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Short Trade on 2Z

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03 Oct 2026 at 05:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_score)

With 2152.42 2Z at 0.0458$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04953 (8.12 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 03 Oct 2026 05:15 → 08:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.04581$

Qty 2152.4239 2Z

Size 98.6025$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 98.6$

SL 0.04953 (-8.12%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR

Status win PnL +0.08% / +0.075$ MAE -3.27% MFE +0.80% 0.1R expires 03 Oct 08:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 174321)
#74 / 80
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0235

Quality Score
0.394
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#74 / 80
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#74 / 80
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -0.34×ATR
1d near -0.56×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
mixed
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.01
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
10.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 05:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

01/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

03/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/10 04:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4733
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.97
Transition risk : 0.03
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 41.2%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 47.5%
1h 66.1%
4h 49.2%
24h 17.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 39.0% +0.00%
4h 50.9% -0.01%
24h 30.5% -4.16%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.112
Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.98
Snapshot évalué : 03/10 05:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4240
Score SMA
0.6290
Rank
#77 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0843
Rank Norm SMA
0.5845
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3595 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -19.25% · r3d: -29.85% · ema21_slope: 1.1375% · dist_ema21: -18.422%
Force Relative 25% 0.0254 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -18.83% · rs_3d: -30.88% · beta_24h: 1.164
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 5.33× · zscore_50: 5.091 · trend: 292.15%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7320 ADX: 27.8 (trend) · Chop: 21.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 13.943% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.3935
Score SMA
0.5050
Rank
#74 / 80
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0235
Rank Norm SMA
0.4101
Calculé le
03/10/2026 05:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2577 r1h: 0.654% · r4h: 2.227% · r1d: -22.86% · r3d: -28.34% · ema21_slope: -0.8598% · dist_ema21: -4.282%
Force Relative 25% 0.3206 rs_1h: 0.599% · rs_4h: 2.192% · rs_1d: -20.96% · rs_3d: -30.21% · beta_24h: 3.441
Volume 20% 0.1783 rvol_20: 0.17× · zscore_50: -0.326 · trend: -61.70%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5789 ADX: 59.4 (trend) · Chop: 89.7 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.790% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.2710
Score SMA
0.5391
Rank
#79 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0125
Rank Norm SMA
0.5078
Calculé le
03/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1691 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.960% · r1d: -22.69% · r3d: -28.82% · ema21_slope: -1.0446% · dist_ema21: -17.951%
Force Relative 25% 0.1482 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.111% · rs_1d: -20.89% · rs_3d: -30.34% · beta_24h: 3.941
Volume 20% 0.3242 rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.309 · trend: 58.55%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7889 ADX: 34.7 (trend) · Chop: 36.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.736% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.121% (0.0037)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.197% 0.0R -3.266% 0.4R 0.1× 12
2h +0.229% 0.0R -3.266% 0.4R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.801% 0.1R -3.266% 0.4R 0.3× 36
4h +1.842% 0.2R -3.266% 0.4R 0.6× 48
8h +1.842% 0.2R -3.266% 0.4R 0.6× 96
12h +2.414% 0.3R -3.266% 0.4R 0.7× 144
24h +2.735% 0.3R -3.266% 0.4R 0.8× 288
48h +3.541% 0.4R -3.266% 0.4R 1.1× 576
72h +8.308% 1.0R -3.266% 0.4R 2.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1034 min MAE in 54 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.32
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate explosive volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
42%
noisy_chop 41% mid near -0.6ATR — 0.53 bull_high +13.14% -0.82 01/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading normal bear_high_confirmed
54%
choppy 49% late near -0.3ATR — 0.39 bull_high +1.93% -1.00 03/10 00:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate grind normal bear_high
52%
choppy 49% late — — 0.30 range_medium +0.09% -0.98 03/10 04:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 36% mid — near -1.5ATR 0.22 range_low -0.25% +0.17 03/10 04:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#207724
 ↔ neutral range range moderate explosive 0.743 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
42%
noisy_chop 41% mid 6b -1.4ATR near -0.6ATR — 5.33 100% ↑ +0.97 value -7.70 — #110115 0.53 bull_high +13.14% -0.82
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:28
4h
#211106
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.732 normal bear_high_confirmed
54%
choppy 49% late 6b -3.3ATR near -0.3ATR — 0.43 88% ↑ +0.64 above_value -10.92 — #111600 0.39 bull_high +1.93% -1.00
03/10 00:00
upd 03/10 04:19
1h anchor
#211492
 ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.468 normal bear_high
52%
choppy 49% late 25b -2.3ATR — — 0.17 47% ↓ -0.89 above_value -10.11 — #111846 0.30 range_medium +0.09% -0.98
03/10 04:00
upd 03/10 05:11
15m
#211411
 ↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.514 normal bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 36% mid 1b 1.6ATR — near -1.5ATR 0.29 22% ↔ +0.08 above_value -10.92 — #111600 0.22 range_low -0.25% +0.17
03/10 04:45
upd 03/10 05:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 6b — 5.274×ATR p73 -1.372×ATR p70
4h ↓ down late 6b — 4.765×ATR p64 -3.264×ATR p97
1h ↓ down late 25b — 11.195×ATR p100 -2.341×ATR p88
15m ↓ down mid 1b — 0.928×ATR p10 +1.606×ATR p62

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.04952674
  2. atr: 0.00123891
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-03T12:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 80
  2. total: 82
  3. score: 0.2796
  4. confidence: 0.975

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04581 0.04953 0.01635
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04581
  • Stop Loss: 0.04953
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04953 - 0.04581 = 0.00372

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04581 - = 0.04581

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04581 / 0.00372 = 12.3145

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
98.6025 98.6025 2152.4239 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00372

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00372 = 2150.54

Taille de position USD = 2150.54 x 0.04581 = 98.52

Donc, tu peux acheter 2150.54 avec un stoploss a 0.04953

Avec un position size USD de 98.52$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2150.54 x 0.00372 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2150.54 x 0.04581 = 98.52

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 98.52$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2150.54
  • Taille de position USD 98.52
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 98.52
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 12.3145

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 98.6 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.12 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
0.075 $ 0.08
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.2657 % 40.22 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04581 0.04953 0.01635
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04581
  • Stop Loss: 0.04953
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04953 - 0.04581 = 0.00372

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04581 - = 0.04581

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04581 / 0.00372 = 12.3145

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.121% (0.0037)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.197% 0.0R -3.266% 0.4R 0.1× 12
2h +0.229% 0.0R -3.266% 0.4R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.801% 0.1R -3.266% 0.4R 0.3× 36
4h +1.842% 0.2R -3.266% 0.4R 0.6× 48
8h +1.842% 0.2R -3.266% 0.4R 0.6× 96
12h +2.414% 0.3R -3.266% 0.4R 0.7× 144
24h +2.735% 0.3R -3.266% 0.4R 0.8× 288
48h +3.541% 0.4R -3.266% 0.4R 1.1× 576
72h +8.308% 1.0R -3.266% 0.4R 2.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1034 min MAE in 54 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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