Short Trade on NEAR

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03 Oct 2026 at 01:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 40.99 NEAR at 4.64$ per unit. Take profit: 4.5237 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 4.8349 (4.21 %)

NEAR SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Oct 2026 01:15 → 07:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 4.6397$

Qty 40.9889 NEAR

Size 190.1761$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 4.5237 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.75$

SL 4.8349 (-4.21%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.59

Status loss PnL -1.00% / -1.9$ MAE -2.02% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 03 Oct 07:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 173882)

#76 / 81

seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 01:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1032

Quality Score

0.373

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#76 / 81

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-3

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.21 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#76 / 81

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.21 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-2.00×ATR
4h	clear	1.36×ATR
1d	clear	5.11×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

-1.04

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

166.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 01:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 01/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 02/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/10 00:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

01/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

02/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/10 00:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4717

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.55	expansion -1
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	compression

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 0.97

Transition risk : 0.03

Score contribution (this trade) -3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 14.9%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	49.3%
1h	6.0%
4h	11.9%
24h	9.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	61.2%	+0.00%
4h	17.9%	-1.04%
24h	31.3%	-4.30%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.135

Universe : 67 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.98

Snapshot évalué : 03/10 01:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5928

Score SMA

0.7164

Rank

#26 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.6988

Rank Norm SMA

0.8378

Calculé le

02/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7119	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.46% · r3d: -3.97% · ema21_slope: 3.9448% · dist_ema21: 12.586%
Force Relative	25%	0.5217	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.04% · rs_3d: -5.00% · beta_24h: 1.360
Volume	20%	0.4968	rvol_20: 0.90× · zscore_50: 0.761 · trend: 86.37%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9964	ADX: 59.6 (trend) · Chop: 37.6 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 10.912% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 03/10/2026 01:00

Score brut

0.3727

Score SMA

0.5413

Rank

#76 / 81

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1032

Rank Norm SMA

0.5334

Calculé le

03/10/2026 01:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2565	r1h: -1.204% · r4h: -1.485% · r1d: -8.14% · r3d: -6.13% · ema21_slope: -0.2799% · dist_ema21: -2.380%
Force Relative	25%	0.2895	rs_1h: -1.071% · rs_4h: -1.405% · rs_1d: -5.73% · rs_3d: -7.79% · beta_24h: 1.533
Volume	20%	0.1713	rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.507 · trend: -65.77%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5944	ADX: 30.7 (trend) · Chop: 58.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.792% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 03/10/2026 00:00

Score brut

0.3934

Score SMA

0.5428

Rank

#74 / 82

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1327

Rank Norm SMA

0.5189

Calculé le

03/10/2026 00:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5157	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.070% · r1d: -4.64% · r3d: -3.82% · ema21_slope: -0.2841% · dist_ema21: -4.450%
Force Relative	25%	0.3760	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.137% · rs_1d: -3.68% · rs_3d: -5.49% · beta_24h: 1.023
Volume	20%	0.1157	rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -1.425 · trend: -42.00%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5520	ADX: 18.4 (weak) · Chop: 50.7 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.3879	ATR%: 4.836% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.207% (0.1952)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.015%	0.5R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.015%	0.5R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.015%	0.5R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.015%	0.5R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.104%	0.0R	-2.015%	0.5R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.782%	0.2R	-2.015%	0.5R	0.4×	144
24h	+0.782%	0.2R	-5.813%	1.4R	0.1×	288
48h	+0.782%	0.2R	-8.923%	2.1R	0.1×	576
72h	+0.782%	0.2R	-21.176%	5.0R	0.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 669 min MAE in 1159 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.02

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 45%	mid	—	—	0.52	bull_high	+13.14%	+1.00	01/10 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 40%	mid	—	—	0.40	bull_high	+2.13%	-0.60	02/10 20:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 42%	late	near -2.0ATR	—	0.33	range_medium	+0.07%	-0.41	03/10 00:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	normal	bear_medium	59%	noisy_chop 37%	mid	near -1.1ATR	—	0.55	range_low	-0.39%	-0.12	03/10 00:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207605	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.725	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 19b 0.8ATR	—	—	0.90	94%	↑ +0.83	below_value	-2.07	—	#110076	0.52	bull_high	+13.14%	+1.00	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:22
4h #209308	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.563	compression	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 11b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.22	42%	↓ -0.36	below_value	-2.31	—	#110831	0.40	bull_high	+2.13%	-0.60	02/10 20:00 upd 03/10 00:14
1h anchor #209760	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.483	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 42%	late 8b -1.5ATR	near -2.0ATR	—	0.53	12%	↓ -0.52	below_value	-3.01	—	#111076	0.33	range_medium	+0.07%	-0.41	03/10 00:00 upd 03/10 01:10
15m #209683	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.583	normal	bear_medium	59%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 10b -1.4ATR	near -1.1ATR	—	0.88	13%	↓ -0.29	below_value	-2.31	—	#110831	0.55	range_low	-0.39%	-0.12	03/10 00:45 upd 03/10 01:02
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	mid	19b	—	4.736×ATR	p65	+0.813×ATR	p40
4h	↓ down	mid	11b	—	3.688×ATR	p62	-1.025×ATR	p61
1h	↑ up	late	8b	—	0.597×ATR	p0	-1.515×ATR	p83
15m	↓ down	mid	10b	—	3.015×ATR	p59	-1.437×ATR	p70

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 4.83487493
tp_price: 4.5237075
atr: 0.07806997
expires_at: 2026-10-03T11:15:05+00:00

Details

rank: 78
total: 82
score: 0.2565
delta_2h: -0.0998
extension_atr: -1.24
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1032
confidence: 0.951

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
4.6397	4.8349	4.5237	0.59	3.096

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 4.6397
Stop Loss: 4.8349
Take Profit: 4.5237

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 4.8349 - 4.6397 = 0.1952
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 4.6397 - 4.5237 = 0.116
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.116 / 0.1952 = 0.5943

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
190.1761	100	40.9889	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.1952

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1952 = 40.98

Taille de position USD = 40.98 x 4.6397 = 190.13

Donc, tu peux acheter 40.98 avec un stoploss a 4.8349

Avec un position size USD de 190.13$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 40.98 x 0.1952 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 40.98 x 0.116 = 4.75

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.75$

Résumé

Taille de position 40.98
Taille de position USD 190.13
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.75
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5943

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	4.75 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.21 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.9 $	-1.00

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.0152 %	47.9 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
4.6397	4.8349	4.5237	0.59	3.096

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 4.6397
Stop Loss: 4.8349
Take Profit: 4.5237

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 4.8349 - 4.6397 = 0.1952
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 4.6397 - 4.5237 = 0.116
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.116 / 0.1952 = 0.5943

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.207% (0.1952)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.015%	0.5R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.015%	0.5R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.015%	0.5R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.015%	0.5R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.104%	0.0R	-2.015%	0.5R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.782%	0.2R	-2.015%	0.5R	0.4×	144
24h	+0.782%	0.2R	-5.813%	1.4R	0.1×	288
48h	+0.782%	0.2R	-8.923%	2.1R	0.1×	576
72h	+0.782%	0.2R	-21.176%	5.0R	0.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 669 min MAE in 1159 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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