03 Oct 2026 at 08:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on AR (momentum_rotation_score)

With 30.11 AR at 4.704$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 4.4382 (5.65 %)

AR LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 03 Oct 2026 08:15 → 11:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 4.7039$

Qty 30.1114 AR

Size 141.6412$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 141.64$

SL 4.4382 (-5.65%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -3.79% / -5.37$ MAE -4.12% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 03 Oct 11:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 174535)
#2 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5209

Quality Score
0.757
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+1
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.04×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late OK
4h — — OK
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
1.28
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 08:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

03/10 06:00

Score : +1 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4745
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.97
Transition risk : 0.03
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 75.7%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 59.3%
1h 74.6%
4h 86.4%
24h 20.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 52.5% +0.02%
4h 84.8% +1.28%
24h 39.0% -3.06%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.179
Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.98
Snapshot évalué : 03/10 08:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5815
Score SMA
0.6164
Rank
#27 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6579
Rank Norm SMA
0.5203
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7563 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.60% · r3d: -0.47% · ema21_slope: 2.4700% · dist_ema21: 9.635%
Force Relative 25% 0.6141 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.13% · rs_3d: -2.12% · beta_24h: 2.393
Volume 20% 0.3307 rvol_20: 0.60× · zscore_50: 0.090 · trend: 31.24%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8994 ADX: 47.9 (trend) · Chop: 32.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.855% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.7567
Score SMA
0.5163
Rank
#2 / 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5209
Rank Norm SMA
0.4104
Calculé le
03/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7321 r1h: -1.383% · r4h: 10.224% · r1d: 7.34% · r3d: 10.59% · ema21_slope: 0.2569% · dist_ema21: 6.281%
Force Relative 25% 0.7635 rs_1h: -1.427% · rs_4h: 10.097% · rs_1d: 9.38% · rs_3d: 9.69% · beta_24h: 2.645
Volume 20% 0.6194 rvol_20: 1.55× · zscore_50: 0.766 · trend: 192.93%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7064 ADX: 24.8 (weak) · Chop: 18.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.013% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.7672
Score SMA
0.4855
Rank
#2 / 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5530
Rank Norm SMA
0.2822
Calculé le
03/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7973 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 10.224% · r1d: 7.34% · r3d: 10.59% · ema21_slope: 0.0779% · dist_ema21: 8.152%
Force Relative 25% 0.8126 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 10.097% · rs_1d: 9.38% · rs_3d: 9.69% · beta_24h: 2.344
Volume 20% 0.8510 rvol_20: 3.70× · zscore_50: 2.008 · trend: 37.84%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5643 ADX: 17.0 (weak) · Chop: 47.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.6290 ATR%: 4.113% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.649% (0.2657)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.455% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.540% 0.6R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -4.120% 0.7R 0.0× 36
4h +0.000% 0.0R -5.387% 1.0R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -5.387% 1.0R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -5.387% 1.0R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -6.582% 1.2R 0.0× 288
48h +0.000% 0.0R -7.118% 1.3R 0.0× 576
72h +0.000% 0.0R -7.118% 1.3R 0.0× 864

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d —
4h —
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 50% late — near 0.0ATR 0.27 range_low +0.12% +0.78 03/10 06:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
ranging_calm 53% mid — — 0.40 range_low -0.16% +0.79 03/10 07:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d Pas de snapshot
4h Pas de snapshot
1h anchor
#212277
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.720 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 50% late 2b 3.9ATR — near 0.0ATR 8.02 99% ↑ +0.42 above_value +4.60 — #112144 0.27 range_low +0.12% +0.78
03/10 06:00
upd 03/10 07:10
15m
#212517
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.568 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
ranging_calm 53% mid 8b 2.0ATR — — 0.13 55% ↑ +0.94 above_value +4.60 — #112144 0.40 range_low -0.16% +0.79
03/10 07:30
upd 03/10 07:47
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1h ↓ down late 2b — 0×ATR p0 +3.863×ATR p100
15m ↑ up mid 8b — 3.431×ATR p69 +1.995×ATR p77

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 4.43822019
  2. atr: 0.08855994
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-03T15:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 80
  3. score: 0.7804
  4. confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.7039 4.4382 2.5356
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.7039
  • Stop Loss: 4.4382
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.4382 - 4.7039 = -0.2657

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.7039 - = 4.7039

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.7039 / -0.2657 = -17.7038

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
141.6412 100 30.1114 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.2657

Taille de position = 8 / -0.2657 = -30.11

Taille de position USD = -30.11 x 4.7039 = -141.63

Donc, tu peux acheter -30.11 avec un stoploss a 4.4382

Avec un position size USD de -141.63$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -30.11 x -0.2657 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -30.11 x 4.7039 = -141.63

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -141.63$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -30.11
  • Taille de position USD -141.63
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -141.63
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -17.7038

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 141.64 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.65 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-5.37 $ -3.79
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.12 % 72.94 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.7039 4.4382 2.5356
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.7039
  • Stop Loss: 4.4382
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.4382 - 4.7039 = -0.2657

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.7039 - = 4.7039

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.7039 / -0.2657 = -17.7038

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 4.7039
            [stop_loss] => 4.41163
            [rr_ratio] => 16.09
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 12:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 4.7039
            [stop_loss] => 4.38506
            [rr_ratio] => 14.75
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 12:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 4.7039
            [stop_loss] => 4.35849
            [rr_ratio] => 13.62
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 12:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 4.7039
            [stop_loss] => 4.30535
            [rr_ratio] => 11.8
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 12:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.649% (0.2657)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.455% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.540% 0.6R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -4.120% 0.7R 0.0× 36
4h +0.000% 0.0R -5.387% 1.0R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -5.387% 1.0R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -5.387% 1.0R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -6.582% 1.2R 0.0× 288
48h +0.000% 0.0R -7.118% 1.3R 0.0× 576
72h +0.000% 0.0R -7.118% 1.3R 0.0× 864

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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