03 Oct 2026 at 07:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 56.73 ZRO at 1.975$ per unit. Take profit: 2.0244 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.834 (7.14 %)

ZRO LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Oct 2026 07:15 → 08:05 · 49 minutes

Position

Entry 1.975$

Qty 56.7278 ZRO

Size 112.0374$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 2.0244 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.8$

SL 1.834 (-7.14%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.35

Status win PnL +2.50% / +2.8$ MAE -1.13% MFE +7.72% 1.1R expires 03 Oct 13:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 174439)
#2 / 80
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4978

Quality Score
0.846
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 80
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.14 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 80
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.14 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.24×ATR
4h clear 1.86×ATR
1d clear 2.12×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.60
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
34.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 07:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

01/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

03/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

03/10 06:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4741
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.97
Transition risk : 0.03
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 65.5%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 37.3%
1h 78.0%
4h 74.6%
24h 23.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 44.1% -0.02%
4h 69.5% +0.60%
24h 37.3% -3.09%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.152
Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.98
Snapshot évalué : 03/10 07:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6977
Score SMA
0.7510
Rank
#12 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8675
Rank Norm SMA
0.8379
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7880 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.30% · r3d: 4.68% · ema21_slope: 3.1534% · dist_ema21: 21.098%
Force Relative 25% 0.6634 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.88% · rs_3d: 3.65% · beta_24h: 0.146
Volume 20% 0.7956 rvol_20: 2.13× · zscore_50: 2.031 · trend: 136.11%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9087 ADX: 49.0 (trend) · Chop: 24.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.924% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.8456
Score SMA
0.5851
Rank
#2 / 80
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4978
Rank Norm SMA
0.6348
Calculé le
03/10/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7073 r1h: 6.009% · r4h: 14.287% · r1d: 7.08% · r3d: 12.89% · ema21_slope: -0.0550% · dist_ema21: 8.967%
Force Relative 25% 0.9630 rs_1h: 5.949% · rs_4h: 14.215% · rs_1d: 9.02% · rs_3d: 12.02% · beta_24h: 2.393
Volume 20% 0.9815 rvol_20: 3.62× · zscore_50: 2.746 · trend: 98.81%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6422 ADX: 20.1 (weak) · Chop: 41.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.940% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4340
Score SMA
0.5895
Rank
#50 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4098
Rank Norm SMA
0.6467
Calculé le
03/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6296 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.832% · r1d: -6.58% · r3d: -3.15% · ema21_slope: 0.4530% · dist_ema21: -0.659%
Force Relative 25% 0.4256 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.681% · rs_1d: -4.79% · rs_3d: -4.68% · beta_24h: 0.037
Volume 20% 0.2231 rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.567 · trend: -4.35%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6274 ADX: 28.3 (trend) · Chop: 51.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.237% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.139% (0.1410)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.830% 0.4R -1.134% 0.2R 2.5× 12
2h +5.747% 0.8R -1.134% 0.2R 5.1× 24
4h +7.114% 1.0R -1.134% 0.2R 6.3× 48
6h ★ +7.717% 1.1R -1.134% 0.2R 6.8× 72
8h +8.825% 1.2R -1.134% 0.2R 7.8× 96
12h +8.825% 1.2R -1.134% 0.2R 7.8× 144
24h +8.825% 1.2R -1.134% 0.2R 7.8× 288
48h +8.825% 1.2R -4.096% 0.6R 2.2× 576
72h +10.749% 1.5R -4.096% 0.6R 2.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 479 min MAE in 19 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.43
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 38% mid — — 0.43 bull_high +13.14% +1.00 01/10 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 36% early near -0.5ATR — 0.29 bull_high +1.93% +0.30 03/10 00:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 35% late — near -0.2ATR 0.27 range_low +0.12% +0.20 03/10 06:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
ranging_calm 54% late — near -1.3ATR 0.21 range_low -0.19% +0.83 03/10 06:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#207576
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.680 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 38% mid 17b 1.5ATR — — 2.13 98% ↑ +0.92 value -0.61 — #110069 0.43 bull_high +13.14% +1.00
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:21
4h
#210986
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.692 normal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 36% early 4b -0.1ATR near -0.5ATR — 0.40 78% ↓ -0.25 above_value -0.80 — #111556 0.29 bull_high +1.93% +0.30
03/10 00:00
upd 03/10 04:14
1h anchor
#212259
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.329 expansion bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 35% late 3b 3.4ATR — near -0.2ATR 3.62 99% ↓ -0.19 above_value +3.44 — #112127 0.27 range_low +0.12% +0.20
03/10 06:00
upd 03/10 07:09
15m
#212181
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.493 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
ranging_calm 54% late 4b 3.3ATR — near -1.3ATR 3.03 98% ↑ +0.89 value +1.65 — #111965 0.21 range_low -0.19% +0.83
03/10 06:45
upd 03/10 07:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 17b — 4.782×ATR p62 +1.467×ATR p75
4h ↓ down early 4b — 2.471×ATR p14 -0.108×ATR p7
1h ↑ up late 3b — 4.274×ATR p88 +3.36×ATR p99
15m ↑ up late 4b — 3.523×ATR p68 +3.252×ATR p98

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1.83397562
  2. tp_price: 2.024375
  3. atr: 0.05640975
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-03T17:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 81
  3. score: 0.7073
  4. delta_2h: 0.1025
  5. extension_atr: 2.6
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4994
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.975 1.834 2.0244 0.35 1.3774
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.975
  • Stop Loss: 1.834
  • Take Profit: 2.0244

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.834 - 1.975 = -0.141

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.975 - 2.0244 = -0.0494

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0494 / -0.141 = 0.3504

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
112.0374 100 56.7278 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.141

Taille de position = 8 / -0.141 = -56.74

Taille de position USD = -56.74 x 1.975 = -112.06

Donc, tu peux acheter -56.74 avec un stoploss a 1.834

Avec un position size USD de -112.06$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -56.74 x -0.141 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -56.74 x -0.0494 = 2.8

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.8$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -56.74
  • Taille de position USD -112.06
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.8
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3504

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 2.8 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.14 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
2.8 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.1342 % 15.89 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.975 1.834 2.0244 0.35 1.3774
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.975
  • Stop Loss: 1.834
  • Take Profit: 2.0244

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.834 - 1.975 = -0.141

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.975 - 2.0244 = -0.0494

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0494 / -0.141 = 0.3504

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.139% (0.1410)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.830% 0.4R -1.134% 0.2R 2.5× 12
2h +5.747% 0.8R -1.134% 0.2R 5.1× 24
4h +7.114% 1.0R -1.134% 0.2R 6.3× 48
6h ★ +7.717% 1.1R -1.134% 0.2R 6.8× 72
8h +8.825% 1.2R -1.134% 0.2R 7.8× 96
12h +8.825% 1.2R -1.134% 0.2R 7.8× 144
24h +8.825% 1.2R -1.134% 0.2R 7.8× 288
48h +8.825% 1.2R -4.096% 0.6R 2.2× 576
72h +10.749% 1.5R -4.096% 0.6R 2.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 479 min MAE in 19 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.