.289% | 0.6R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.647% | 0.7R | -7.439% | 2.0R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.647% | 0.7R | -7.439% | 2.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.647% | 0.7R | -7.439% | 2.0R | 0.4× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.647% | 0.7R | -7.439% | 2.0R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +6.581% | 1.8R | -7.439% | 2.0R | 0.9× | 432 |
| 48h | +9.871% | 2.7R | -7.439% | 2.0R | 1.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.871% | 2.7R | -7.439% | 2.0R | 1.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2154 min
MAE in 184 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.