Short Trade on NIL

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02 Oct 2026 at 14:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1692.92 NIL at 0.0792$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08398 (5.97 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 14:15 → 17:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.07925$

Qty 1692.9246 NIL

Size 134.1727$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 134.16$

SL 0.08398 (-5.97%)

SL $ 8.01$

Status loss PnL -3.41% / -4.57$ MAE -3.54% MFE +2.61% 0.4R expires 02 Oct 17:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172663)

#31 / 78

OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2341

Quality Score

0.534

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#31 / 78

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-4

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-4

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.97 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#31 / 78

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-4

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.97 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.62×ATR
4h	near	-1.79×ATR
1d	clear	2.57×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-4

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

mixed

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-4

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

-2.04

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

1.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 14:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/10 13:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/10 13:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4673

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.90	early_expansion -1
Tactical	bull 0.90	expansion -1
Micro	bear 0.55	transition

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -4

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 26.3%

Macro mixed_dispersion

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : mixed

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	71.0%
1h	16.1%
4h	6.5%
24h	56.5%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	64.5%	+0.10%
4h	50.0%	-2.04%
24h	59.7%	+0.56%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.191

Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 1.00

Snapshot évalué : 02/10 14:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4369

Score SMA

0.5943

Rank

#68 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1184

Rank Norm SMA

0.4184

Calculé le

01/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4959	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.18% · r3d: -5.04% · ema21_slope: 5.8465% · dist_ema21: 8.435%
Force Relative	25%	0.3860	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.66% · rs_3d: -6.70% · beta_24h: 0.598
Volume	20%	0.2881	rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.252 · trend: 28.68%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8937	ADX: 47.2 (trend) · Chop: 14.6 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 18.282% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 14:00

Score brut

0.5336

Score SMA

0.4209

Rank

#31 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2341

Rank Norm SMA

0.1717

Calculé le

02/10/2026 14:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2596	r1h: -0.808% · r4h: -3.237% · r1d: -4.71% · r3d: 1.19% · ema21_slope: -0.2049% · dist_ema21: -2.925%
Force Relative	25%	0.3951	rs_1h: -0.364% · rs_4h: -1.197% · rs_1d: -4.59% · rs_3d: -0.89% · beta_24h: 0.821
Volume	20%	0.9077	rvol_20: 5.30× · zscore_50: 2.212 · trend: 70.20%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5138	ADX: 11.2 (weak) · Chop: 48.1 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.170% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.2739

Score SMA

0.3877

Rank

#78 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0066

Rank Norm SMA

0.1122

Calculé le

02/10/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3319	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.271% · r1d: -5.25% · r3d: 2.65% · ema21_slope: -0.4224% · dist_ema21: -6.104%
Force Relative	25%	0.2698	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.019% · rs_1d: -6.67% · rs_3d: -0.08% · beta_24h: 3.072
Volume	20%	0.1924	rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: -0.527 · trend: -70.62%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4557	ADX: 14.5 (weak) · Chop: 58.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 6.549% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.969% (0.0047)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.610%	0.4R	-1.475%	0.3R	1.8×	12
2h	+2.610%	0.4R	-1.840%	0.3R	1.4×	24
3h ★	+2.610%	0.4R	-3.541%	0.6R	0.7×	36
4h	+2.610%	0.4R	-5.150%	0.9R	0.5×	48
8h	+2.610%	0.4R	-5.947%	1.0R	0.4×	96
12h	+2.610%	0.4R	-7.240%	1.2R	0.4×	144
24h	+2.610%	0.4R	-8.551%	1.4R	0.3×	288
48h	+2.610%	0.4R	-14.866%	2.5R	0.2×	576
72h	+2.610%	0.4R	-44.568%	7.5R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 19 min MAE in 1159 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 1.49

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 45%	mid	—	—	0.30	bull_high	+13.92%	+1.00	30/09 20:00
4h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 36%	mid	near -1.8ATR	—	0.13	bull_high	+3.04%	-0.46	02/10 08:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 44%	mid	—	—	0.11	range_medium	+0.34%	-0.58	02/10 13:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	53%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	—	—	0.25	bear_low	-0.77%	-0.17	02/10 13:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197683	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.820	volatile_reversal	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 7b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.25	84%	↑ +0.98	below_value	-13.26	—	#105822	0.30	bull_high	+13.92%	+1.00	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:25
4h #204112	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.494	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 12b -1.1ATR	near -1.8ATR	—	0.67	72%	↓ -0.80	above_value	-1.55	—	#108620	0.13	bull_high	+3.04%	-0.46	02/10 08:00 upd 02/10 12:18
1h anchor #204886	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.496	normal	bear_high_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 44%	mid 4b -1.5ATR	—	—	5.30	74%	↑ +0.86	above_value	-1.68	—	#109015	0.11	range_medium	+0.34%	-0.58	02/10 13:00 upd 02/10 14:12
15m #204808	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.374	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	53%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 1b -1.2ATR	—	—	0.62	77%	↓ -0.29	value	-1.95	—	#108857	0.25	bear_low	-0.77%	-0.17	02/10 13:45 upd 02/10 14:04
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	7b	—	4.316×ATR	p50	+0.301×ATR	p25
4h	↓ down	mid	12b	—	3.671×ATR	p52	-1.113×ATR	p57
1h	↓ down	mid	4b	—	2.753×ATR	p52	-1.495×ATR	p65
15m	↑ up	mid	1b	—	1.621×ATR	p0	-1.184×ATR	p65

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.08398055
atr: 0.00157518
expires_at: 2026-10-02T21:15:08+00:00

Details

rank: 75
total: 78
score: 0.331
confidence: 0.961

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.07925	0.08398			0.05286

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.07925
Stop Loss: 0.08398
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.08398 - 0.07925 = 0.00473
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.07925 - = 0.07925
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.07925 / 0.00473 = 16.7548

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
134.1727	100	1692.9246	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00473

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00473 = 1691.33

Taille de position USD = 1691.33 x 0.07925 = 134.04

Donc, tu peux acheter 1691.33 avec un stoploss a 0.08398

Avec un position size USD de 134.04$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1691.33 x 0.00473 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1691.33 x 0.07925 = 134.04

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 134.04$

Résumé

Taille de position 1691.33
Taille de position USD 134.04
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 134.04
Risk-Reward Ratio 16.7548

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	134.16 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.97 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-4.57 $	-3.41

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.5407 %	59.32 %	2

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.07925	0.08398			0.05286

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.07925
Stop Loss: 0.08398
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.08398 - 0.07925 = 0.00473
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.07925 - = 0.07925
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.07925 / 0.00473 = 16.7548

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.969% (0.0047)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.610%	0.4R	-1.475%	0.3R	1.8×	12
2h	+2.610%	0.4R	-1.840%	0.3R	1.4×	24
3h ★	+2.610%	0.4R	-3.541%	0.6R	0.7×	36
4h	+2.610%	0.4R	-5.150%	0.9R	0.5×	48
8h	+2.610%	0.4R	-5.947%	1.0R	0.4×	96
12h	+2.610%	0.4R	-7.240%	1.2R	0.4×	144
24h	+2.610%	0.4R	-8.551%	1.4R	0.3×	288
48h	+2.610%	0.4R	-14.866%	2.5R	0.2×	576
72h	+2.610%	0.4R	-44.568%	7.5R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 19 min MAE in 1159 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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