03 Oct 2026 at 02:15:08 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SKY (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1448.77 SKY at 0.089$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08352 (6.2 %)

SKY LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 03 Oct 2026 02:15 → 05:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.08904$

Qty 1448.7714 SKY

Size 128.9943$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 129$

SL 0.08352 (-6.2%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +0.83% / +1.07$ MAE -0.57% MFE +1.83% 0.3R expires 03 Oct 05:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 173995)
#5 / 80
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9072

Quality Score
0.607
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 80
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.20 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 80
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.20 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.08×ATR
4h clear 1.42×ATR
1d near -0.66×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.22
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 02:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

01/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

02/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

03/10 01:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4721
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.97
Transition risk : 0.03
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 30.1%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 48.4%
1h 88.7%
4h 30.7%
24h 14.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 46.8% +0.00%
4h 30.7% -0.22%
24h 37.1% -2.77%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.099
Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.98
Snapshot évalué : 03/10 02:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7159
Score SMA
0.6818
Rank
#10 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8916
Rank Norm SMA
0.7283
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8828 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.04% · r3d: 6.27% · ema21_slope: 1.3332% · dist_ema21: 16.412%
Force Relative 25% 0.7446 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.46% · rs_3d: 5.24% · beta_24h: 1.151
Volume 20% 0.7751 rvol_20: 2.06× · zscore_50: 1.876 · trend: 116.51%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7327 ADX: 27.9 (trend) · Chop: 36.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.872% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.6072
Score SMA
0.5872
Rank
#5 / 80
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9072
Rank Norm SMA
0.6520
Calculé le
03/10/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6757 r1h: 0.105% · r4h: 1.386% · r1d: 4.57% · r3d: 6.95% · ema21_slope: -0.0203% · dist_ema21: 0.651%
Force Relative 25% 0.6532 rs_1h: 0.043% · rs_4h: 1.391% · rs_1d: 6.17% · rs_3d: 5.44% · beta_24h: 1.321
Volume 20% 0.1419 rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -0.871 · trend: -62.29%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7277 ADX: 33.5 (trend) · Chop: 44.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.168% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6787
Score SMA
0.6377
Rank
#7 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9034
Rank Norm SMA
0.7606
Calculé le
03/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8504 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.715% · r1d: 6.04% · r3d: 8.95% · ema21_slope: 0.5115% · dist_ema21: 5.785%
Force Relative 25% 0.7873 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.508% · rs_1d: 7.00% · rs_3d: 7.29% · beta_24h: 1.572
Volume 20% 0.2900 rvol_20: 0.72× · zscore_50: -0.389 · trend: 10.15%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7289 ADX: 27.5 (trend) · Chop: 33.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5945 ATR%: 4.217% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.200% (0.0055)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.568% 0.1R -0.367% 0.1R 1.6× 12
2h +0.691% 0.1R -0.574% 0.1R 1.2× 24
3h ★ +1.827% 0.3R -0.574% 0.1R 3.2× 36
4h +1.827% 0.3R -0.574% 0.1R 3.2× 48
8h +1.827% 0.3R -1.922% 0.3R 1.0× 96
12h +1.827% 0.3R -1.922% 0.3R 1.0× 144
24h +10.204% 1.7R -1.922% 0.3R 5.3× 288
48h +10.283% 1.7R -1.922% 0.3R 5.4× 576
72h +14.926% 2.4R -2.505% 0.4R 6.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 1414 min MAE in 434 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.46
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 39% mid — near -0.7ATR 0.56 bull_high +13.14% +0.98 01/10 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.37 bull_high +2.13% +0.45 02/10 20:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate balanced normal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 39% early — — 0.34 range_medium +0.12% +0.21 03/10 01:00
15m ↔ neutral range range strong explosive compression bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.29 range_low -0.31% +0.09 03/10 01:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#207716
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.664 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 39% mid 16b 1.7ATR — near -0.7ATR 2.06 99% ↑ +0.84 above_value +3.99 — #110111 0.56 bull_high +13.14% +0.98
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:27
4h
#209404
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.746 expansion bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 40% mid 3b 1.3ATR — — 0.72 80% ↑ +0.58 above_value +4.88 inside #110865 0.37 bull_high +2.13% +0.45
02/10 20:00
upd 03/10 00:18
1h anchor
#210194
↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.640 normal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 39% early 7b 0.3ATR — — 0.09 13% ↓ -0.89 above_value +5.16 inside #111271 0.34 range_medium +0.12% +0.21
03/10 01:00
upd 03/10 02:12
15m
#210114
↔ neutral range range strong explosive 0.689 compression bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 42% mid 18b 0.4ATR — — 0.20 9% ↓ -0.64 above_value +4.91 — #111109 0.29 range_low -0.31% +0.09
03/10 01:45
upd 03/10 02:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 16b — 4.57×ATR p74 +1.655×ATR p80
4h ↓ down mid 3b — 1.732×ATR p0 +1.289×ATR p64
1h ↑ up early 7b — 1.686×ATR p8 +0.314×ATR p23
15m ↑ up mid 18b — 3.056×ATR p55 +0.377×ATR p24

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.08351508
  2. atr: 0.00184064
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-03T09:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 82
  3. score: 0.6818
  4. confidence: 0.951

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08904 0.08352 0.05434
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08904
  • Stop Loss: 0.08352
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08352 - 0.08904 = -0.00552

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08904 - = 0.08904

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08904 / -0.00552 = -16.1304

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
128.9943 100 1448.7714 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00552

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00552 = -1449.28

Taille de position USD = -1449.28 x 0.08904 = -129.04

Donc, tu peux acheter -1449.28 avec un stoploss a 0.08352

Avec un position size USD de -129.04$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1449.28 x -0.00552 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1449.28 x 0.08904 = -129.04

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -129.04$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1449.28
  • Taille de position USD -129.04
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -129.04
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -16.1304

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 129 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.2 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
1.07 $ 0.83
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5739 % 9.26 % 9
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08904 0.08352 0.05434
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08904
  • Stop Loss: 0.08352
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08352 - 0.08904 = -0.00552

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08904 - = 0.08904

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08904 / -0.00552 = -16.1304

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.200% (0.0055)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.568% 0.1R -0.367% 0.1R 1.6× 12
2h +0.691% 0.1R -0.574% 0.1R 1.2× 24
3h ★ +1.827% 0.3R -0.574% 0.1R 3.2× 36
4h +1.827% 0.3R -0.574% 0.1R 3.2× 48
8h +1.827% 0.3R -1.922% 0.3R 1.0× 96
12h +1.827% 0.3R -1.922% 0.3R 1.0× 144
24h +10.204% 1.7R -1.922% 0.3R 5.3× 288
48h +10.283% 1.7R -1.922% 0.3R 5.4× 576
72h +14.926% 2.4R -2.505% 0.4R 6.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 1414 min MAE in 434 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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