Short Trade on MET (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1161 MET at 0.313$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2955 (5.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3196 (2.21 %)
28 Oct 2026 at 18:14:48
hyperliquid
MET
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
28 Oct 2026 18:14
→ 22:40
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.3127$
Qty 1161.0019 MET
Size 363.0453$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2955 (+5.5%)
TP $ 19.97$
SL 0.3196 (-2.21%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.49
Status
win
PnL
+5.50%
/ +19.97$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +6.38%
2.9R
expires
29 Oct 06:14
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231188)
#21 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 28/10/2026 18:00
score du 28/10/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5465
Quality Score
0.620
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#21 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.21 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#21 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.21 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.86×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.22×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/10 18:04
28/10 18:04
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 28/10 17:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7184
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
85.2%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.004
Δ 1h
▲+0.069
Δ 4h
▲+0.624
Δ 12h
▲+0.147
Δ 24h
▲+0.055
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 42.2% |
| 1h | 11.1% |
| 4h | 91.1% |
| 24h | 77.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 42.2% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 84.4% | +1.61% |
| 24h | 66.7% | +1.17% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
37.8%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
37.8%
Tail ↑
+0.78
Tail ↓
+0.74
Dispersion :
0.179
Universe :
45
(-1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
28/10 18:02
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
26/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4061
Score SMA
0.5503
Rank
#21
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6825
Rank Norm SMA
0.7588
Calculé le
26/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4768 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 7.06% · r3d: 0.96% · ema21_slope: -0.5499% · dist_ema21: -5.344% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5767 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 7.06% · rs_3d: 2.27% · beta_24h: -0.518 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1876 | rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: -0.191 · trend: -58.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5421 | ADX: 32.5 (trend) · Chop: 66.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.285% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.6196
Score SMA
0.5047
Rank
#21
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5465
Rank Norm SMA
0.4523
Calculé le
28/10/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5698 | r1h: -0.168% · r4h: 3.035% · r1d: -1.70% · r3d: 6.31% · ema21_slope: -0.1012% · dist_ema21: 0.074% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5547 | rs_1h: -0.199% · rs_4h: 2.405% · rs_1d: -2.26% · rs_3d: 4.93% · beta_24h: 2.555 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7175 | rvol_20: 1.98× · zscore_50: 1.213 · trend: 258.41% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6580 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 37.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.558% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6204
Score SMA
0.4377
Rank
#16
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6141
Rank Norm SMA
0.3183
Calculé le
28/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5375 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.893% · r1d: -0.03% · r3d: 7.11% · ema21_slope: 0.0737% · dist_ema21: 1.337% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5184 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.597% · rs_1d: -1.01% · rs_3d: 5.81% · beta_24h: 2.233 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8736 | rvol_20: 3.59× · zscore_50: 1.943 · trend: 58.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3655 | ADX: 14.0 (weak) · Chop: 69.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.637% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.207%
(0.0069)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.100% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.721% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +5.024% | 2.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +6.377% | 2.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +6.377% | 2.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +11.996% | 5.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 36h | +16.338% | 7.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 432 |
| 48h | +16.338% | 7.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 576 |
| 72h | +16.338% | 7.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1565 min
MAE in min
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 1.16
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.37 | range_high | -0.06% | +0.48 | 28/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_high |
31%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.59 | bull_medium | +0.75% | -0.23 | 28/10 17:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.61 | range_low | +0.57% | +0.15 | 28/10 17:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
4h
#443317
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.498 | normal | bear_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 3b 0.5ATR | — | — | 3.59 | 85% | ↑ +0.36 | — | — | — | — | 0.37 | range_high | -0.06% | +0.48 |
28/10 12:00
upd 28/10 16:38
|
|
1h
anchor #443862
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.614 | volatile_reversal | range_high |
31%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 1b 0.0ATR | — | — | 1.98 | 95% | ↑ +0.97 | above_value | -0.04 | — | #211617 | 0.59 | bull_medium | +0.75% | -0.23 |
28/10 17:00
upd 28/10 18:14
|
|
15m
#443804
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.684 | volatile_reversal | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 2b 0.5ATR | — | — | 0.14 | 80% | ↑ +0.72 | above_value | -0.04 | — | #211617 | 0.61 | range_low | +0.57% | +0.15 |
28/10 17:45
upd 28/10 18:10
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 0.36×ATR | p0 | +0.532×ATR | p28 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.758×ATR | p12 | +0.044×ATR | p2 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.156×ATR | p0 | +0.514×ATR | p30 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8081
- reason: down_bo width=1.65×ATR dur=33b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.3195906
- tp_price: 0.29547349
- atr:
- score: 0.80811862648073
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T10:14:40.204602
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.80811862648073
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0515
- obi_top10 : -0.0708
- micro_price : 0.31152703
- spread_pct : 0.128535
- mid_price : 0.3114
- bid_wall_price : 0.309
- bid_wall_size : 97489
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.313
- ask_wall_size : 113724
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0515
- obi_top5_std : 0.0033
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7107
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.32301
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.31523
- balance_zone_mid:
0.31912
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793109600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793224800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.6532
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
33
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8081
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793221200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.31523
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7273
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.5376
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00470602 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
33
inside_close_ratio
0.7273
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.5376
Signaux confirmants (15)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:14 | 0.31270000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:24 | 0.31270000 | 0% |
| 3 | 18:35 | 0.31270000 | 0% |
| 4 | 18:44 | 0.31066000 | -0.652% |
| 5 | 18:52 | 0.31066000 | -0.652% |
| 6 | 19:01 | 0.31066000 | -0.652% |
| 7 | 19:11 | 0.31056000 | -0.684% |
| 8 | 19:20 | 0.31056000 | -0.684% |
| 9 | 19:29 | 0.31056000 | -0.684% |
| 10 | 19:39 | 0.30877000 | -1.257% |
| 11 | 19:47 | 0.30877000 | -1.257% |
| 12 | 19:55 | 0.30877000 | -1.257% |
| 13 | 20:07 | 0.30877000 | -1.257% |
| 14 | 20:18 | 0.30854000 | -1.33% |
| 15 | 20:28 | 0.30854000 | -1.33% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7107ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
81%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.052
avg -0.052
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
-0.071
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.3114
Micro Price
0.3115
Spread
0.1285%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.3090
Size
97,489.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.3130
Size
113,724.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3127 | 0.3196 | 0.2955 | 2.49 | 0.271 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3127
- Stop Loss: 0.3196
- Take Profit: 0.2955
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3196 - 0.3127 = 0.0069
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3127 - 0.2955 = 0.0172
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0172 / 0.0069 = 2.4928
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 363.0453 | 100 | 1161.0019 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0069
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0069 = 1159.42
Taille de position USD = 1159.42 x 0.3127 = 362.55
Donc, tu peux acheter 1159.42 avec un stoploss a 0.3196
Avec un position size USD de 362.55$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1159.42 x 0.0069 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1159.42 x 0.0172 = 19.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.94$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1159.42
- Taille de position USD 362.55
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.94
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4928
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.5 % | 19.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.21 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 19.97 $ | 5.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3127 | 0.3196 | 0.2955 | 2.49 | 0.271 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3127
- Stop Loss: 0.3196
- Take Profit: 0.2955
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3196 - 0.3127 = 0.0069
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3127 - 0.2955 = 0.0172
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0172 / 0.0069 = 2.4928
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2989
[stop_loss] => 0.3196
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 01:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.29545
[stop_loss] => 0.3196
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 02:40:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.207%
(0.0069)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.100% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.721% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +5.024% | 2.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +6.377% | 2.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +6.377% | 2.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +11.996% | 5.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 36h | +16.338% | 7.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 432 |
| 48h | +16.338% | 7.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 576 |
| 72h | +16.338% | 7.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1565 min
MAE in min
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.