Long Trade on SKY (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1615.69 SKY at 0.0885$ per unit. Take profit: 0.09073 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08357 (5.59 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 23:15:12
hyperliquid
SKY
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 23:15
→ 05:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.08852$
Qty 1615.6883 SKY
Size 143.0191$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.09073 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.57$
SL 0.08357 (-5.59%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.45
Status
win
PnL
+1.42%
/ +2.03$
MAE -0.34%
MFE +2.43%
0.4R
expires
03 Oct 05:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 173670)
#5 / 82
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 23:00
score du 02/10/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8928
Quality Score
0.666
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 82
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#5 / 82
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.23×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.01×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.66×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
1.38
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 23:02
02/10 23:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 01/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/10 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4709
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.97
Transition risk :
0.03
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
70.6%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 37.3% |
| 1h | 65.7% |
| 4h | 89.6% |
| 24h | 31.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 37.3% | -0.01% |
| 4h | 85.1% | +1.38% |
| 24h | 37.3% | -1.13% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.190
Universe :
67
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.98
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 23:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7159
Score SMA
0.6818
Rank
#10
/ 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8916
Rank Norm SMA
0.7283
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8828 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.04% · r3d: 6.27% · ema21_slope: 1.3332% · dist_ema21: 16.412% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7446 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.46% · rs_3d: 5.24% · beta_24h: 1.151 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7751 | rvol_20: 2.06× · zscore_50: 1.876 · trend: 116.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7327 | ADX: 27.9 (trend) · Chop: 36.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.872% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.6662
Score SMA
0.5864
Rank
#5
/ 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8928
Rank Norm SMA
0.6405
Calculé le
02/10/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6924 | r1h: 0.803% · r4h: 2.480% · r1d: 4.41% · r3d: 7.65% · ema21_slope: 0.1178% · dist_ema21: 0.339% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7014 | rs_1h: 0.848% · rs_4h: 2.429% · rs_1d: 5.11% · rs_3d: 6.18% · beta_24h: 0.878 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2247 | rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.123 · trend: -26.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7637 | ADX: 36.0 (trend) · Chop: 42.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.380% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5909
Score SMA
0.6357
Rank
#11
/ 85
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8983
Rank Norm SMA
0.7499
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6513 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.619% · r1d: 3.04% · r3d: 6.27% · ema21_slope: 0.4525% · dist_ema21: 3.588% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6281 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.857% · rs_1d: 3.46% · rs_3d: 5.24% · beta_24h: 1.602 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3821 | rvol_20: 1.03× · zscore_50: -0.223 · trend: 34.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7272 | ADX: 27.3 (trend) · Chop: 32.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5303 | ATR%: 4.409% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.592%
(0.0050)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.015% | 0.2R | -0.136% | 0.0R | 7.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.072% | 0.2R | -0.343% | 0.1R | 3.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.159% | 0.2R | -0.343% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.425% | 0.4R | -0.343% | 0.1R | 7.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.425% | 0.4R | -0.343% | 0.1R | 7.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.425% | 0.4R | -1.346% | 0.2R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.736% | 0.9R | -1.346% | 0.2R | 3.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.931% | 2.0R | -1.346% | 0.2R | 8.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +15.601% | 2.8R | -1.445% | 0.3R | 10.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1409 min
MAE in 614 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.67
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.56 | bull_high | +13.14% | +0.98 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.37 | bull_high | +1.96% | +0.06 | 02/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.34 | range_medium | +0.09% | +0.53 | 02/10 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 51% | early | — | — | 0.29 | range_low | -0.44% | +0.23 | 02/10 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#207716
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.664 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 16b 1.7ATR | — | near -0.7ATR | 2.06 | 99% | ↑ +0.84 | above_value | +3.99 | — | #110111 | 0.56 | bull_high | +13.14% | +0.98 |
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:27
|
|
4h
#207614
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.739 | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 2b 0.8ATR | — | — | 1.03 | 84% | ↑ +0.58 | above_value | +3.99 | — | #110111 | 0.37 | bull_high | +1.96% | +0.06 |
02/10 16:00
upd 02/10 20:23
|
|
1h
anchor #208900
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.632 | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 4b 0.1ATR | — | — | 0.51 | 67% | ↓ -0.50 | above_value | +4.44 | inside | #110701 | 0.34 | range_medium | +0.09% | +0.53 |
02/10 22:00
upd 02/10 23:11
|
|
15m
#208816
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.556 | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 51% | early 6b 1.3ATR | — | — | 0.21 | 15% | ↔ +0.15 | above_value | +4.01 | — | #110535 | 0.29 | range_low | -0.44% | +0.23 |
02/10 22:45
upd 02/10 23:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 16b | — | 4.57×ATR | p74 | +1.655×ATR | p80 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.317×ATR | p13 | +0.79×ATR | p45 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.302×ATR | p0 | +0.131×ATR | p9 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.717×ATR | p43 | +1.347×ATR | p58 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.08356755
- tp_price: 0.09073197
- atr: 0.00198058
- expires_at: 2026-10-03T09:15:12+00:00
Details
- rank: 6
- total: 84
- score: 0.7338
- delta_2h: 0.0259
- extension_atr: 0.24
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8944
- confidence: 0.94
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:15 | 0.08851900 | -0.001% |
| 2 | 00:15 | 0.08885600 | +0.38% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08852 | 0.08357 | 0.09073 | 0.45 | 0.05297 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08852
- Stop Loss: 0.08357
- Take Profit: 0.09073
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08357 - 0.08852 = -0.00495
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08852 - 0.09073 = -0.00221
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00221 / -0.00495 = 0.4465
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 143.0191 | 100 | 1615.6883 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00495
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00495 = -1616.16
Taille de position USD = -1616.16 x 0.08852 = -143.06
Donc, tu peux acheter -1616.16 avec un stoploss a 0.08357
Avec un position size USD de -143.06$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1616.16 x -0.00495 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1616.16 x -0.00221 = 3.57
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.57$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1616.16
- Taille de position USD -143.06
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.57
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4465
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.57 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.59 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.03 $ | 1.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3434 % | 6.14 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08852 | 0.08357 | 0.09073 | 0.45 | 0.05297 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08852
- Stop Loss: 0.08357
- Take Profit: 0.09073
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08357 - 0.08852 = -0.00495
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08852 - 0.09073 = -0.00221
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00221 / -0.00495 = 0.4465
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.592%
(0.0050)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.015% | 0.2R | -0.136% | 0.0R | 7.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.072% | 0.2R | -0.343% | 0.1R | 3.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.159% | 0.2R | -0.343% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.425% | 0.4R | -0.343% | 0.1R | 7.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.425% | 0.4R | -0.343% | 0.1R | 7.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.425% | 0.4R | -1.346% | 0.2R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.736% | 0.9R | -1.346% | 0.2R | 3.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.931% | 2.0R | -1.346% | 0.2R | 8.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +15.601% | 2.8R | -1.445% | 0.3R | 10.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1409 min
MAE in 614 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.