03 Oct 2026 at 09:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on GRASS (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 178.9 GRASS at 0.75$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7691 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7056 (5.96 %)

GRASS LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Oct 2026 09:15 → 15:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.7503$

Qty 178.8986 GRASS

Size 134.2312$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.7691 (+2.51%)

TP $ 3.36$

SL 0.7056 (-5.96%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.42

Status loss PnL -4.15% / -5.57$ MAE -4.93% MFE +1.23% 0.2R expires 03 Oct 15:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 174698)
#4 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8784

Quality Score
0.630
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#4 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 0.79×ATR
1d clear 0.85×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.63
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
5.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 09:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

01/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

03/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

03/10 08:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4749
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.97
Transition risk : 0.03
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 63.7%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 50.9%
1h 22.8%
4h 80.7%
24h 14.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 71.9% +0.01%
4h 66.7% +0.63%
24h 33.3% -4.23%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.167
Universe : 57 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.98
Snapshot évalué : 03/10 09:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6592
Score SMA
0.7849
Rank
#18 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7952
Rank Norm SMA
0.9204
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8144 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.52% · r3d: -8.41% · ema21_slope: 4.9304% · dist_ema21: 33.092%
Force Relative 25% 0.6830 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.93% · rs_3d: -9.44% · beta_24h: 1.286
Volume 20% 0.5599 rvol_20: 1.19× · zscore_50: 0.752 · trend: 137.83%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8807 ADX: 45.7 (trend) · Chop: 13.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.785% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.6301
Score SMA
0.6006
Rank
#4 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8784
Rank Norm SMA
0.6932
Calculé le
03/10/2026 09:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7512 r1h: 0.982% · r4h: 3.517% · r1d: 4.61% · r3d: -0.38% · ema21_slope: 0.2476% · dist_ema21: 3.253%
Force Relative 25% 0.6832 rs_1h: 0.727% · rs_4h: 3.189% · rs_1d: 6.85% · rs_3d: 0.10% · beta_24h: 2.543
Volume 20% 0.1741 rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.648 · trend: -37.00%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6511 ADX: 22.1 (weak) · Chop: 42.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.478% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5694
Score SMA
0.6460
Rank
#13 / 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7043
Rank Norm SMA
0.7805
Calculé le
03/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8113 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.968% · r1d: 6.66% · r3d: 1.71% · ema21_slope: 0.2612% · dist_ema21: 5.428%
Force Relative 25% 0.7996 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.840% · rs_1d: 8.70% · rs_3d: 0.80% · beta_24h: 2.239
Volume 20% 0.2071 rvol_20: 0.71× · zscore_50: -0.511 · trend: -44.00%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5645 ADX: 34.1 (trend) · Chop: 65.4 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.000% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.958% (0.0447)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.228% 0.2R -1.309% 0.2R 0.9× 12
2h +1.228% 0.2R -1.309% 0.2R 0.9× 24
4h +1.228% 0.2R -3.625% 0.6R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +1.228% 0.2R -4.926% 0.8R 0.3× 72
8h +1.228% 0.2R -5.022% 0.8R 0.2× 96
12h +1.228% 0.2R -5.022% 0.8R 0.2× 144
24h +6.088% 1.0R -6.735% 1.1R 0.9× 288
48h +6.088% 1.0R -9.747% 1.6R 0.6× 576
72h +6.088% 1.0R -9.747% 1.6R 0.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 1249 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.93
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 46% late — — 0.44 bull_high +13.14% +1.00 01/10 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 33% mid — — 0.21 bull_high +2.02% -0.07 03/10 04:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced normal bull_high
68%
noisy_chop 43% mid near 0.4ATR — 0.24 range_low +0.41% +0.56 03/10 08:00
15m ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.42 range_low +0.11% +0.34 03/10 08:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#207677
↑ up range range strong explosive 0.708 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 46% late 4b 1.9ATR — — 1.19 97% ↑ +0.94 above_value -0.02 — #110093 0.44 bull_high +13.14% +1.00
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:25
4h
#212735
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.599 compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 33% mid 4b 1.0ATR — — 0.71 80% ↓ -0.45 above_value +0.79 — #112309 0.21 bull_high +2.02% -0.07
03/10 04:00
upd 03/10 08:16
1h anchor
#213150
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.549 normal bull_high
68%
noisy_chop 43% mid 2b 1.3ATR near 0.4ATR — 0.46 12% ↓ -0.38 above_value +1.16 — #112548 0.24 range_low +0.41% +0.56
03/10 08:00
upd 03/10 09:10
15m
#213074
↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.668 expansion_after_compression bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 41% early 5b 0.6ATR — — 0.26 14% ↓ -0.39 above_value +0.79 — #112309 0.42 range_low +0.11% +0.34
03/10 08:45
upd 03/10 09:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 4b — 2.17×ATR p0 +1.855×ATR p84
4h ↑ up mid 4b — 1.863×ATR p0 +0.969×ATR p64
1h ↓ down mid 2b — 1.546×ATR p3 +1.311×ATR p69
15m ↑ up early 5b — 1.186×ATR p8 +0.555×ATR p49

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.70560193
  2. tp_price: 0.769078
  3. atr: 0.01788723
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-03T19:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 3
  2. total: 80
  3. score: 0.7565
  4. delta_2h: 0.1004
  5. extension_atr: 1.7
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.88
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 09:15 0.75032000 +0.003%
2 10:15 0.74938000 -0.123%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.7503 0.7056 0.7691 0.42 0.3875
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.7503
  • Stop Loss: 0.7056
  • Take Profit: 0.7691

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.7056 - 0.7503 = -0.0447

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.7503 - 0.7691 = -0.0188

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0188 / -0.0447 = 0.4206

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
134.2312 100 178.8986 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0447

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0447 = -178.97

Taille de position USD = -178.97 x 0.7503 = -134.28

Donc, tu peux acheter -178.97 avec un stoploss a 0.7056

Avec un position size USD de -134.28$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -178.97 x -0.0447 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -178.97 x -0.0188 = 3.36

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.36$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -178.97
  • Taille de position USD -134.28
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.36
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4206

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 3.36 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.96 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-5.57 $ -4.15
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.926 % 82.68 % 16
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.7503 0.7056 0.7691 0.42 0.3875
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.7503
  • Stop Loss: 0.7056
  • Take Profit: 0.7691

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.7056 - 0.7503 = -0.0447

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.7503 - 0.7691 = -0.0188

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0188 / -0.0447 = 0.4206

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.958% (0.0447)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.228% 0.2R -1.309% 0.2R 0.9× 12
2h +1.228% 0.2R -1.309% 0.2R 0.9× 24
4h +1.228% 0.2R -3.625% 0.6R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +1.228% 0.2R -4.926% 0.8R 0.3× 72
8h +1.228% 0.2R -5.022% 0.8R 0.2× 96
12h +1.228% 0.2R -5.022% 0.8R 0.2× 144
24h +6.088% 1.0R -6.735% 1.1R 0.9× 288
48h +6.088% 1.0R -9.747% 1.6R 0.6× 576
72h +6.088% 1.0R -9.747% 1.6R 0.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 1249 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.