Long Trade on BCH (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1.75 BCH at 311.48$ per unit. Take profit: 322.9392 (3.68 %) & Stop Loss: 306.8963 (1.47 %)
03 Oct 2026 at 04:07:18
hyperliquid
BCH
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
03 Oct 2026 04:07
→ 16:00
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 311.48$
Qty 1.7453 BCH
Size 543.6336$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 322.9392 (+3.68%)
TP $ 20$
SL 306.8963 (-1.47%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+1.35%
/ +7.37$
MAE -0.33%
MFE +1.54%
1.1R
expires
03 Oct 16:07
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 174108)
#7 / 81
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 04:00
score du 03/10/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6921
Quality Score
0.563
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#7 / 81
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#7 / 81
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.93×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.32×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.65×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 04:00
03/10 04:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 01/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 03/10 02:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4729
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.97
Transition risk :
0.03
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
19.5%
Macro
btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 70.0% |
| 1h | 16.7% |
| 4h | 16.7% |
| 24h | 16.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 78.3% | +0.06% |
| 4h | 20.0% | -0.61% |
| 24h | 28.3% | -4.06% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.082
Universe :
60
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.98
Snapshot évalué :
03/10 04:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4998
Score SMA
0.5400
Rank
#55
/ 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3494
Rank Norm SMA
0.3150
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6424 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.76% · r3d: 1.33% · ema21_slope: 1.6505% · dist_ema21: 6.094% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5332 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.17% · rs_3d: 0.30% · beta_24h: 1.230 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2350 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.096 · trend: -18.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8449 | ADX: 41.4 (trend) · Chop: 31.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.479% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5633
Score SMA
—
Rank
—
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6921
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
03/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4877 | r1h: 0.164% · r4h: -0.247% · r1d: -1.40% · r3d: 0.87% · ema21_slope: -0.0017% · dist_ema21: 0.139% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5049 | rs_1h: 0.176% · rs_4h: -0.096% · rs_1d: 0.40% · rs_3d: -0.66% · beta_24h: 1.629 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5307 | rvol_20: 1.99× · zscore_50: 0.733 · trend: -17.29% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6281 | ADX: 15.4 (weak) · Chop: 37.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.932% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4863
Score SMA
0.5007
Rank
#43
/ 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5265
Rank Norm SMA
0.3816
Calculé le
03/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5665 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.042% · r1d: 0.64% · r3d: 2.06% · ema21_slope: -0.0307% · dist_ema21: 0.202% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4647 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.249% · rs_1d: 1.60% · rs_3d: 0.39% · beta_24h: 1.419 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1416 | rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.876 · trend: -51.87% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4787 | ADX: 17.4 (weak) · Chop: 58.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.335% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.472%
(4.5837)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.170% | 0.1R | -0.299% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.228% | 0.2R | -0.334% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.443% | 0.3R | -0.334% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.397% | 1.0R | -0.334% | 0.2R | 4.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.541% | 1.1R | -0.334% | 0.2R | 4.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.609% | 2.5R | -0.334% | 0.2R | 10.8× | 287 |
| 36h | +3.609% | 2.5R | -0.334% | 0.2R | 10.8× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.609% | 2.5R | -0.334% | 0.2R | 10.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.609% | 2.5R | -0.334% | 0.2R | 10.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 937 min
MAE in 87 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.64
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.65 | bull_high | +13.14% | +0.98 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near 0.1ATR | near -0.3ATR | 0.49 | bull_high | +2.13% | +0.01 | 02/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.39 | range_medium | +0.05% | +0.01 | 03/10 02:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.2ATR | near 0.1ATR | 0.67 | range_low | -0.35% | -0.03 | 03/10 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#207539
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | 0.788 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early 9b 0.7ATR | — | — | 0.47 | 82% | ↑ +0.49 | value | +1.03 | — | #110060 | 0.65 | bull_high | +13.14% | +0.98 |
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:19
|
|
4h
#209276
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.562 | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 2b 0.1ATR | near 0.1ATR | near -0.3ATR | 0.31 | 28% | ↑ +0.29 | value | +1.09 | — | #110815 | 0.49 | bull_high | +2.13% | +0.01 |
02/10 20:00
upd 03/10 00:13
|
|
1h
anchor #210545
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.624 | compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early 5b 0.0ATR | — | — | 0.07 | 1% | ↓ -0.94 | above_value | +0.75 | — | #111384 | 0.39 | range_medium | +0.05% | +0.01 |
03/10 02:00
upd 03/10 03:09
|
|
15m
#210873
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.578 | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 2b 0.7ATR | near 0.2ATR | near 0.1ATR | 0.07 | 5% | ↓ -0.47 | above_value | +0.75 | — | #111384 | 0.67 | range_low | -0.35% | -0.03 |
03/10 03:45
upd 03/10 04:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.704×ATR | p11 | +0.733×ATR | p43 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.09×ATR | p11 | +0.098×ATR | p6 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.304×ATR | p2 | -0.011×ATR | p0 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 0.97×ATR | p3 | +0.653×ATR | p36 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8287
- reason: up_bo width=2.45×ATR dur=59b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 306.89632481
- tp_price: 322.93918799
- atr:
- score: 0.82868160518668
- expires_at: 2026-10-03T20:07:09.623891
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.82868160518668
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1016
- obi_top10 : -0.0125
- micro_price : 311.27310924
- spread_pct : 0.003213
- mid_price : 311.275
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1073
- obi_top5_std : 0.0127
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6982
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
310.52
- balance_zone_bottom:
303.82
- balance_zone_mid:
307.17
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790805600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1791014400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.4482
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
59
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8287
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1791010800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
310.52
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6271
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3508
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 2.73675194 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
59
inside_close_ratio
0.6271
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3508
Signaux confirmants (19)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:07 | 311.48000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:18 | 311.48000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 04:28 | 311.48000000 | 0% |
| 4 | 04:37 | 310.94000000 | -0.173% |
| 5 | 04:47 | 310.94000000 | -0.173% |
| 6 | 04:56 | 310.94000000 | -0.173% |
| 7 | 05:06 | 311.38000000 | -0.032% |
| 8 | 05:12 | 311.38000000 | -0.032% |
| 9 | 05:22 | 311.38000000 | -0.032% |
| 10 | 05:31 | 311.38000000 | -0.032% |
| 11 | 05:40 | 310.86000000 | -0.199% |
| 12 | 05:49 | 310.86000000 | -0.199% |
| 13 | 05:59 | 310.86000000 | -0.199% |
| 14 | 06:11 | 311.53000000 | +0.016% |
| 15 | 06:21 | 311.53000000 | +0.016% |
| 16 | 06:31 | 311.53000000 | +0.016% |
| 17 | 06:40 | 311.24000000 | -0.077% |
| 18 | 06:50 | 311.24000000 | -0.077% |
| 19 | 07:00 | 311.24000000 | -0.077% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6982ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.102
avg 0.107
± 0.013
OBI Top 10
-0.013
Microstructure
Mid Price
311.2750
Micro Price
311.2731
Spread
0.0032%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 311.48 | 306.8963 | 322.9392 | 2.5 | 211.03 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 311.48
- Stop Loss: 306.8963
- Take Profit: 322.9392
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 306.8963 - 311.48 = -4.5837
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 311.48 - 322.9392 = -11.4592
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -11.4592 / -4.5837 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 543.6336 | 100 | 1.7453 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -4.5837
Taille de position = 8 / -4.5837 = -1.75
Taille de position USD = -1.75 x 311.48 = -545.09
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.75 avec un stoploss a 306.8963
Avec un position size USD de -545.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.75 x -4.5837 = 8.02
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.75 x -11.4592 = 20.05
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.05$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.75
- Taille de position USD -545.09
- Perte potentielle 8.02
- Gain potentiel 20.05
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.68 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.47 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 7.37 $ | 1.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3339 % | 22.69 % | 24 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 311.48 | 306.8963 | 322.9392 | 2.5 | 211.03 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 311.48
- Stop Loss: 306.8963
- Take Profit: 322.9392
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 306.8963 - 311.48 = -4.5837
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 311.48 - 322.9392 = -11.4592
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -11.4592 / -4.5837 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.472%
(4.5837)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.170% | 0.1R | -0.299% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.228% | 0.2R | -0.334% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.443% | 0.3R | -0.334% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.397% | 1.0R | -0.334% | 0.2R | 4.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.541% | 1.1R | -0.334% | 0.2R | 4.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.609% | 2.5R | -0.334% | 0.2R | 10.8× | 287 |
| 36h | +3.609% | 2.5R | -0.334% | 0.2R | 10.8× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.609% | 2.5R | -0.334% | 0.2R | 10.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.609% | 2.5R | -0.334% | 0.2R | 10.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 937 min
MAE in 87 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.