Web3Way Logo

Short Trade on 2Z

Previous Trade Next Trade
02 Oct 2026 at 17:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1451.82 2Z at 0.0453$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.05078 (12.17 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 17:15 → 20:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.04527$

Qty 1451.8187 2Z

Size 65.7296$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 65.72$

SL 0.05078 (-12.17%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +0.79% / +0.52$ MAE -1.71% MFE +1.92% 0.2R expires 02 Oct 20:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 173003)
#84 / 84
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0633

Quality Score
0.302
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#84 / 84
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
12.17 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#84 / 84
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
12.17 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -0.21×ATR
1d clear 1.29×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-4.02
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
10.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 17:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

02/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/10 16:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4685
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational bull

0.55

early_expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro bear

0.90

transition

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 5.1%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 50.8%
1h 76.9%
4h 1.5%
24h 18.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 50.8% +0.01%
4h 7.7% -4.02%
24h 18.5% -2.94%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.261
Universe : 65 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 17:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5577
Score SMA
0.6675
Rank
#34 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5658
Rank Norm SMA
0.6571
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5863 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.46% · r3d: -16.52% · ema21_slope: 1.4239% · dist_ema21: -0.799%
Force Relative 25% 0.2793 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.93% · rs_3d: -18.17% · beta_24h: 1.006
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 3.71× · zscore_50: 3.624 · trend: 212.58%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7463 ADX: 29.6 (trend) · Chop: 22.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.004% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.3020
Score SMA
0.5296
Rank
#84 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0633
Rank Norm SMA
0.4635
Calculé le
02/10/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0590 r1h: -0.608% · r4h: -3.007% · r1d: -18.66% · r3d: -31.18% · ema21_slope: -0.6591% · dist_ema21: -14.658%
Force Relative 25% 0.1729 rs_1h: -0.775% · rs_4h: -2.150% · rs_1d: -18.46% · rs_3d: -32.18% · beta_24h: 2.196
Volume 20% 0.3203 rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.260 · trend: 53.18%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8382 ADX: 40.6 (trend) · Chop: 10.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5977 ATR%: 4.207% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3299
Score SMA
0.5760
Rank
#80 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0436
Rank Norm SMA
0.5681
Calculé le
02/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0606 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -15.579% · r1d: -18.53% · r3d: -30.70% · ema21_slope: -0.7760% · dist_ema21: -22.055%
Force Relative 25% 0.0000 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -14.365% · rs_1d: -18.13% · rs_3d: -31.56% · beta_24h: 3.882
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 5.59× · zscore_50: 5.006 · trend: 258.83%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7450 ADX: 29.4 (trend) · Chop: 25.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.619% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -12.171% (0.0055)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.822% 0.1R -1.403% 0.1R 0.6× 12
2h +1.917% 0.2R -1.714% 0.1R 1.1× 24
3h ★ +1.917% 0.2R -1.714% 0.1R 1.1× 36
4h +1.917% 0.2R -1.714% 0.1R 1.1× 48
8h +2.035% 0.2R -1.714% 0.1R 1.2× 96
12h +2.035% 0.2R -1.882% 0.2R 1.1× 144
24h +2.035% 0.2R -4.498% 0.4R 0.5× 288
48h +2.035% 0.2R -4.498% 0.4R 0.5× 576
72h +6.808% 0.6R -4.498% 0.4R 1.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 449 min MAE in 774 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.44
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate explosive volatile_reversal bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.55 bull_high +13.92% +0.74 30/09 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading expansion bear_high_confirmed
55%
choppy 53% late near -0.2ATR — 0.37 bull_high +1.76% -1.00 02/10 12:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
43%
choppy 51% late — — 0.31 range_medium -0.06% -0.97 02/10 16:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 44% late near -1.4ATR — 0.21 bear_low -0.89% -0.93 02/10 16:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197705
 ↔ neutral range range moderate explosive 0.773 volatile_reversal bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 42% mid 5b -0.1ATR — — 3.71 100% ↑ +0.96 below_value -10.08 — #105832 0.55 bull_high +13.92% +0.74
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:26
4h
#205819
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.722 expansion bear_high_confirmed
55%
choppy 53% late 3b -3.8ATR near -0.2ATR — 5.59 100% ↑ +0.81 value -6.54 — #109350 0.37 bull_high +1.76% -1.00
02/10 12:00
upd 02/10 16:20
1h anchor
#206208
 ↓ down range range moderate balanced 0.531 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
43%
choppy 51% late 13b -3.5ATR — — 0.29 72% ↑ +0.80 value -6.88 — #109605 0.31 range_medium -0.06% -0.97
02/10 16:00
upd 02/10 17:12
15m
#206123
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.380 compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 44% late 17b -3.3ATR near -1.4ATR — 0.13 64% ↓ -0.84 value -6.54 — #109350 0.21 bear_low -0.89% -0.93
02/10 16:45
upd 02/10 17:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 5b — 4.011×ATR p54 -0.069×ATR p4
4h ↓ down late 3b — 4.095×ATR p54 -3.754×ATR p100
1h ↓ down late 13b — 7.608×ATR p98 -3.539×ATR p97
15m ↑ up late 17b — 0.922×ATR p6 -3.266×ATR p97

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.05078433
  2. atr: 0.00183678
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-03T00:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 84
  2. total: 84
  3. score: 0.0483
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04527 0.05078 0.01648
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04527
  • Stop Loss: 0.05078
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05078 - 0.04527 = 0.00551

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04527 - = 0.04527

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04527 / 0.00551 = 8.216

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
65.7296 65.7296 1451.8187 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00551

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00551 = 1451.91

Taille de position USD = 1451.91 x 0.04527 = 65.73

Donc, tu peux acheter 1451.91 avec un stoploss a 0.05078

Avec un position size USD de 65.73$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1451.91 x 0.00551 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1451.91 x 0.04527 = 65.73

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 65.73$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1451.91
  • Taille de position USD 65.73
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 65.73
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 8.216

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 65.72 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
12.17 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
0.52 $ 0.79
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.7142 % 14.08 % 12
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04527 0.05078 0.01648
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04527
  • Stop Loss: 0.05078
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05078 - 0.04527 = 0.00551

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04527 - = 0.04527

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04527 / 0.00551 = 8.216

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -12.171% (0.0055)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.822% 0.1R -1.403% 0.1R 0.6× 12
2h +1.917% 0.2R -1.714% 0.1R 1.1× 24
3h ★ +1.917% 0.2R -1.714% 0.1R 1.1× 36
4h +1.917% 0.2R -1.714% 0.1R 1.1× 48
8h +2.035% 0.2R -1.714% 0.1R 1.2× 96
12h +2.035% 0.2R -1.882% 0.2R 1.1× 144
24h +2.035% 0.2R -4.498% 0.4R 0.5× 288
48h +2.035% 0.2R -4.498% 0.4R 0.5× 576
72h +6.808% 0.6R -4.498% 0.4R 1.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 449 min MAE in 774 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.