Long Trade on MORPHO (CatchTheWave)
With 499.37 MORPHO at 2.6$ per unit. Take profit: 2.6316 (1.23 %) & Stop Loss: 2.5836 (0.62 %)
Long Trade on MORPHO (CatchTheWave)
With 499.37 MORPHO at 2.6$ per unit. Take profit: 2.6316 (1.23 %) & Stop Loss: 2.5836 (0.62 %)
Position
Entry 2.5996$
Qty 499.3674 MORPHO
Size 1298.1554$ (margin 100$) (leverage 13)
Risk Setup
TP 2.6316 (+1.23%)
TP $ 15.98$
SL 2.5836 (-0.62%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6885
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.48×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.56×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.59×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/10 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.62099 15m : 0.596873 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.90 |
early_expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
transition
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 48.4% |
| 1h | 45.2% |
| 4h | 8.1% |
| 24h | 64.5% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 48.4% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 51.6% | -1.53% |
| 24h | 56.5% | +0.85% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6193 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.43% · r3d: 1.77% · ema21_slope: 0.5592% · dist_ema21: 2.097% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4247 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.96% · rs_3d: 0.11% · beta_24h: 1.008 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2967 | rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.198 · trend: 11.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6323 | ADX: 26.4 (trend) · Chop: 49.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.962% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5426 | r1h: -0.977% · r4h: -2.151% · r1d: 6.02% · r3d: 5.34% · ema21_slope: 0.2100% · dist_ema21: 0.187% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5461 | rs_1h: -0.783% · rs_4h: -0.251% · rs_1d: 4.86% · rs_3d: 2.79% · beta_24h: 1.553 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2946 | rvol_20: 0.92× · zscore_50: -0.204 · trend: -18.78% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6519 | ADX: 30.8 (trend) · Chop: 51.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.566% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5416 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.238% · r1d: 6.75% · r3d: 6.44% · ema21_slope: -0.0239% · dist_ema21: 2.835% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5687 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.014% · rs_1d: 5.34% · rs_3d: 3.70% · beta_24h: 2.189 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2427 | rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: -0.475 · trend: -36.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4804 | ADX: 18.7 (weak) · Chop: 59.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9367 | ATR%: 3.190% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.650% | 2.7R | -2.997% | 4.9R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.650% | 2.7R | -3.062% | 5.0R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.650% | 2.7R | -3.062% | 5.0R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.650% | 2.7R | -3.062% | 5.0R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.650% | 2.7R | -3.062% | 5.0R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.689% | 9.2R | -3.062% | 5.0R | 1.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.936% | 12.9R | -3.062% | 5.0R | 2.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.936% | 12.9R | -3.062% | 5.0R | 2.6× | 864 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.50 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.20 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.40 | bull_high | +3.04% | +0.15 | 02/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.49 | bull_medium | +0.80% | +0.32 | 02/10 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.59 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.01% | -0.08 | 02/10 13:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197675
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.714 | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 6b 0.2ATR | — | — | 0.68 | 68% | ↑ +0.49 | above_value | -4.27 | — | #105818 | 0.50 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.20 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:25
|
|
4h
#204103
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.493 | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 7b 0.9ATR | — | — | 0.85 | 52% | ↓ -0.39 | value | +1.40 | — | #108617 | 0.40 | bull_high | +3.04% | +0.15 |
02/10 08:00
upd 02/10 12:18
|
|
1h
anchor #204494
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.692 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early 4b 0.1ATR | — | — | 0.92 | 40% | ↑ +0.54 | value | +0.97 | — | #108854 | 0.49 | bull_medium | +0.80% | +0.32 |
02/10 12:00
upd 02/10 13:11
|
|
15m
#204647
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.540 | expansion | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 5b -1.3ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 3.63 | 96% | ↓ -0.28 | value | +0.97 | — | #108854 | 0.59 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.01% | -0.08 |
02/10 13:15
upd 02/10 13:32
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.951×ATR | p5 | +0.223×ATR | p18 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.339×ATR | p16 | +0.928×ATR | p57 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.129×ATR | p33 | +0.116×ATR | p8 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.236×ATR | p29 | -1.315×ATR | p63 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
85793.3
-0.0127318
84701
0.62099
85486.1
-0.00836545
84771
0.596873
84345.1
0.00504844
84771
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2.7028
194
0.6218
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0.2334
0.3717
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0.1288
0.5851
0.6415
0.5944
0.5807
0.5647
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0.062
0.6667
-0.1652
0.738
0.45
0.55
1
5
1
0.5331
0.3299
5.155
0.55
3.2338
5.2683
0.738
0
0.2569
0.64
0.0156
0.4707
0.549
0.8791
0.5647
-3.6752
4.7668
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 12:40:00 | 2.6443 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 13:00:00 | 2.6803 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 13:15:00 | 2.6626 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 13:35:00 | 2.692 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 14:05:00 | 2.683 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 14:55:00 | 2.6124 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 16:00:00 | 2.6539 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 16:40:00 | 2.6091 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 17:15:00 | 2.6248 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 17:20:00 | 2.5975 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 21:30:00 | 2.4981 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 23:30:00 | 2.5889 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 02:00:00 | 2.6067 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 04:00:00 | 2.5594 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 06:30:00 | 2.6407 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 08:00:00 | 2.6017 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 12:30:00 | 2.7028 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 14:45:00 | 2.6124 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 16:00:00 | 2.6539 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 17:15:00 | 2.5975 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 02:00:00 | 2.4138 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 12:00:00 | 2.6243 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 20:00:00 | 2.4421 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 12:00:00 | 2.6401 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 19:00:00 | 2.4709 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 06:00:00 | 2.5544 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 10:00:00 | 2.4443 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 17:00:00 | 2.5614 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 12:00:00 | 2.7028 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 17:00:00 | 2.5975 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5996 | 2.5836 | 2.6316 | 2 | 1.925 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.5836 - 2.5996 = -0.016
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.5996 - 2.6316 = -0.032
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.032 / -0.016 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1298.1554 | 100 | 499.3674 | 13.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.016 = -500
Taille de position USD = -500 x 2.5996 = -1299.8
Donc, tu peux acheter -500 avec un stoploss a 2.5836
Avec un position size USD de -1299.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -500 x -0.016 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -500 x -0.032 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.23 % | 15.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.62 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.62 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0309 % | 167.49 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5996 | 2.5836 | 2.6316 | 2 | 1.925 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.5836 - 2.5996 = -0.016
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.5996 - 2.6316 = -0.032
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.032 / -0.016 = 2
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[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.6316
[entry_price] => 2.5996
[stop_loss] => 2.5788
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.6316
[entry_price] => 2.5996
[stop_loss] => 2.5756
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.650% | 2.7R | -2.997% | 4.9R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.650% | 2.7R | -3.062% | 5.0R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.650% | 2.7R | -3.062% | 5.0R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.650% | 2.7R | -3.062% | 5.0R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.650% | 2.7R | -3.062% | 5.0R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.689% | 9.2R | -3.062% | 5.0R | 1.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.936% | 12.9R | -3.062% | 5.0R | 2.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.936% | 12.9R | -3.062% | 5.0R | 2.6× | 864 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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