Short Trade on LIT

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03 Oct 2026 at 10:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 58.49 LIT at 3.501$ per unit. Take profit: 3.4135 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.6378 (3.91 %)

LIT SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Oct 2026 10:15 → 13:25 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 3.501$

Qty 58.4929 LIT

Size 204.7836$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 3.4135 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.12$

SL 3.6378 (-3.91%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.64

Status loss PnL -3.91% / -8$ MAE -6.38% MFE +0.17% 0.0R expires 03 Oct 16:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 174802)

#73 / 77

seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2198

Quality Score

0.375

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#73 / 77

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-3

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.91 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#73 / 77

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.91 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.11×ATR
4h	near	0.46×ATR
1d	clear	2.72×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

mixed

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

0.16

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

46.9M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 10:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 01/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/10 09:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

01/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

03/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/10 09:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4753

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.55	expansion -1
Tactical	range 0.25	transition 0
Micro	range 0.25	compression

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 0.97

Transition risk : 0.03

Score contribution (this trade) -3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 53.3%

Macro mixed_dispersion

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : mixed

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	69.1%
1h	69.1%
4h	60.0%
24h	16.4%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	72.7%	+0.02%
4h	43.6%	+0.16%
24h	34.6%	-3.68%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.115

Universe : 55 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.98

Snapshot évalué : 03/10 10:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.2897

Score SMA

0.4226

Rank

#83 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0120

Rank Norm SMA

0.0656

Calculé le

02/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2463	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.71% · r3d: -9.66% · ema21_slope: -0.1782% · dist_ema21: -18.134%
Force Relative	25%	0.1432	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.29% · rs_3d: -10.69% · beta_24h: 0.547
Volume	20%	0.3206	rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: -0.278 · trend: 21.95%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7724	ADX: 37.8 (trend) · Chop: 43.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 12.995% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 03/10/2026 10:00

Score brut

0.3752

Score SMA

0.4306

Rank

#73 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2198

Rank Norm SMA

0.1709

Calculé le

03/10/2026 10:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2648	r1h: -0.991% · r4h: 0.003% · r1d: -6.69% · r3d: -12.02% · ema21_slope: -0.2637% · dist_ema21: -1.250%
Force Relative	25%	0.2911	rs_1h: -0.973% · rs_4h: -0.339% · rs_1d: -4.72% · rs_3d: -12.27% · beta_24h: 1.690
Volume	20%	0.2094	rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.378 · trend: -37.82%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5846	ADX: 39.4 (trend) · Chop: 68.3 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.664% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 03/10/2026 08:00

Score brut

0.3316

Score SMA

0.3365

Rank

#76 / 79

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0255

Rank Norm SMA

0.0420

Calculé le

03/10/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2381	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.488% · r1d: -6.86% · r3d: -9.94% · ema21_slope: -0.7158% · dist_ema21: -7.809%
Force Relative	25%	0.2528	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.360% · rs_1d: -4.82% · rs_3d: -10.84% · beta_24h: 1.953
Volume	20%	0.2286	rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.244 · trend: -38.97%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7552	ADX: 45.2 (trend) · Chop: 53.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.3799	ATR%: 4.860% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.908% (0.1368)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.157%	0.3R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.174%	0.0R	-1.157%	0.3R	0.2×	24
4h	+0.174%	0.0R	-6.384%	1.6R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.174%	0.0R	-6.384%	1.6R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.174%	0.0R	-6.384%	1.6R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.174%	0.0R	-6.384%	1.6R	0.0×	144
24h	+0.174%	0.0R	-6.384%	1.6R	0.0×	288
48h	+0.174%	0.0R	-12.894%	3.3R	0.0×	576
72h	+0.174%	0.0R	-18.538%	4.7R	0.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 74 min MAE in 214 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.15

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	normal	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 37%	mid	—	—	—	bull_high	+13.14%	-0.99	01/10 20:00
4h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 38%	late	near 0.5ATR	—	0.34	bull_high	+2.02%	-0.56	03/10 04:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 39%	early	—	—	0.33	range_low	+0.38%	-0.41	03/10 09:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	weak	grind	normal	bear_medium	52%	noisy_chop 34%	early	near -0.4ATR	—	0.50	range_low	+0.09%	-0.01	03/10 09:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207740	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.458	normal	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 8b -1.7ATR	—	—	0.77	77%	↔ +0.10	value	-5.07	—	#110123	—	bull_high	+13.14%	-0.99	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:28
4h #212823	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.762	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 38%	late 16b -2.2ATR	near 0.5ATR	—	0.69	47%	↓ -0.64	value	-4.77	—	#112338	0.34	bull_high	+2.02%	-0.56	03/10 04:00 upd 03/10 08:21
1h anchor #213563	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.505	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 39%	early 7b -0.9ATR	—	—	0.61	43%	↓ -0.49	value	-5.15	inside	#112734	0.33	range_low	+0.38%	-0.41	03/10 09:00 upd 03/10 10:12
15m #213482	↔ neutral	range	range	weak	grind	0.477	normal	bear_medium	52%	noisy_chop 34%	early 6b -0.1ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	1.36	80%	↓ -0.22	value	-4.53	—	#112576	0.50	range_low	+0.09%	-0.01	03/10 09:45 upd 03/10 10:04
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	8b	—	4.399×ATR	p61	-1.694×ATR	p79
4h	↓ down	late	16b	—	3.571×ATR	p64	-2.235×ATR	p92
1h	↑ up	early	7b	—	1.524×ATR	p4	-0.926×ATR	p51
15m	↓ down	early	6b	—	2.302×ATR	p36	-0.098×ATR	p3

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 3.63776879
tp_price: 3.413475
atr: 0.05470752
expires_at: 2026-10-03T20:15:05+00:00

Details

rank: 80
total: 80
score: 0.2706
delta_2h: -0.0543
extension_atr: -0.77
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2181
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	10:15	3.50100000	0%
2	11:15	3.52160000	+0.588%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
3.501	3.6378	3.4135	0.64	2.848

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 3.501
Stop Loss: 3.6378
Take Profit: 3.4135

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 3.6378 - 3.501 = 0.1368
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 3.501 - 3.4135 = 0.0875
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0875 / 0.1368 = 0.6396

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
204.7836	100	58.4929	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.1368

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1368 = 58.48

Taille de position USD = 58.48 x 3.501 = 204.74

Donc, tu peux acheter 58.48 avec un stoploss a 3.6378

Avec un position size USD de 204.74$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 58.48 x 0.1368 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 58.48 x 0.0875 = 5.12

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.12$

Résumé

Taille de position 58.48
Taille de position USD 204.74
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 5.12
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6396

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	5.12 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.91 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-3.91

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.1245 %	105.55 %	5

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
3.501	3.6378	3.4135	0.64	2.848

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 3.501
Stop Loss: 3.6378
Take Profit: 3.4135

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 3.6378 - 3.501 = 0.1368
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 3.501 - 3.4135 = 0.0875
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0875 / 0.1368 = 0.6396

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.4135
            [entry_price] => 3.501
            [stop_loss] => 3.65148
            [rr_ratio] => 0.58
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 17:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.4135
            [entry_price] => 3.501
            [stop_loss] => 3.66516
            [rr_ratio] => 0.53
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 17:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.4135
            [entry_price] => 3.501
            [stop_loss] => 3.67884
            [rr_ratio] => 0.49
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 17:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.4135
            [entry_price] => 3.501
            [stop_loss] => 3.7062
            [rr_ratio] => 0.43
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 17:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.908% (0.1368)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.157%	0.3R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.174%	0.0R	-1.157%	0.3R	0.2×	24
4h	+0.174%	0.0R	-6.384%	1.6R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.174%	0.0R	-6.384%	1.6R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.174%	0.0R	-6.384%	1.6R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.174%	0.0R	-6.384%	1.6R	0.0×	144
24h	+0.174%	0.0R	-6.384%	1.6R	0.0×	288
48h	+0.174%	0.0R	-12.894%	3.3R	0.0×	576
72h	+0.174%	0.0R	-18.538%	4.7R	0.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 74 min MAE in 214 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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