Short Trade on ETHFI

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02 Oct 2026 at 14:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_score)

With 185.74 ETHFI at 0.706$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7493 (6.09 %)

ETHFI SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 14:15 → 17:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.7063$

Qty 185.7352 ETHFI

Size 131.1773$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 131.18$

SL 0.7493 (-6.09%)

SL $ 7.99$

Status win PnL +2.15% / +2.82$ MAE -0.00% MFE +4.69% 0.8R expires 02 Oct 17:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172646)

#64 / 78

seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3967

Quality Score

0.466

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#64 / 78

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-4

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-8

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.09 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#64 / 78

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-8

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.09 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	0.73×ATR
4h	clear	1.54×ATR
1d	clear	1.90×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-4

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

mixed

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-4

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

-2.04

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

5.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 14:01

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 02/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/10 13:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

02/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/10 13:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4673

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.90	early_expansion -1
Tactical	bull 0.90	expansion -1
Micro	bear 0.55	transition

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -4

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 26.3%

Macro mixed_dispersion

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : mixed

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	71.0%
1h	16.1%
4h	6.5%
24h	56.5%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	64.5%	+0.10%
4h	50.0%	-2.04%
24h	59.7%	+0.56%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.191

Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 1.00

Snapshot évalué : 02/10 14:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4963

Score SMA

0.5636

Rank

#52 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3289

Rank Norm SMA

0.3438

Calculé le

01/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7275	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -7.64% · r3d: 2.32% · ema21_slope: 0.8414% · dist_ema21: 4.602%
Force Relative	25%	0.5109	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -9.11% · rs_3d: 0.66% · beta_24h: 0.984
Volume	20%	0.3049	rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: -0.274 · trend: 2.82%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5953	ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 57.5 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.694% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 14:00

Score brut

0.4658

Score SMA

0.5618

Rank

#64 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3967

Rank Norm SMA

0.5718

Calculé le

02/10/2026 14:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3239	r1h: -2.740% · r4h: -6.969% · r1d: -3.45% · r3d: -6.90% · ema21_slope: -0.0020% · dist_ema21: -3.605%
Force Relative	25%	0.1851	rs_1h: -2.297% · rs_4h: -4.928% · rs_1d: -3.34% · rs_3d: -8.97% · beta_24h: 1.609
Volume	20%	0.9221	rvol_20: 3.44× · zscore_50: 2.254 · trend: 78.89%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6853	ADX: 22.2 (weak) · Chop: 31.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.153% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.5366

Score SMA

0.5584

Rank

#42 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4838

Rank Norm SMA

0.5339

Calculé le

02/10/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5660	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.111% · r1d: 1.38% · r3d: -5.81% · ema21_slope: 0.0134% · dist_ema21: -0.420%
Force Relative	25%	0.4638	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.362% · rs_1d: -0.03% · rs_3d: -8.55% · beta_24h: 0.731
Volume	20%	0.4889	rvol_20: 1.34× · zscore_50: 1.209 · trend: 5.82%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5292	ADX: 20.4 (weak) · Chop: 55.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.7370	ATR%: 3.789% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.088% (0.0430)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+4.685%	0.8R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+4.685%	0.8R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
3h ★	+4.685%	0.8R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	36
4h	+4.685%	0.8R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
8h	+4.685%	0.8R	-0.496%	0.1R	9.5×	96
12h	+4.685%	0.8R	-0.496%	0.1R	9.5×	144
24h	+4.685%	0.8R	-1.104%	0.2R	4.2×	288
48h	+4.685%	0.8R	-7.721%	1.3R	0.6×	576
72h	+4.685%	0.8R	-10.143%	1.7R	0.5×	864

⏱ MFE in 19 min MAE in 1394 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 2.31

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	expansion	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	near -0.2ATR	0.56	bull_high	+13.92%	-0.19	30/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 35%	early	—	—	0.42	bull_high	+3.04%	+0.09	02/10 08:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 37%	late	—	—	0.51	range_medium	+0.34%	-0.21	02/10 13:00
15m	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	48%	noisy_chop 47%	late	—	—	0.56	bear_low	-0.77%	-0.17	02/10 13:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197647	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.672	expansion	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 38%	early 15b 0.4ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.83	86%	↓ -0.26	value	+0.45	—	#105805	0.56	bull_high	+13.92%	-0.19	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:23
4h #204061	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.479	compression	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 35%	early 11b -0.1ATR	—	—	1.34	83%	↓ -0.43	above_value	+0.16	—	#108603	0.42	bull_high	+3.04%	+0.09	02/10 08:00 upd 02/10 12:16
1h anchor #204869	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.623	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 37%	late 4b -1.7ATR	—	—	3.44	97%	↑ +0.83	below_value	-1.72	—	#108998	0.51	range_medium	+0.34%	-0.21	02/10 13:00 upd 02/10 14:11
15m #204793	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.649	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	48%	noisy_chop 47%	late 16b -2.0ATR	—	—	1.99	95%	↑ +0.16	value	-0.45	—	#108840	0.56	bear_low	-0.77%	-0.17	02/10 13:45 upd 02/10 14:03
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	15b	—	2.174×ATR	p0	+0.421×ATR	p25
4h	↓ down	early	11b	—	2.843×ATR	p36	-0.117×ATR	p8
1h	↓ down	late	4b	—	4.256×ATR	p83	-1.662×ATR	p85
15m	↓ down	late	16b	—	6.552×ATR	p94	-1.998×ATR	p87

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.74933207
atr: 0.01435736
expires_at: 2026-10-02T21:15:07+00:00

Details

rank: 74
total: 78
score: 0.3356
confidence: 0.948

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.7063	0.7493			0.5433

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.7063
Stop Loss: 0.7493
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.7493 - 0.7063 = 0.043
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.7063 - = 0.7063
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7063 / 0.043 = 16.4256

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
131.1773	100	185.7352	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.043

Taille de position = 8 / 0.043 = 186.05

Taille de position USD = 186.05 x 0.7063 = 131.41

Donc, tu peux acheter 186.05 avec un stoploss a 0.7493

Avec un position size USD de 131.41$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 186.05 x 0.043 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 186.05 x 0.7063 = 131.41

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 131.41$

Résumé

Taille de position 186.05
Taille de position USD 131.41
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 131.41
Risk-Reward Ratio 16.4256

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	131.18 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
6.09 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
2.82 $	2.15

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
0 %	0 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.7063	0.7493			0.5433

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.7063
Stop Loss: 0.7493
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.7493 - 0.7063 = 0.043
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.7063 - = 0.7063
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7063 / 0.043 = 16.4256

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.088% (0.0430)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+4.685%	0.8R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+4.685%	0.8R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
3h ★	+4.685%	0.8R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	36
4h	+4.685%	0.8R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
8h	+4.685%	0.8R	-0.496%	0.1R	9.5×	96
12h	+4.685%	0.8R	-0.496%	0.1R	9.5×	144
24h	+4.685%	0.8R	-1.104%	0.2R	4.2×	288
48h	+4.685%	0.8R	-7.721%	1.3R	0.6×	576
72h	+4.685%	0.8R	-10.143%	1.7R	0.5×	864

⏱ MFE in 19 min MAE in 1394 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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