Long Trade on BTC

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02 Oct 2026 at 13:20:34 hyperliquid

Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)

With 0.031 BTC at 84875$ per unit. Take profit: 85390.5918 (0.61 %) & Stop Loss: 84617.2041 (0.3 %)

BTC LONG CatchTheWave hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 13:20 → 13:25 · 4 minutes

Position

Entry 84875$

Qty 0.03103 BTC

Size 2633.8663$ (margin 100$) (leverage 26)

Risk Setup

TP 85390.5918 (+0.61%)

TP $ 16$

SL 84617.2041 (-0.3%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2

Status loss PnL -0.30% / -8$ MAE -1.21% MFE +0.01% 0.0R

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172525)

#28 / 78

OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7884

Quality Score

0.573

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#28 / 78

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

47 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+10

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

0.30 %

TIGHT

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#28 / 78

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

47 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+10

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

0.30 %

TIGHT

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	2.29×ATR
4h	near	-0.09×ATR
1d	clear	5.31×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↑ up	early	OK
1d	↑ up	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

3.41B $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 13:15

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 02/10 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

02/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1)

02/10 12:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime
	1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : bear_low

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bull_medium

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : bear_low

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4670

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion +2
Operational	bull 0.90	early_expansion +1
Tactical	bull 0.90	expansion +1
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) +4

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 31.7%

Macro mixed_dispersion

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : mixed

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	30.7%
1h	45.2%
4h	8.1%
24h	64.5%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	30.7%	-0.13%
4h	51.6%	-1.53%
24h	56.5%	+0.85%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.142

Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 1.00

Snapshot évalué : 02/10 13:16 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.6156

Score SMA

0.6197

Rank

#19 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7632

Rank Norm SMA

0.5433

Calculé le

01/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7070	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.47% · r3d: 1.65% · ema21_slope: 0.4369% · dist_ema21: 3.346%
Force Relative	25%	0.5000	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000
Volume	20%	0.2767	rvol_20: 0.81× · zscore_50: -0.410 · trend: -8.69%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8213	ADX: 41.4 (trend) · Chop: 41.1 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.682% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 13:00

Score brut

0.5730

Score SMA

0.5248

Rank

#28 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7884

Rank Norm SMA

0.5148

Calculé le

02/10/2026 13:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4977	r1h: -0.193% · r4h: -1.900% · r1d: 1.17% · r3d: 2.55% · ema21_slope: 0.0846% · dist_ema21: -0.504%
Force Relative	25%	0.5000	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000
Volume	20%	0.4164	rvol_20: 0.82× · zscore_50: 0.062 · trend: 70.28%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7695	ADX: 37.8 (trend) · Chop: 43.8 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 0.678% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.6745

Score SMA

0.5152

Rank

#12 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8167

Rank Norm SMA

0.4364

Calculé le

02/10/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5265	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.251% · r1d: 1.42% · r3d: 2.73% · ema21_slope: 0.0782% · dist_ema21: 0.952%
Force Relative	25%	0.5000	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000
Volume	20%	0.9136	rvol_20: 2.88× · zscore_50: 2.763 · trend: 61.73%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7253	ADX: 30.1 (trend) · Chop: 41.3 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.158% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: CatchTheWave (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -0.304% (257.7959)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.013%	0.0R	-0.436%	1.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.013%	0.0R	-1.212%	4.0R	0.0×	24
4h ★	+0.013%	0.0R	-1.212%	4.0R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.013%	0.0R	-1.212%	4.0R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.013%	0.0R	-1.212%	4.0R	0.0×	144
24h	+0.067%	0.2R	-1.212%	4.0R	0.1×	288
48h	+0.693%	2.3R	-1.212%	4.0R	0.6×	576
72h	+2.492%	8.2R	-1.212%	4.0R	2.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 1439 min MAE in 84 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.03

Prediction Score: 0

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 37%	mid	—	—	—	—	—	—	30/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 40%	early	—	near -0.1ATR	—	—	—	—	02/10 08:00
1h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	expansion	bull_medium	62%	noisy_chop 41%	mid	near -0.2ATR	—	—	—	—	—	02/10 12:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	volatile_reversal	range_low	32%	noisy_chop 45%	late	near -0.3ATR	—	—	—	—	—	02/10 13:00
5m	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	compression	bear_low	46%	noisy_chop 37%	late	near -0.6ATR	—	—	—	—	—	02/10 13:15

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197472	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.604	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 16b 1.1ATR	—	—	0.81	49%	↔ +0.10	above_value	+1.86	—	#105765	—	—	—	—	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:15
4h #203968	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.600	expansion	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 40%	early 7b 0.9ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	2.43	94%	↑ +0.21	above_value	+2.84	—	#108402	—	—	—	—	02/10 08:00 upd 02/10 12:05
1h anchor #204436	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.659	expansion	bull_medium	62%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 4b -0.7ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	0.82	75%	↑ +0.74	above_value	+2.23	—	#108560	—	—	—	—	02/10 12:00 upd 02/10 13:05
15m #204517	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	0.457	volatile_reversal	range_low	32%	noisy_chop 45%	late 14b -1.9ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	0.33	62%	↓ -0.45	above_value	+1.97	—	#108797	—	—	—	—	02/10 13:00 upd 02/10 13:15
5m #204596	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.709	compression	bear_low	46%	noisy_chop 37%	late 35b -2.0ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	3.59	94%	↓ -0.28	above_value	+1.97	—	#108797	—	—	—	—	02/10 13:15 upd 02/10 13:20

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	mid	16b	—	4.366×ATR	p53	+1.105×ATR	p56
4h	↑ up	early	7b	—	2.401×ATR	p16	+0.911×ATR	p53
1h	↓ down	mid	4b	—	3.61×ATR	p72	-0.669×ATR	p45
15m	↓ down	late	14b	—	6.745×ATR	p100	-1.925×ATR	p87
5m	↓ down	late	35b	—	9.485×ATR	p100	-2.045×ATR	p85

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

long_trend: 1
confidence: 0.4714
reason: HTF_bullish_stack | KC_pullback(0.01) | regime:bull_medium|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)
stop_price: 84617.20407618
tp_price: 85390.59184764
atr: 171.86394921405
score: 1.9808
confidence_pre_ob: 0.5714

Details

1H
timeframe : 1H
ema9 : 85683
ema21 : 85546.4
ema50 : 84946.8
ema100 : 84480.7
price_ema9_diff : -0.00943099
ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00159712
ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00705824
price_ema100_diff : 0.00466634
all_emas_in_trend : True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
ema_slope_9 : 0.028897
ema_slope_21 : 0.0696675
ema_slope_50 : 0.0609476
ema_slope_100 : 0.0400672
rsi : 0.466861
adx : 0.358998
kc_percentage : 0.189097
kc_width_percentage : 0.0263399
volume_ema_diff : 0.192091
rvol_20 : 0.0341248
rvol_50 : 0.0438303
volume_zscore_50 : -1.16419
volume_vol_ratio : 0.106982
chop : 44.4076
regime : bull_medium
15m
timeframe : 15m
ema9 : 85229.2
ema21 : 85607.1
ema50 : 85767.7
ema100 : 85524.8
price_ema9_diff : -0.00415621
ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0044151
ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00187166
price_ema100_diff : -0.00759806
all_emas_in_trend : True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
ema_slope_9 : -0.117768
ema_slope_21 : -0.0769869
ema_slope_50 : -0.0289017
ema_slope_100 : -0.00588446
rsi : 0.255076
adx : 0.281346
kc_percentage : -0.0361332
kc_width_percentage : 0.015629
volume_ema_diff : -0.225065
rvol_20 : 0.640826
rvol_50 : 1.07842
volume_zscore_50 : 0.0767204
volume_vol_ratio : 1.75326
chop : 31.6053
regime : bear_low
5m
timeframe : 5m
ema9 : 85043.5
ema21 : 85208.6
ema50 : 85574.7
ema100 : 85865
price_ema9_diff : -0.00198213
ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00193769
ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00427742
price_ema100_diff : -0.0115308
all_emas_in_trend : True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
ema_slope_9 : -0.025057
ema_slope_21 : -0.0294911
ema_slope_50 : -0.0292645
ema_slope_100 : -0.0203149
rsi : 0.324149
adx : 0.469411
kc_percentage : 0.00960287
kc_width_percentage : 0.00766845
volume_ema_diff : -0.176483
rvol_20 : 0.141107
rvol_50 : 0.0764601
volume_zscore_50 : -1.02233
volume_vol_ratio : 0.112734
chop : 54.2642
regime : bear_low
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structures
1H_version: 1.1

1H_market_structure:

market_structures
15m_version: 1.1

15m_market_structure:

market_structures
5m_version: 1.1

5m_market_structure:

market_structure_v2
timeframe : 1h
state : pullback_up
confidence : 0.897
trend_strength : 0.2767
trend_persistence : 0.5
high_delta_atr : 0.6633
low_delta_atr : 2.3701
current_swing_amp_atr : 3.0217
current_swing_speed : 0.60434
current_swing_efficiency : 0.5209
retracement_ratio : 1.3175
extension_ratio : 0.6172
compression_score : 1.2025
swing_entropy : 1
breakout_strength : -3.1198
distance_to_last_high_atr : -3.783
distance_to_last_low_atr : -1.0307
pivot_count : 36
swing_count : 35
market_structure_v2
last_pivot_kind: high
last_pivot_price:
```
87235
```
last_pivot_index:
```
194
```
trend_analyzer_1h
direction : up
phase : early_expansion
structure : bullish_transition
breakout_state : fresh_breakout
quality : volatile
strength : moderate
exhaustion : medium
momentum_type : balanced
volatility_regime : expansion
htf_context : unknown
risk_state : mid_range
confidence : 0.598
state : up_early_expansion_balanced
trend_analyzer_1h
scores_direction_score:
```
0.691
```
scores_strength_score:
```
0.6394
```
scores_quality_score:
```
0.3916
```
scores_cleanliness_score:
```
0.2325
```
scores_structural_quality:
```
0.5217
```
scores_pullback_score:
```
1
```
scores_exhaustion_score:
```
0.3857
```
scores_continuation_score:
```
0.5357
```
scores_structure_score:
```
0.7934
```
scores_volatility_expansion:
```
0.8387
```
scores_momentum_type_score:
```
0.6529
```
scores_risk_score:
```
0.5604
```
trend_analyzer_1h
features_ema20_slope:
```
-0.0142
```
features_ema50_slope:
```
0.0466
```
features_ema_alignment_score:
```
0.6667
```
features_price_vs_ema20:
```
-0.6938
```
features_price_vs_ema50:
```
0.4034
```
features_recent_hh_hl_score:
```
0.8
```
features_recent_lh_ll_score:
```
0.2
```
features_last_bos_direction:
```
1
```
features_bars_since_last_bos:
```
5
```
features_candle_overlap_ratio:
```
1
```
features_wick_ratio:
```
0.5349
```
features_trend_efficiency:
```
0.5209
```
features_impulse_strength:
```
4.8758
```
features_directional_candle_ratio:
```
0.6
```
features_pullback_depth_ratio:
```
1.3175
```
features_pullback_depth_atr:
```
3.0484
```
features_extension_from_mean:
```
0.4034
```
features_impulse_decay_score:
```
0.6914
```
features_opposing_wick_pressure:
```
0.2954
```
features_volatility_percentile:
```
0.82
```
features_volatility_delta:
```
0.2201
```
features_body_ratio:
```
0.5368
```
features_closes_position_ratio:
```
0.5404
```
features_slope_consistency:
```
0.7455
```
features_range_position:
```
0.5604
```
features_distance_to_recent_high:
```
-3.6253
```
features_distance_to_recent_low:
```
4.6219
```
features_had_recent_range:
```
1
```
features_had_recent_compression:
```
0
```
features_post_break_hl_count:
```
0
```
features_htf_trend_strength:
features_htf_compression_score:
features_htf_entropy_score:
features_htf_hh_hl_score:
features_htf_state_str:
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : -0.3382
obi_top10 : -0.3382
micro_price : 84894.39016905
spread_pct : 0.000118
mid_price : 84894.35
bid_wall_price :
bid_wall_size :
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price :
ask_wall_size :
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : -0.3496
obi_top5_std : 0.0152
pressure_side : ask
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7148
aggregation_tick : 100
error :

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State

-1

Dist From Last High Pct

-2.62%

Dist From Last Low Pct

0.20%

Bars Since Swing High

45 bars

Bars Since Swing Low

1 bars

Last Swing Amplitude Pct

0.35%

Bos Up

Bos Down

Choch Up

Choch Down

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance

84.7959

0.10%

TP to Pivot Distance

1,844.4082

2.16%

DateTime	Price	Type
2026-10-02 09:50:00	86417	↑ High
2026-10-02 10:25:00	86146	↓ Low
2026-10-02 10:35:00	86489	↑ High
2026-10-02 11:00:00	86260	↓ Low
2026-10-02 12:00:00	86280	↓ Low
2026-10-02 12:30:00	87235	↑ High
2026-10-02 13:35:00	87162	↑ High
2026-10-02 14:55:00	85324	↓ Low
2026-10-02 16:40:00	85000	↓ Low
2026-10-02 17:15:00	84702	↓ Low

15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State

Dist From Last High Pct

-2.63%

Dist From Last Low Pct

0.28%

Bars Since Swing High

19 bars

Bars Since Swing Low

0 bars

Last Swing Amplitude Pct

2.99%

Bos Up

Bos Down

Choch Up

Choch Down

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance

170.2041

0.20%

TP to Pivot Distance

1,844.4082

2.16%

DateTime	Price	Type
2026-10-01 21:30:00	84447	↓ Low
2026-10-01 22:00:00	84746	↑ High
2026-10-02 00:15:00	84910	↑ High
2026-10-02 01:15:00	84480	↓ Low
2026-10-02 04:30:00	86874	↑ High
2026-10-02 06:00:00	85850	↓ Low
2026-10-02 07:30:00	85737	↓ Low
2026-10-02 08:15:00	86613	↑ High
2026-10-02 12:30:00	87235	↑ High
2026-10-02 17:15:00	84702	↓ Low

1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State

Dist From Last High Pct

-2.36%

Dist From Last Low Pct

0.21%

Bars Since Swing High

5 bars

Bars Since Swing Low

1 bars

Last Swing Amplitude Pct

2.63%

Bos Up

Bos Down

Choch Up

Choch Down

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance

1,759.2041

2.08%

TP to Pivot Distance

1,844.4082

2.16%

DateTime	Price	Type
2026-09-29 15:00:00	82858	↓ Low
2026-09-29 23:00:00	83801	↑ High
2026-09-30 07:00:00	82914	↓ Low
2026-09-30 13:00:00	85645	↑ High
2026-10-01 06:00:00	84383	↑ High
2026-10-01 08:00:00	83133	↓ Low
2026-10-01 18:00:00	85250	↑ High
2026-10-02 04:00:00	86874	↑ High
2026-10-02 12:00:00	87235	↑ High
2026-10-02 16:00:00	85000	↓ Low

Market Structure V2

1H ↑ pullback_up

Confidence 90%

Trend

Trend Strength

0.277

Persistence

0.500

High Δ ATR

0.663

Low Δ ATR

2.370

Current Swing

Amp ATR

3.022

Speed

0.604

Efficiency

0.521

Structure

Retracement

1.318

Extension

0.617

Compression

1.203

Entropy

1.000

Breakout Str.

-3.120

Dist High ATR

-3.783

Dist Low ATR

-1.031

36 pivots · 35 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 87,235.0000 @ bar 194

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↑ up up_early_expansion_balanced

Confidence 60%

Context

phase early_expansion

structure bullish_transition

breakout fresh_breakout

quality volatile

strength moderate

exhaustion medium

momentum balanced

volatility expansion

risk mid_range

htf unknown

Scores

0.691

0.639

0.392

0.233

0.522

1.000

0.386

0.536

0.793

0.839

0.653

0.560

Features

Ema20 Slope

-0.014

Ema50 Slope

0.047

Ema Alignment Score

0.667

Price Vs Ema20

-0.694

Price Vs Ema50

0.403

Recent Hh Hl Score

0.800

Recent Lh Ll Score

0.200

Last Bos Direction

1.000

Bars Since Last Bos

5.000

Candle Overlap Ratio

1.000

Wick Ratio

0.535

Trend Efficiency

0.521

Impulse Strength

4.876

Directional Candle Ratio

0.600

Pullback Depth Ratio

1.318

Pullback Depth Atr

3.048

Extension From Mean

0.403

Impulse Decay Score

0.691

Opposing Wick Pressure

0.295

Volatility Percentile

0.820

Volatility Delta

0.220

Body Ratio

0.537

Closes Position Ratio

0.540

Slope Consistency

0.746

Range Position

0.560

Distance To Recent High

-3.625

Distance To Recent Low

4.622

Had Recent Range

1.000

Had Recent Compression

0.000

Post Break Hl Count

0.000

Orderbook Context

↓ ask ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7148ms Confidence avant OB : 57% → 47%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.338

avg -0.350 ± 0.015

OBI Top 10 -0.338

Microstructure

Mid Price

84,894.3500

Micro Price

84,894.3902

Spread

0.0001%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
84875	84617.2041	85390.5918	2	67019

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 84875
Stop Loss: 84617.2041
Take Profit: 85390.5918

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 84617.2041 - 84875 = -257.7959
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 84875 - 85390.5918 = -515.59179999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -515.59179999999 / -257.7959 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
2633.8663	100	0.03103	26.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -257.7959

Taille de position = 8 / -257.7959 = -0.03

Taille de position USD = -0.03 x 84875 = -2546.25

Donc, tu peux acheter -0.03 avec un stoploss a 84617.2041

Avec un position size USD de -2546.25$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -0.03 x -257.7959 = 7.73

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.73$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -0.03 x -515.59179999999 = 15.47

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.47$

Résumé

Taille de position -0.03
Taille de position USD -2546.25
Perte potentielle 7.73
Gain potentiel 15.47
Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
0.61 %	16 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
0.3 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-0.30

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.3652 %	120.25 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
84875	84617.2041	85390.5918	2	67019

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 84875
Stop Loss: 84617.2041
Take Profit: 85390.5918

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 84617.2041 - 84875 = -257.7959
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 84875 - 85390.5918 = -515.59179999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -515.59179999999 / -257.7959 = 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 85390.5918
            [entry_price] => 84875
            [stop_loss] => 84591.42451
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 85390.5918
            [entry_price] => 84875
            [stop_loss] => 84565.64492
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 85390.5918
            [entry_price] => 84875
            [stop_loss] => 84539.86533
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 85390.5918
            [entry_price] => 84875
            [stop_loss] => 84488.30615
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: CatchTheWave (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -0.304% (257.7959)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.013%	0.0R	-0.436%	1.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.013%	0.0R	-1.212%	4.0R	0.0×	24
4h ★	+0.013%	0.0R	-1.212%	4.0R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.013%	0.0R	-1.212%	4.0R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.013%	0.0R	-1.212%	4.0R	0.0×	144
24h	+0.067%	0.2R	-1.212%	4.0R	0.1×	288
48h	+0.693%	2.3R	-1.212%	4.0R	0.6×	576
72h	+2.492%	8.2R	-1.212%	4.0R	2.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 1439 min MAE in 84 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

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