02 Oct 2026 at 14:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on APE (momentum_rotation_score)

With 551.17 APE at 0.166$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1514 (8.74 %)

APE LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 14:15 → 17:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.1659$

Qty 551.1737 APE

Size 91.4397$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 91.44$

SL 0.1514 (-8.74%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.90% / -1.74$ MAE -3.74% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 02 Oct 17:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172608)
#4 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6584

Quality Score
0.699
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#4 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 3.12×ATR
4h near -0.85×ATR
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
mixed
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-2.04
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 14:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

02/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

02/10 13:00

Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4673
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.90

early_expansion

+1

Tactical bull

0.90

expansion

+1

Micro bear

0.55

transition

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 26.3%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 71.0%
1h 16.1%
4h 6.5%
24h 56.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 64.5% +0.10%
4h 50.0% -2.04%
24h 59.7% +0.56%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.191
Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 14:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.6989
Score SMA
0.6300
Rank
#4 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6584
Rank Norm SMA
0.7597
Calculé le
02/10/2026 14:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7677 r1h: -0.222% · r4h: -8.615% · r1d: 11.47% · r3d: 12.44% · ema21_slope: 0.5905% · dist_ema21: 3.570%
Force Relative 25% 0.5956 rs_1h: 0.222% · rs_4h: -6.574% · rs_1d: 11.58% · rs_3d: 10.36% · beta_24h: 2.655
Volume 20% 0.4796 rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: 0.344 · trend: 152.59%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8985 ADX: 47.8 (trend) · Chop: 2.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9780 ATR%: 3.066% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.8425
Score SMA
0.6613
Rank
#3 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6120
Rank Norm SMA
0.7410
Calculé le
02/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8182 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 5.403% · r1d: 15.56% · r3d: 13.82% · ema21_slope: 0.1014% · dist_ema21: 10.732%
Force Relative 25% 0.9012 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 6.654% · rs_1d: 14.14% · rs_3d: 11.09% · beta_24h: 0.885
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 10.85× · zscore_50: 6.458 · trend: 281.24%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6399 ADX: 16.8 (weak) · Chop: 16.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.7574 ATR%: 3.728% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.740% (0.0145)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -3.743% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.743% 0.4R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -3.743% 0.4R 0.0× 36
4h +0.000% 0.0R -3.743% 0.4R 0.0× 48
8h +1.851% 0.2R -3.743% 0.4R 0.5× 96
12h +2.893% 0.3R -3.743% 0.4R 0.8× 144
24h +2.893% 0.3R -3.743% 0.4R 0.8× 288
48h +2.893% 0.3R -3.743% 0.4R 0.8× 576
72h +3.725% 0.4R -3.743% 0.4R 1.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 559 min MAE in 29 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.2
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d —
4h ↑ up range range moderate fading expansion bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 47% late — near -0.8ATR 0.50 bull_high +3.04% +0.81 02/10 08:00
1h ↑ up range range strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 50% late — — 0.47 range_medium +0.34% +0.82 02/10 13:00
15m ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced expansion bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 42% late — — 0.37 bear_low -0.98% -0.14 02/10 13:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d Pas de snapshot
4h
#203978
↑ up range range moderate fading 0.462 expansion bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 47% late 6b 2.8ATR — near -0.8ATR 10.85 100% ↑ +0.33 above_value +4.05 — #108565 0.50 bull_high +3.04% +0.81
02/10 08:00
upd 02/10 12:12
1h anchor
#204831
↑ up range range strong balanced 0.702 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 50% late 4b 0.9ATR — — 0.85 95% ↑ +0.98 value +3.25 — #108960 0.47 range_medium +0.34% +0.82
02/10 13:00
upd 02/10 14:10
15m
#204675
↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced 0.729 expansion bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 42% late 15b -0.7ATR — — 0.01 22% ↓ -0.84 value +3.35 — #108802 0.37 bear_low -0.98% -0.14
02/10 13:30
upd 02/10 13:45
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
4h ↑ up late 6b — 3.928×ATR p69 +2.805×ATR p96
1h ↓ down late 4b — 4.663×ATR p90 +0.914×ATR p49
15m ↓ down late 15b — 7.458×ATR p100 -0.728×ATR p37

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.15138552
  2. atr: 0.00483816
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-02T21:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.7583
  4. confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1659 0.1514 0.08812
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1659
  • Stop Loss: 0.1514
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1514 - 0.1659 = -0.0145

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1659 - = 0.1659

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1659 / -0.0145 = -11.4414

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
91.4397 91.4397 551.1737 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0145

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0145 = -551.72

Taille de position USD = -551.72 x 0.1659 = -91.53

Donc, tu peux acheter -551.72 avec un stoploss a 0.1514

Avec un position size USD de -91.53$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -551.72 x -0.0145 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -551.72 x 0.1659 = -91.53

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -91.53$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -551.72
  • Taille de position USD -91.53
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -91.53
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -11.4414

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 91.44 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.74 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-1.74 $ -1.90
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.7432 % 42.83 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1659 0.1514 0.08812
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1659
  • Stop Loss: 0.1514
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1514 - 0.1659 = -0.0145

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1659 - = 0.1659

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1659 / -0.0145 = -11.4414

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.1659
            [stop_loss] => 0.14995
            [rr_ratio] => 10.4
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.1659
            [stop_loss] => 0.1485
            [rr_ratio] => 9.53
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.1659
            [stop_loss] => 0.14705
            [rr_ratio] => 8.8
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.1659
            [stop_loss] => 0.14415
            [rr_ratio] => 7.63
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.740% (0.0145)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -3.743% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.743% 0.4R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -3.743% 0.4R 0.0× 36
4h +0.000% 0.0R -3.743% 0.4R 0.0× 48
8h +1.851% 0.2R -3.743% 0.4R 0.5× 96
12h +2.893% 0.3R -3.743% 0.4R 0.8× 144
24h +2.893% 0.3R -3.743% 0.4R 0.8× 288
48h +2.893% 0.3R -3.743% 0.4R 0.8× 576
72h +3.725% 0.4R -3.743% 0.4R 1.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 559 min MAE in 29 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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