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Short Trade on LIT

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03 Oct 2026 at 08:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_score)

With 47.33 LIT at 3.53$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 3.6991 (4.79 %)

LIT SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 03 Oct 2026 08:15 → 11:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 3.5301$

Qty 47.3276 LIT

Size 167.0711$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 167.07$

SL 3.6991 (-4.79%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +0.60% / +1$ MAE -1.03% MFE +1.19% 0.3R expires 03 Oct 11:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 174568)
#67 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1660

Quality Score
0.429
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#67 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#67 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.08×ATR
4h near 0.16×ATR
1d clear 2.72×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
1.28
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
49.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 08:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

01/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

03/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/10 06:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4745
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.97
Transition risk : 0.03
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 75.7%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 59.3%
1h 74.6%
4h 86.4%
24h 20.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 52.5% +0.02%
4h 84.8% +1.28%
24h 39.0% -3.06%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.179
Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.98
Snapshot évalué : 03/10 08:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2897
Score SMA
0.4226
Rank
#83 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0120
Rank Norm SMA
0.0656
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2463 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.71% · r3d: -9.66% · ema21_slope: -0.1782% · dist_ema21: -18.134%
Force Relative 25% 0.1432 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.29% · rs_3d: -10.69% · beta_24h: 0.547
Volume 20% 0.3206 rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: -0.278 · trend: 21.95%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7724 ADX: 37.8 (trend) · Chop: 43.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 12.995% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4286
Score SMA
0.4305
Rank
#67 / 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1660
Rank Norm SMA
0.1686
Calculé le
03/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3249 r1h: 0.316% · r4h: 1.488% · r1d: -6.86% · r3d: -9.94% · ema21_slope: -0.3105% · dist_ema21: -1.079%
Force Relative 25% 0.3891 rs_1h: 0.273% · rs_4h: 1.360% · rs_1d: -4.82% · rs_3d: -10.84% · beta_24h: 1.571
Volume 20% 0.2073 rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.488 · trend: -20.14%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6325 ADX: 42.9 (trend) · Chop: 66.0 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.675% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3194
Score SMA
0.3362
Rank
#77 / 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0255
Rank Norm SMA
0.0417
Calculé le
03/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2381 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.488% · r1d: -6.86% · r3d: -9.94% · ema21_slope: -0.7158% · dist_ema21: -7.809%
Force Relative 25% 0.2528 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.360% · rs_1d: -4.82% · rs_3d: -10.84% · beta_24h: 1.953
Volume 20% 0.2286 rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.244 · trend: -38.97%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7552 ADX: 45.2 (trend) · Chop: 53.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.3799 ATR%: 4.860% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.787% (0.1690)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.244% 0.1R -1.028% 0.2R 0.2× 12
2h +1.193% 0.3R -1.028% 0.2R 1.2× 24
3h ★ +1.193% 0.3R -1.028% 0.2R 1.2× 36
4h +1.193% 0.3R -1.028% 0.2R 1.2× 48
8h +1.193% 0.3R -5.507% 1.2R 0.2× 96
12h +1.193% 0.3R -5.507% 1.2R 0.2× 144
24h +1.193% 0.3R -5.507% 1.2R 0.2× 288
48h +1.193% 0.3R -11.963% 2.5R 0.1× 576
72h +1.193% 0.3R -17.560% 3.7R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 89 min MAE in 334 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.12
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading normal bull_high
50%
noisy_chop 37% mid — — — bull_high +13.14% -0.99 01/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 38% late near 0.2ATR — 0.34 bull_high +1.93% -0.88 03/10 00:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.33 range_low +0.12% -0.30 03/10 06:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong explosive normal bear_medium
63%
noisy_chop 43% early near 0.1ATR — 0.51 range_low -0.13% +0.21 03/10 07:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#207740
 ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.458 normal bull_high
50%
noisy_chop 37% mid 8b -1.7ATR — — 0.77 77% ↔ +0.10 value -5.07 — #110123 — bull_high +13.14% -0.99
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:28
4h
#211131
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.760 compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 38% late 15b -2.6ATR near 0.2ATR — 0.30 15% ↓ -0.76 below_value -8.08 — #111608 0.34 bull_high +1.93% -0.88
03/10 00:00
upd 03/10 04:20
1h anchor
#212311
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.504 compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 42% early 4b -1.1ATR — — 2.05 85% ↓ -0.67 value -4.88 inside #112178 0.33 range_low +0.12% -0.30
03/10 06:00
upd 03/10 07:11
15m
#212627
 ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.819 normal bear_medium
63%
noisy_chop 43% early 7b 0.8ATR near 0.1ATR — 0.36 37% ↔ +0.03 value -4.88 — #112178 0.51 range_low -0.13% +0.21
03/10 07:45
upd 03/10 08:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 8b — 4.399×ATR p61 -1.694×ATR p79
4h ↓ down late 15b — 3.762×ATR p67 -2.635×ATR p96
1h ↑ up early 4b — 1.472×ATR p2 -1.103×ATR p59
15m ↓ down early 7b — 1.521×ATR p3 +0.78×ATR p39

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 3.6991346
  2. atr: 0.05634487
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-03T15:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 79
  2. total: 80
  3. score: 0.3266
  4. confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.5301 3.6991 2.8151
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.5301
  • Stop Loss: 3.6991
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.6991 - 3.5301 = 0.169

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.5301 - = 3.5301

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.5301 / 0.169 = 20.8882

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
167.0711 100 47.3276 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.169

Taille de position = 8 / 0.169 = 47.34

Taille de position USD = 47.34 x 3.5301 = 167.11

Donc, tu peux acheter 47.34 avec un stoploss a 3.6991

Avec un position size USD de 167.11$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 47.34 x 0.169 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 47.34 x 3.5301 = 167.11

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 167.11$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 47.34
  • Taille de position USD 167.11
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 167.11
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 20.8882

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 167.07 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.79 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
1 $ 0.60
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0283 % 21.48 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.5301 3.6991 2.8151
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.5301
  • Stop Loss: 3.6991
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.6991 - 3.5301 = 0.169

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.5301 - = 3.5301

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.5301 / 0.169 = 20.8882

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.1921
            [stop_loss] => 3.6991
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 17:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.1076
            [stop_loss] => 3.6991
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 17:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.0231
            [stop_loss] => 3.6991
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 17:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.9386
            [stop_loss] => 3.6991
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 17:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.8541
            [stop_loss] => 3.6991
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 17:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.7696
            [stop_loss] => 3.6991
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 17:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.6851
            [stop_loss] => 3.6991
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 17:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.6006
            [stop_loss] => 3.6991
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 17:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.5161
            [stop_loss] => 3.6991
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 17:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.4316
            [stop_loss] => 3.6991
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 17:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.3471
            [stop_loss] => 3.6991
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 17:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.787% (0.1690)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.244% 0.1R -1.028% 0.2R 0.2× 12
2h +1.193% 0.3R -1.028% 0.2R 1.2× 24
3h ★ +1.193% 0.3R -1.028% 0.2R 1.2× 36
4h +1.193% 0.3R -1.028% 0.2R 1.2× 48
8h +1.193% 0.3R -5.507% 1.2R 0.2× 96
12h +1.193% 0.3R -5.507% 1.2R 0.2× 144
24h +1.193% 0.3R -5.507% 1.2R 0.2× 288
48h +1.193% 0.3R -11.963% 2.5R 0.1× 576
72h +1.193% 0.3R -17.560% 3.7R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 89 min MAE in 334 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.