Short Trade on FET

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02 Oct 2026 at 17:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on FET (momentum_rotation_score)

With 618.06 FET at 0.217$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2302 (5.94 %)

FET SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 17:15 → 20:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.2173$

Qty 618.0627 FET

Size 134.305$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 134.31$

SL 0.2302 (-5.94%)

SL $ 7.97$

Status loss PnL -1.08% / -1.45$ MAE -1.35% MFE +1.19% 0.2R expires 02 Oct 20:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172964)

#81 / 84

seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2783

Quality Score

0.374

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#81 / 84

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-3

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.94 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#81 / 84

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.94 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-1.55×ATR
4h	clear	0.96×ATR
1d	clear	3.56×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

-4.02

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

4.8M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 17:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 02/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/10 16:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

02/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/10 16:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4685

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.55	early_expansion -1
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	bear 0.90	transition

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 5.1%

Macro alt_capitulation

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	50.8%
1h	76.9%
4h	1.5%
24h	18.5%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	50.8%	+0.01%
4h	7.7%	-4.02%
24h	18.5%	-2.94%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.261

Universe : 65 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 1.00

Snapshot évalué : 02/10 17:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.6199

Score SMA

0.6667

Rank

#17 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7895

Rank Norm SMA

0.6634

Calculé le

01/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.8152	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.79% · r3d: 2.69% · ema21_slope: 2.1484% · dist_ema21: 11.904%
Force Relative	25%	0.6267	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.68% · rs_3d: 1.03% · beta_24h: 1.874
Volume	20%	0.4838	rvol_20: 1.19× · zscore_50: 0.802 · trend: 40.33%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8127	ADX: 37.5 (trend) · Chop: 33.9 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 8.108% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 17:00

Score brut

0.3738

Score SMA

0.5364

Rank

#81 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2783

Rank Norm SMA

0.5190

Calculé le

02/10/2026 17:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2419	r1h: -0.663% · r4h: -6.152% · r1d: -7.06% · r3d: -6.16% · ema21_slope: -0.2072% · dist_ema21: -5.438%
Force Relative	25%	0.2096	rs_1h: -0.830% · rs_4h: -5.295% · rs_1d: -6.86% · rs_3d: -7.16% · beta_24h: 1.868
Volume	20%	0.2442	rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.824 · trend: 24.39%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6665	ADX: 20.0 (weak) · Chop: 36.2 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.152% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.4288

Score SMA

0.5624

Rank

#56 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4414

Rank Norm SMA

0.5704

Calculé le

02/10/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4248	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -5.267% · r1d: -5.73% · r3d: -4.13% · ema21_slope: 0.0977% · dist_ema21: -5.331%
Force Relative	25%	0.2498	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -4.052% · rs_1d: -5.32% · rs_3d: -4.99% · beta_24h: 2.560
Volume	20%	0.5985	rvol_20: 1.84× · zscore_50: 0.978 · trend: 39.39%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4928	ADX: 16.9 (weak) · Chop: 56.5 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.4527	ATR%: 4.642% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.937% (0.0129)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.187%	0.2R	-0.465%	0.1R	2.6×	12
2h	+1.187%	0.2R	-0.465%	0.1R	2.6×	24
3h ★	+1.187%	0.2R	-1.353%	0.2R	0.9×	36
4h	+1.187%	0.2R	-2.209%	0.4R	0.5×	48
8h	+1.187%	0.2R	-2.209%	0.4R	0.5×	96
12h	+1.187%	0.2R	-2.209%	0.4R	0.5×	144
24h	+1.187%	0.2R	-6.328%	1.1R	0.2×	288
48h	+1.187%	0.2R	-19.650%	3.3R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.187%	0.2R	-25.343%	4.3R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 59 min MAE in 1059 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 2.34

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	62%	noisy_chop 43%	early	—	—	0.66	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.98	30/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 40%	early	—	—	0.59	bull_high	+1.76%	-0.65	02/10 12:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	54%	noisy_chop 47%	late	near -1.6ATR	—	0.54	range_medium	-0.06%	-0.59	02/10 16:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	compression	bear_high	60%	choppy 51%	late	—	—	0.55	bear_low	-0.89%	-0.46	02/10 16:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197603	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.670	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	62%	noisy_chop 43%	early 5b 1.1ATR	—	—	1.19	88%	↑ +0.59	above_value	-0.00	—	#105793	0.66	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.98	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:21
4h #205697	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.665	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 40%	early 9b -1.2ATR	—	—	1.84	95%	↑ +0.24	below_value	-2.85	—	#109310	0.59	bull_high	+1.76%	-0.65	02/10 12:00 upd 02/10 16:15
1h anchor #206168	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.519	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	54%	noisy_chop 47%	late 16b -2.8ATR	near -1.6ATR	—	0.23	15%	↑ +0.21	below_value	-3.24	—	#109565	0.54	range_medium	-0.06%	-0.59	02/10 16:00 upd 02/10 17:10
15m #206087	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	0.732	compression	bear_high	60%	choppy 51%	late 7b -2.4ATR	—	—	0.06	7%	↔ -0.05	below_value	-2.85	—	#109310	0.55	bear_low	-0.89%	-0.46	02/10 16:45 upd 02/10 17:01
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	5b	—	1.55×ATR	p0	+1.113×ATR	p48
4h	↓ down	early	9b	—	2.836×ATR	p35	-1.208×ATR	p57
1h	↓ down	late	16b	—	5.656×ATR	p96	-2.806×ATR	p98
15m	↓ down	late	7b	—	1.722×ATR	p7	-2.427×ATR	p89

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.23024367
atr: 0.00431456
expires_at: 2026-10-03T00:15:06+00:00

Details

rank: 80
total: 84
score: 0.2419
confidence: 0.952

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2173	0.2302			0.1313

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2173
Stop Loss: 0.2302
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2302 - 0.2173 = 0.0129
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2173 - = 0.2173
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2173 / 0.0129 = 16.845

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
134.305	100	618.0627	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0129

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0129 = 620.16

Taille de position USD = 620.16 x 0.2173 = 134.76

Donc, tu peux acheter 620.16 avec un stoploss a 0.2302

Avec un position size USD de 134.76$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 620.16 x 0.0129 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 620.16 x 0.2173 = 134.76

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 134.76$

Résumé

Taille de position 620.16
Taille de position USD 134.76
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 134.76
Risk-Reward Ratio 16.845

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	134.31 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.94 %	7.97 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.45 $	-1.08

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.1229 %	18.92 %	8

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2173	0.2302			0.1313

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2173
Stop Loss: 0.2302
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2302 - 0.2173 = 0.0129
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2173 - = 0.2173
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2173 / 0.0129 = 16.845

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.937% (0.0129)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.187%	0.2R	-0.465%	0.1R	2.6×	12
2h	+1.187%	0.2R	-0.465%	0.1R	2.6×	24
3h ★	+1.187%	0.2R	-1.353%	0.2R	0.9×	36
4h	+1.187%	0.2R	-2.209%	0.4R	0.5×	48
8h	+1.187%	0.2R	-2.209%	0.4R	0.5×	96
12h	+1.187%	0.2R	-2.209%	0.4R	0.5×	144
24h	+1.187%	0.2R	-6.328%	1.1R	0.2×	288
48h	+1.187%	0.2R	-19.650%	3.3R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.187%	0.2R	-25.343%	4.3R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 59 min MAE in 1059 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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