Short Trade on ETHFI

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03 Oct 2026 at 05:15:14 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 321.87 ETHFI at 0.691$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6736 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7157 (3.59 %)

ETHFI SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Oct 2026 05:15 → 11:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.6909$

Qty 321.8746 ETHFI

Size 222.3799$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.6736 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.57$

SL 0.7157 (-3.59%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 0.7

Status loss PnL -1.32% / -2.94$ MAE -2.14% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 03 Oct 11:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 174297)

#79 / 80

seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0590

Quality Score

0.374

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#79 / 80

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-3

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.59 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#79 / 80

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.59 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.73×ATR
4h	near	-0.14×ATR
1d	clear	1.45×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

mixed

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

-0.01

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

5.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 05:01

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 01/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/10 04:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

01/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

03/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/10 04:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4733

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.55	expansion -1
Tactical	range 0.25	transition 0
Micro	range 0.25	compression

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 0.97

Transition risk : 0.03

Score contribution (this trade) -3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 41.2%

Macro mixed_dispersion

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : mixed

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	47.5%
1h	66.1%
4h	49.2%
24h	17.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	39.0%	+0.00%
4h	50.9%	-0.01%
24h	30.5%	-4.16%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.112

Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.98

Snapshot évalué : 03/10 05:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4416

Score SMA

0.5466

Rank

#70 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1687

Rank Norm SMA

0.3485

Calculé le

02/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6338	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.89% · r3d: -9.85% · ema21_slope: 0.7406% · dist_ema21: 0.488%
Force Relative	25%	0.4043	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.47% · rs_3d: -10.88% · beta_24h: 1.041
Volume	20%	0.3318	rvol_20: 0.95× · zscore_50: -0.140 · trend: 2.04%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5604	ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 60.5 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 10.409% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 03/10/2026 05:00

Score brut

0.3735

Score SMA

0.5479

Rank

#79 / 80

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0590

Rank Norm SMA

0.5302

Calculé le

03/10/2026 05:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3004	r1h: -0.035% · r4h: -0.770% · r1d: -6.27% · r3d: -9.50% · ema21_slope: -0.2263% · dist_ema21: -1.951%
Force Relative	25%	0.3302	rs_1h: -0.089% · rs_4h: -0.805% · rs_1d: -4.37% · rs_3d: -11.37% · beta_24h: 2.535
Volume	20%	0.1546	rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.681 · trend: -70.18%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4544	ADX: 22.4 (weak) · Chop: 66.9 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.547% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 03/10/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.3640

Score SMA

0.5472

Rank

#71 / 81

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1489

Rank Norm SMA

0.5277

Calculé le

03/10/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3560	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.431% · r1d: -6.28% · r3d: -9.27% · ema21_slope: -0.2594% · dist_ema21: -4.882%
Force Relative	25%	0.3001	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.280% · rs_1d: -4.48% · rs_3d: -10.79% · beta_24h: 0.955
Volume	20%	0.1690	rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.862 · trend: -30.16%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5491	ADX: 16.5 (weak) · Chop: 49.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.6604	ATR%: 4.019% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.590% (0.0248)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.240%	0.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.427%	0.4R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.980%	0.6R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.139%	0.6R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.579%	0.7R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.000%	0.0R	-5.127%	1.4R	0.0×	144
24h	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.168%	2.0R	0.0×	288
48h	+0.000%	0.0R	-12.387%	3.5R	0.0×	576
72h	+0.000%	0.0R	-12.598%	3.5R	0.0×	864

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	expansion	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 41%	early	—	near 0.2ATR	0.56	bull_high	+13.14%	-0.80	01/10 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	47%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	near -0.1ATR	—	0.43	bull_high	+1.93%	-0.85	03/10 00:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 49%	late	near -0.7ATR	—	0.50	range_medium	+0.09%	-0.42	03/10 04:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	compression	bear_medium	57%	noisy_chop 42%	late	near -0.2ATR	—	0.63	range_low	-0.25%	-0.13	03/10 04:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207651	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.678	expansion	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 41%	early 16b 0.0ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	0.95	88%	↓ -0.18	below_value	-2.61	—	#110087	0.56	bull_high	+13.14%	-0.80	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:24
4h #211028	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.580	compression	bear_high	47%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 15b -1.4ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.27	12%	↓ -0.37	below_value	-4.00	—	#111574	0.43	bull_high	+1.93%	-0.85	03/10 00:00 upd 03/10 04:16
1h anchor #211466	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.740	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 49%	late 7b -1.7ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	0.21	18%	↓ -0.93	below_value	-4.23	—	#111820	0.50	range_medium	+0.09%	-0.42	03/10 04:00 upd 03/10 05:10
15m #211389	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	0.314	compression	bear_medium	57%	noisy_chop 42%	late 22b -1.3ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	1.95	63%	↔ +0.12	below_value	-4.00	—	#111574	0.63	range_low	-0.25%	-0.13	03/10 04:45 upd 03/10 05:02
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	16b	—	1.718×ATR	p0	+0.046×ATR	p2
4h	↓ down	mid	15b	—	4.561×ATR	p77	-1.427×ATR	p80
1h	↓ down	late	7b	—	1.738×ATR	p14	-1.743×ATR	p85
15m	↓ down	late	22b	—	4.668×ATR	p90	-1.316×ATR	p71

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.7157444
tp_price: 0.67361775
atr: 0.00994176
expires_at: 2026-10-03T15:15:14+00:00

Details

rank: 77
total: 82
score: 0.3063
delta_2h: -0.0189
extension_atr: -1.2
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0606
confidence: 0.938

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.6909	0.7157	0.6736	0.7	0.4951

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.6909
Stop Loss: 0.7157
Take Profit: 0.6736

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.7157 - 0.6909 = 0.0248
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.6909 - 0.6736 = 0.0173
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0173 / 0.0248 = 0.6976

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
222.3799	100	321.8746	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0248

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0248 = 322.58

Taille de position USD = 322.58 x 0.6909 = 222.87

Donc, tu peux acheter 322.58 avec un stoploss a 0.7157

Avec un position size USD de 222.87$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 322.58 x 0.0248 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 322.58 x 0.0173 = 5.58

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.58$

Résumé

Taille de position 322.58
Taille de position USD 222.87
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 5.58
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6976

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	5.57 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.59 %	7.98 $

PNL	PNL %
-2.94 $	-1.32

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.1392 %	59.6 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.6909	0.7157	0.6736	0.7	0.4951

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.6909
Stop Loss: 0.7157
Take Profit: 0.6736

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.7157 - 0.6909 = 0.0248
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.6909 - 0.6736 = 0.0173
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0173 / 0.0248 = 0.6976

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
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Extra SL data


                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.590% (0.0248)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.240%	0.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.427%	0.4R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.980%	0.6R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.139%	0.6R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.579%	0.7R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.000%	0.0R	-5.127%	1.4R	0.0×	144
24h	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.168%	2.0R	0.0×	288
48h	+0.000%	0.0R	-12.387%	3.5R	0.0×	576
72h	+0.000%	0.0R	-12.598%	3.5R	0.0×	864

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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