Long Trade on MORPHO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 93.73 MORPHO at 2.719$ per unit. Take profit: 2.7872 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.6338 (3.14 %)
03 Oct 2026 at 12:15:06
hyperliquid
MORPHO
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Oct 2026 12:15
→ 16:25
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 2.7192$
Qty 93.7302 MORPHO
Size 254.8711$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 2.7872 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.37$
SL 2.6338 (-3.14%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.8
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +6.37$
MAE -0.74%
MFE +2.97%
0.9R
expires
03 Oct 18:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 174940)
#2 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 12:00
score du 03/10/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7775
Quality Score
0.804
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.14 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.14 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.42×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.86×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.67×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
mixed
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.17
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 12:02
03/10 12:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 01/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 03/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 03/10 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4761
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.97
Transition risk :
0.03
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
58.2%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 58.2% |
| 1h | 20.0% |
| 4h | 60.0% |
| 24h | 32.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 58.2% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 52.7% | +0.17% |
| 24h | 40.0% | -1.31% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.130
Universe :
55
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.98
Snapshot évalué :
03/10 12:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4132
Score SMA
0.4805
Rank
#78
/ 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0723
Rank Norm SMA
0.1355
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5743 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.51% · r3d: 3.80% · ema21_slope: 0.4789% · dist_ema21: 1.430% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4536 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.09% · rs_3d: 2.77% · beta_24h: 0.970 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2378 | rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.487 · trend: -2.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5328 | ADX: 26.0 (trend) · Chop: 60.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.939% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.8035
Score SMA
0.4992
Rank
#2
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7775
Rank Norm SMA
0.4006
Calculé le
03/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7308 | r1h: 2.377% · r4h: 3.332% · r1d: 2.73% · r3d: 6.63% · ema21_slope: 0.0812% · dist_ema21: 4.102% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7521 | rs_1h: 2.351% · rs_4h: 3.104% · rs_1d: 3.30% · rs_3d: 5.79% · beta_24h: 2.461 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 7.87× · zscore_50: 3.442 · trend: 135.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6985 | ADX: 23.8 (weak) · Chop: 30.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.313% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.5227
Score SMA
0.4606
Rank
#23
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8700
Rank Norm SMA
0.2849
Calculé le
03/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7131 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.332% · r1d: 2.73% · r3d: 6.63% · ema21_slope: 0.1512% · dist_ema21: 5.033% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6362 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.104% · rs_1d: 3.30% · rs_3d: 5.79% · beta_24h: 1.714 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4772 | rvol_20: 1.91× · zscore_50: 0.117 · trend: -17.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5425 | ADX: 17.9 (weak) · Chop: 51.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9883 | ATR%: 3.035% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.141%
(0.0854)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.463% | 0.2R | -0.625% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.463% | 0.2R | -0.739% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.078% | 0.7R | -0.739% | 0.2R | 2.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.968% | 0.9R | -0.739% | 0.2R | 4.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.968% | 0.9R | -0.739% | 0.2R | 4.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.188% | 1.0R | -0.739% | 0.2R | 4.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.188% | 1.0R | -0.739% | 0.2R | 4.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.188% | 1.0R | -2.398% | 0.8R | 1.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.762% | 1.2R | -2.460% | 0.8R | 1.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 574 min
MAE in 74 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.48
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.50 | bull_high | +13.14% | +0.53 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.40 | bull_high | +2.02% | +0.25 | 03/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.49 | range_low | +0.34% | +0.27 | 03/10 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.51 | range_low | +0.07% | +0.34 | 03/10 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#207700
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.714 | expansion | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 7b 0.2ATR | — | — | 0.55 | 56% | ↑ +0.32 | above_value | -0.28 | — | #110103 | 0.50 | bull_high | +13.14% | +0.53 |
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:26
|
|
4h
#212765
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.596 | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 5b 0.8ATR | — | — | 1.66 | 73% | ↓ -0.41 | value | +1.86 | — | #112319 | 0.40 | bull_high | +2.02% | +0.25 |
03/10 04:00
upd 03/10 08:18
|
|
1h
anchor #213925
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.354 | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 6b 2.2ATR | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.84 | 31% | ↑ +0.65 | above_value | +2.52 | — | #112871 | 0.49 | range_low | +0.34% | +0.27 |
03/10 10:00
upd 03/10 11:10
|
|
15m
#214230
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.620 | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late 1b 3.0ATR | — | — | 0.43 | 67% | ↑ +0.80 | above_value | +2.52 | — | #112871 | 0.51 | range_low | +0.07% | +0.34 |
03/10 11:45
upd 03/10 12:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.032×ATR | p5 | +0.157×ATR | p14 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 0.975×ATR | p0 | +0.756×ATR | p51 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 3.657×ATR | p68 | +2.202×ATR | p96 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 0.469×ATR | p0 | +3.008×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 2.63384861
- tp_price: 2.78718
- atr: 0.03414056
- expires_at: 2026-10-03T22:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 7
- total: 78
- score: 0.6987
- delta_2h: 0.1145
- extension_atr: 2.96
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7775
- confidence: 0.972
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:15 | 2.71920000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:15 | 2.70510000 | -0.519% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.7192 | 2.6338 | 2.7872 | 0.8 | 1.7646 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.7192
- Stop Loss: 2.6338
- Take Profit: 2.7872
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.6338 - 2.7192 = -0.0854
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.7192 - 2.7872 = -0.068
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.068 / -0.0854 = 0.7963
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 254.8711 | 100 | 93.7302 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0854
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0854 = -93.68
Taille de position USD = -93.68 x 2.7192 = -254.73
Donc, tu peux acheter -93.68 avec un stoploss a 2.6338
Avec un position size USD de -254.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -93.68 x -0.0854 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -93.68 x -0.068 = 6.37
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.37$
Résumé
- Taille de position -93.68
- Taille de position USD -254.73
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.37
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7963
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.37 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.14 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 6.37 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7392 % | 23.54 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.7192 | 2.6338 | 2.7872 | 0.8 | 1.7646 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.7192
- Stop Loss: 2.6338
- Take Profit: 2.7872
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.6338 - 2.7192 = -0.0854
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.7192 - 2.7872 = -0.068
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.068 / -0.0854 = 0.7963
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.141%
(0.0854)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.463% | 0.2R | -0.625% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.463% | 0.2R | -0.739% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.078% | 0.7R | -0.739% | 0.2R | 2.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.968% | 0.9R | -0.739% | 0.2R | 4.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.968% | 0.9R | -0.739% | 0.2R | 4.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.188% | 1.0R | -0.739% | 0.2R | 4.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.188% | 1.0R | -0.739% | 0.2R | 4.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.188% | 1.0R | -2.398% | 0.8R | 1.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.762% | 1.2R | -2.460% | 0.8R | 1.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 574 min
MAE in 74 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.