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Long Trade on PUMP

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02 Oct 2026 at 13:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 18052.17 PUMP at 0.00592$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006072 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.005481 (7.48 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 13:15 → 14:35 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.005924$

Qty 18052.1708 PUMP

Size 106.9411$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.006072 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.67$

SL 0.005481 (-7.48%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.33

Status loss PnL -7.48% / -8$ MAE -13.99% MFE +0.29% 0.0R expires 02 Oct 19:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172587)
#9 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7002

Quality Score
0.667
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#9 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.48 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#9 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.48 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.14×ATR
4h near -0.17×ATR
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-1.61
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
195.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 13:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

02/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

02/10 12:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4669
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.90

early_expansion

+1

Tactical bull

0.90

expansion

+1

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 39.9%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 44.3%
1h 36.1%
4h 13.1%
24h 88.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 45.9% -0.02%
4h 62.3% -1.61%
24h 70.5% +3.09%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.130
Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 13:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7077
Score SMA
0.6725
Rank
#8 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9079
Rank Norm SMA
0.6315
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8911 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.77% · r3d: 18.14% · ema21_slope: 1.6028% · dist_ema21: 25.225%
Force Relative 25% 0.8078 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.24% · rs_3d: 16.49% · beta_24h: 1.226
Volume 20% 0.5995 rvol_20: 1.66× · zscore_50: 0.632 · trend: 78.59%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7902 ADX: 36.4 (trend) · Chop: 39.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.915% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.6665
Score SMA
0.6403
Rank
#9 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7002
Rank Norm SMA
0.7784
Calculé le
02/10/2026 13:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6210 r1h: -1.553% · r4h: -1.057% · r1d: 5.55% · r3d: 3.62% · ema21_slope: 0.1684% · dist_ema21: 0.354%
Force Relative 25% 0.5246 rs_1h: -1.359% · rs_4h: 0.843% · rs_1d: 4.38% · rs_3d: 1.07% · beta_24h: 1.519
Volume 20% 0.6104 rvol_20: 1.66× · zscore_50: 1.626 · trend: 36.90%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4785 ADX: 17.1 (weak) · Chop: 58.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.9427 ATR%: 3.172% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.6503
Score SMA
0.6550
Rank
#16 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7118
Rank Norm SMA
0.7515
Calculé le
02/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8478 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.974% · r1d: 8.48% · r3d: 4.21% · ema21_slope: 0.5653% · dist_ema21: 6.044%
Force Relative 25% 0.8136 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 4.225% · rs_1d: 7.06% · rs_3d: 1.48% · beta_24h: 0.874
Volume 20% 0.4575 rvol_20: 1.19× · zscore_50: 0.682 · trend: 26.03%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5755 ADX: 35.7 (trend) · Chop: 65.6 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.1478 ATR%: 5.557% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.478% (0.0004)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.287% 0.0R -4.946% 0.7R 0.1× 12
2h +0.287% 0.0R -13.994% 1.9R 0.0× 24
4h +0.287% 0.0R -13.994% 1.9R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.287% 0.0R -13.994% 1.9R 0.0× 72
8h +0.287% 0.0R -13.994% 1.9R 0.0× 96
12h +0.287% 0.0R -13.994% 1.9R 0.0× 144
24h +4.963% 0.7R -13.994% 1.9R 0.4× 288
48h +15.041% 2.0R -13.994% 1.9R 1.1× 576
72h +15.041% 2.0R -13.994% 1.9R 1.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 1429 min MAE in 79 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.04
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
69%
noisy_chop 42% late — — 0.50 bull_high +13.92% +1.00 30/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
69%
noisy_chop 33% early — near -0.2ATR 0.27 bull_high +3.04% +0.92 02/10 08:00
1h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 38% early near 0.0ATR near -0.1ATR 0.37 bull_medium +0.80% -0.01 02/10 12:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion range_high
39%
noisy_chop 34% early near 0.5ATR — 0.37 range_low -0.39% +0.28 02/10 12:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197692
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.690 expansion bull_high_confirmed
69%
noisy_chop 42% late 15b 2.0ATR — — 1.66 94% ↑ +0.68 above_value +0.39 inside #105826 0.50 bull_high +13.92% +1.00
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:26
4h
#204121
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced 0.584 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
69%
noisy_chop 33% early 6b 1.0ATR — near -0.2ATR 1.19 93% ↓ -0.23 value +1.28 — #108623 0.27 bull_high +3.04% +0.92
02/10 08:00
upd 02/10 12:18
1h anchor
#204500
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.710 expansion bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 38% early 6b 0.1ATR near 0.0ATR near -0.1ATR 1.66 91% ↑ +0.46 above_value +0.69 — #108860 0.37 bull_medium +0.80% -0.01
02/10 12:00
upd 02/10 13:11
15m
#204420
 ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.685 expansion range_high
39%
noisy_chop 34% early 2b -0.7ATR near 0.5ATR — 0.73 67% ↑ +0.43 value +1.28 — #108623 0.37 range_low -0.39% +0.28
02/10 12:45
upd 02/10 13:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 15b — 4.222×ATR p65 +2.021×ATR p90
4h ↑ up early 6b — 1.839×ATR p0 +1.042×ATR p56
1h ↑ up early 6b — 0.946×ATR p2 +0.108×ATR p8
15m ↓ down early 2b — 2.737×ATR p48 -0.695×ATR p45

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00548084
  2. tp_price: 0.0060721
  3. atr: 0.00017726
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T23:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 7
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.7741
  4. delta_2h: 0.1243
  5. extension_atr: 0.22
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7165
  9. confidence: 0.972

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.005924 0.005481 0.006072 0.33 0.003387
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.005924
  • Stop Loss: 0.005481
  • Take Profit: 0.006072

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.005481 - 0.005924 = -0.000443

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.005924 - 0.006072 = -0.000148

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000148 / -0.000443 = 0.3341

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
106.9411 100 18052.1708 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000443

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000443 = -18058.69

Taille de position USD = -18058.69 x 0.005924 = -106.98

Donc, tu peux acheter -18058.69 avec un stoploss a 0.005481

Avec un position size USD de -106.98$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -18058.69 x -0.000443 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -18058.69 x -0.000148 = 2.67

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.67$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -18058.69
  • Taille de position USD -106.98
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.67
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3341

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 2.67 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.48 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -7.48
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-8.1195 % 108.58 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.005924 0.005481 0.006072 0.33 0.003387
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.005924
  • Stop Loss: 0.005481
  • Take Profit: 0.006072

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.005481 - 0.005924 = -0.000443

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.005924 - 0.006072 = -0.000148

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000148 / -0.000443 = 0.3341

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.006072
            [entry_price] => 0.005924
            [stop_loss] => 0.0054367
            [rr_ratio] => 0.3
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.006072
            [entry_price] => 0.005924
            [stop_loss] => 0.0053924
            [rr_ratio] => 0.28
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.006072
            [entry_price] => 0.005924
            [stop_loss] => 0.0053481
            [rr_ratio] => 0.26
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.006072
            [entry_price] => 0.005924
            [stop_loss] => 0.0052595
            [rr_ratio] => 0.22
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.478% (0.0004)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.287% 0.0R -4.946% 0.7R 0.1× 12
2h +0.287% 0.0R -13.994% 1.9R 0.0× 24
4h +0.287% 0.0R -13.994% 1.9R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.287% 0.0R -13.994% 1.9R 0.0× 72
8h +0.287% 0.0R -13.994% 1.9R 0.0× 96
12h +0.287% 0.0R -13.994% 1.9R 0.0× 144
24h +4.963% 0.7R -13.994% 1.9R 0.4× 288
48h +15.041% 2.0R -13.994% 1.9R 1.1× 576
72h +15.041% 2.0R -13.994% 1.9R 1.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 1429 min MAE in 79 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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