Long Trade on AR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 35.49 AR at 4.704$ per unit. Take profit: 4.8215 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 4.4785 (4.79 %)
03 Oct 2026 at 08:15:12
hyperliquid
AR
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Oct 2026 08:15
→ 11:55
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 4.7039$
Qty 35.4911 AR
Size 166.9465$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 4.8215 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.17$
SL 4.4785 (-4.79%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.52
Status
loss
PnL
-4.79%
/ -8$
MAE -5.39%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
03 Oct 14:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 174535)
#2 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 08:00
score du 03/10/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5209
Quality Score
0.757
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+1
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.04×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | — | — | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
1.28
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 08:01
03/10 08:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 03/10 06:00 Score : +1 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4745
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.97
Transition risk :
0.03
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
75.7%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 59.3% |
| 1h | 74.6% |
| 4h | 86.4% |
| 24h | 20.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 52.5% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 84.8% | +1.28% |
| 24h | 39.0% | -3.06% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.179
Universe :
59
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.98
Snapshot évalué :
03/10 08:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5815
Score SMA
0.6164
Rank
#27
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6579
Rank Norm SMA
0.5203
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7563 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.60% · r3d: -0.47% · ema21_slope: 2.4700% · dist_ema21: 9.635% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6141 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.13% · rs_3d: -2.12% · beta_24h: 2.393 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3307 | rvol_20: 0.60× · zscore_50: 0.090 · trend: 31.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8994 | ADX: 47.9 (trend) · Chop: 32.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.855% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.7567
Score SMA
0.5163
Rank
#2
/ 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5209
Rank Norm SMA
0.4104
Calculé le
03/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7321 | r1h: -1.383% · r4h: 10.224% · r1d: 7.34% · r3d: 10.59% · ema21_slope: 0.2569% · dist_ema21: 6.281% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7635 | rs_1h: -1.427% · rs_4h: 10.097% · rs_1d: 9.38% · rs_3d: 9.69% · beta_24h: 2.645 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6194 | rvol_20: 1.55× · zscore_50: 0.766 · trend: 192.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7064 | ADX: 24.8 (weak) · Chop: 18.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.013% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.7672
Score SMA
0.4855
Rank
#2
/ 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5530
Rank Norm SMA
0.2822
Calculé le
03/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7973 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 10.224% · r1d: 7.34% · r3d: 10.59% · ema21_slope: 0.0779% · dist_ema21: 8.152% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8126 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 10.097% · rs_1d: 9.38% · rs_3d: 9.69% · beta_24h: 2.344 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8510 | rvol_20: 3.70× · zscore_50: 2.008 · trend: 37.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5643 | ADX: 17.0 (weak) · Chop: 47.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6290 | ATR%: 4.113% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.792%
(0.2254)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.455% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.540% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.387% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.387% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.387% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.387% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -6.582% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.118% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.118% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 864 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.27 | range_low | +0.12% | +0.78 | 03/10 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
ranging_calm 53% | mid | — | — | 0.40 | range_low | -0.16% | +0.79 | 03/10 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4h | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
1h
anchor #212277
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.720 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late 2b 3.9ATR | — | near 0.0ATR | 8.02 | 99% | ↑ +0.42 | above_value | +4.60 | — | #112144 | 0.27 | range_low | +0.12% | +0.78 |
03/10 06:00
upd 03/10 07:10
|
|
15m
#212517
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.568 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
ranging_calm 53% | mid 8b 2.0ATR | — | — | 0.13 | 55% | ↑ +0.94 | above_value | +4.60 | — | #112144 | 0.40 | range_low | -0.16% | +0.79 |
03/10 07:30
upd 03/10 07:47
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +3.863×ATR | p100 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 3.431×ATR | p69 | +1.995×ATR | p77 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.7039 | 4.4785 | 4.8215 | 0.52 | 2.5291 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 4.7039
- Stop Loss: 4.4785
- Take Profit: 4.8215
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.4785 - 4.7039 = -0.2254
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.7039 - 4.8215 = -0.1176
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1176 / -0.2254 = 0.5217
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 166.9465 | 100 | 35.4911 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.2254
Taille de position = 8 / -0.2254 = -35.49
Taille de position USD = -35.49 x 4.7039 = -166.94
Donc, tu peux acheter -35.49 avec un stoploss a 4.4785
Avec un position size USD de -166.94$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -35.49 x -0.2254 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -35.49 x -0.1176 = 4.17
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.17$
Résumé
- Taille de position -35.49
- Taille de position USD -166.94
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.17
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5217
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.17 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.79 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -4.79 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.9385 % | 103.06 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.7039 | 4.4785 | 4.8215 | 0.52 | 2.5291 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 4.7039
- Stop Loss: 4.4785
- Take Profit: 4.8215
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.4785 - 4.7039 = -0.2254
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.7039 - 4.8215 = -0.1176
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1176 / -0.2254 = 0.5217
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.8215
[entry_price] => 4.7039
[stop_loss] => 4.45596
[rr_ratio] => 0.47
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-03 16:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.792%
(0.2254)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.455% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.540% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.387% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.387% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.387% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.387% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -6.582% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.118% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.118% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 864 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.