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Short Trade on 2Z

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02 Oct 2026 at 14:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1325.78 2Z at 0.0464$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.05246 (12.99 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 14:15 → 17:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.04643$

Qty 1325.7764 2Z

Size 61.5518$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 61.56$

SL 0.05246 (-12.99%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR

Status win PnL +2.60% / +1.6$ MAE -0.96% MFE +3.52% 0.3R expires 02 Oct 17:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172671)
#78 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0942

Quality Score
0.318
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#78 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
12.99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#78 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
12.99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 1.10×ATR
1d clear 1.29×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
mixed
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-4
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-2.04
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
10.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 14:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

02/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/10 13:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4673
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational bull

0.90

early_expansion

-1

Tactical bull

0.90

expansion

-1

Micro bear

0.55

transition

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 26.3%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 71.0%
1h 16.1%
4h 6.5%
24h 56.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 64.5% +0.10%
4h 50.0% -2.04%
24h 59.7% +0.56%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.191
Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 14:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5577
Score SMA
0.6675
Rank
#34 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5658
Rank Norm SMA
0.6571
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5863 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.46% · r3d: -16.52% · ema21_slope: 1.4239% · dist_ema21: -0.799%
Force Relative 25% 0.2793 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.93% · rs_3d: -18.17% · beta_24h: 1.006
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 3.71× · zscore_50: 3.624 · trend: 212.58%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7463 ADX: 29.6 (trend) · Chop: 22.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.004% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.3178
Score SMA
0.5365
Rank
#78 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0942
Rank Norm SMA
0.4770
Calculé le
02/10/2026 14:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0994 r1h: -0.960% · r4h: -20.920% · r1d: -18.03% · r3d: -29.96% · ema21_slope: -0.2533% · dist_ema21: -16.788%
Force Relative 25% 0.1035 rs_1h: -0.516% · rs_4h: -18.880% · rs_1d: -17.91% · rs_3d: -32.04% · beta_24h: 2.282
Volume 20% 0.4653 rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: 0.141 · trend: 267.90%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7687 ADX: 32.2 (trend) · Chop: 4.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5103 ATR%: 4.469% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.3978
Score SMA
0.5868
Rank
#75 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0590
Rank Norm SMA
0.5878
Calculé le
02/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1324 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -7.022% · r1d: -4.39% · r3d: -19.90% · ema21_slope: -0.6613% · dist_ema21: -9.664%
Force Relative 25% 0.1362 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -5.771% · rs_1d: -5.80% · rs_3d: -22.63% · beta_24h: 2.343
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 5.63× · zscore_50: 5.196 · trend: 170.95%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7089 ADX: 27.4 (trend) · Chop: 40.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.1766 ATR%: 5.470% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -12.987% (0.0060)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.080% 0.2R -0.961% 0.1R 3.2× 12
2h +3.080% 0.2R -0.961% 0.1R 3.2× 24
3h ★ +3.521% 0.3R -0.961% 0.1R 3.7× 36
4h +3.521% 0.3R -0.961% 0.1R 3.7× 48
8h +4.368% 0.3R -0.961% 0.1R 4.6× 96
12h +4.482% 0.4R -0.961% 0.1R 4.7× 144
24h +4.482% 0.4R -1.887% 0.2R 2.4× 288
48h +4.482% 0.4R -1.887% 0.2R 2.4× 576
72h +9.136% 0.7R -1.887% 0.2R 4.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 629 min MAE in 954 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.5
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate explosive volatile_reversal bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.55 bull_high +13.92% +0.74 30/09 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind normal bear_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 48% late — — 0.36 bull_high +3.04% -0.99 02/10 08:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
42%
noisy_chop 49% late — — 0.31 range_medium +0.34% -0.95 02/10 13:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bear_high_exhausted
30%
choppy 55% late near -0.3ATR — 0.20 bear_low -0.77% -0.97 02/10 13:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197705
 ↔ neutral range range moderate explosive 0.773 volatile_reversal bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 42% mid 5b -0.1ATR — — 3.71 100% ↑ +0.96 below_value -10.08 — #105832 0.55 bull_high +13.92% +0.74
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:26
4h
#204139
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind 0.457 normal bear_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 48% late 2b -2.1ATR — — 5.63 100% ↑ +0.68 value -2.95 — #108629 0.36 bull_high +3.04% -0.99
02/10 08:00
upd 02/10 12:19
1h anchor
#204895
 ↓ down range range moderate balanced 0.532 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
42%
noisy_chop 49% late 10b -4.4ATR — — 0.85 95% ↑ +0.90 value -5.92 — #109024 0.31 range_medium +0.34% -0.95
02/10 13:00
upd 02/10 14:13
15m
#204816
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.361 volatile_reversal bear_high_exhausted
30%
choppy 55% late 5b -3.0ATR near -0.3ATR — 0.16 79% ↑ +0.72 above_value -5.77 — #108866 0.20 bear_low -0.77% -0.97
02/10 13:45
upd 02/10 14:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 5b — 4.011×ATR p54 -0.069×ATR p4
4h ↓ down late 2b — 1.968×ATR p0 -2.068×ATR p86
1h ↓ down late 10b — 6.551×ATR p96 -4.354×ATR p98
15m ↑ up late 5b — 1.292×ATR p6 -3.006×ATR p93

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.0524612
  2. atr: 0.0020114
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-02T21:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 78
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.1152
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04643 0.05246 0.01744
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04643
  • Stop Loss: 0.05246
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05246 - 0.04643 = 0.00603

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04643 - = 0.04643

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04643 / 0.00603 = 7.6998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
61.5518 61.5518 1325.7764 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00603

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00603 = 1326.7

Taille de position USD = 1326.7 x 0.04643 = 61.6

Donc, tu peux acheter 1326.7 avec un stoploss a 0.05246

Avec un position size USD de 61.6$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1326.7 x 0.00603 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1326.7 x 0.04643 = 61.6

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 61.6$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1326.7
  • Taille de position USD 61.6
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 61.6
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 7.6998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 61.56 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
12.99 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
1.6 $ 2.60
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9606 % 7.4 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04643 0.05246 0.01744
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04643
  • Stop Loss: 0.05246
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05246 - 0.04643 = 0.00603

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04643 - = 0.04643

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04643 / 0.00603 = 7.6998

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -12.987% (0.0060)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.080% 0.2R -0.961% 0.1R 3.2× 12
2h +3.080% 0.2R -0.961% 0.1R 3.2× 24
3h ★ +3.521% 0.3R -0.961% 0.1R 3.7× 36
4h +3.521% 0.3R -0.961% 0.1R 3.7× 48
8h +4.368% 0.3R -0.961% 0.1R 4.6× 96
12h +4.482% 0.4R -0.961% 0.1R 4.7× 144
24h +4.482% 0.4R -1.887% 0.2R 2.4× 288
48h +4.482% 0.4R -1.887% 0.2R 2.4× 576
72h +9.136% 0.7R -1.887% 0.2R 4.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 629 min MAE in 954 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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